FantasySavvy 2017: Week 1 Notebook

Football is back and so is FantasySavvy, back for our 7th year. Thanks to all our hardcore followers over the years. We are ready to contribute and bring you as much value as we possibly can this season. Rankings, Weekly Notebook, Film Review for Waivers and Different games as well as NFL and Daily League picks will be posted throughout the season. Also stay tuned for our Weekly Podcast which will start back up next week.  Check back for our Rankings next week as well. Follow me @FantasySavvy on twitter.

Jets @ Bills

Sheldon Richardson Gone, two starting NT, David Harris, All missing this year

Zay Jones, son of Cowboys LB Robert Jones, Career College leaders in Receptions. 

Charles Clay, best familiarity with Taylor to start. 

Jets, ArDarius Stewart, Kearse, Kerley and Anderson are Jets WR’s, Stewart is inactive today. 

 Jets w/ Points, possibly over

 Eagles @ Skins

Eagles Secondary ton of ? Marks, 1 of 3 teams to allow 3,000 yards to WR’s

Skins allowed 2nd most yards to TE’s last year- Ertz

RB situation unclear, stay away this week. 

Skins – the points.

Raiders @ Titans

Raiders 5th worst against Tight Ends, Delanie Walker good play.

Texans @ Jags

Hopkins 11 catches for 120 yds in 2 games with Savage last year

Cards @ Lions

David Johnson all day

Carson Palmer Strong play

Fitz will be facing off against 5’9 Quandre Diggs, who he should abuse.

Cards allowed fewest rec yds to RB’s last year.

Cards allowed 2nd fewest yards and catches to Tight Ends, only Two TE’s. Mathieu, Peterson, etc

Cards – the points.

 Falcons @ Bears

Bears Underatted D

Howard a solid play

Ravens @ Bengals

Bengals RB Coach Kyle Caskey promised hot hand, Mixon has the best shot to get that hot hand and ride with it.

AJ Green has a history of torching the Ravens

Eifert has 100 yds 2 TDs in last 2 meetings. Is he healthy?

Flacco out all preseason and camp, little rapport with Maclin. Woodhead off ACL, Terrance West? JAvoirus Allen? Ehhhh.

Bengals – the points

Steelers @ Browns

Corey Coleman only Brown I trust, should get heavy usage, will get open, Kizer can get him the ball.

Pitt, Bell, Brown, Ben, Bryant.

Steelers by 4

Colts @ Rams

Gurley Good Matchup,

Cooper Kupp Solid chemistry and play.

Avoid Colts

Rams – the points

Seattle @ Packers

Seattle D gets a bump with Sheldon Richardson,

Cobb is healthy and coming off a solid playoffs. Has best matchup here vs Jeremy Lane.

Wilson played with a Torn MCL and High Ankle Sprain last year. He is healthy now and will bounce back, offensive line is still a concern. But doesn’t have good success vs Pack.

Doug Baldwin has good success, Only start I trust, possibly Richardson for cheap play in DFS. Or Prosise.

Pack/Sea U

Panthers @ SF

McCaffrey not a great RB2 play in first game, Panthers should still use Stewart and will be able to control game and pound Stewart. However both are solid flex plays this week.

Olsen and Benjamin look like solid plays. Cam also looks solid.

Carlos Hyde looks solid, outside of that, possibly Garcon. Don’ trust Marquise Goodwin.

SF/Car U?

Gmen @ Cowboys

Gmen Held Zeke to 150 yds and 1 TD in 2 games. Zeke still must be started.

Dak Struggled, Bryant struggled also, just 20 yds in 2 games. Janoris Jenkins shut him Down, DMC shut down Beasley. Cowboys lost twice last year, no doubt Garrett will make some adjustmetns here, maybe he starts moving Dez Around.

Witten has the most success vs the Gmen.

Beckham very ??, Running game ehh. Brandon Marshall? Eh, Don’t trust any Giants, See a lower scoring game.

Gmen/Dal U

 New Orleans @ Minny

NO allowed 2nd most Rec yards to backs last year. Cook looks like solid play.

Don’t trust Diggs with Bradford, Trust Theilen way more, especially now in the slot.

Rudolph also a decent play.

Not Crazy about Saints backs.

Michael Thomas lined up with Xavier Rhodes. Rhodes had a 47.0 Passer rating allowed, Best in NFL last year

Ted Ginn looks like a good play here with a good matchup on turf.

TommyLee Lewis is interesting, Originally undrafted two years ago, Recommended by Bill Parcells to Sean Payton. Someone to eye at WR for NO. 

Saints/Minny O?

Chargers @ Denver

Rivers terrible last year vs Denver, Allen tough matchup, Tyrel Williams tough matchup. Melvin Gordon only really solid play.

Henry n Gates still offset each other.

Bad Matchups with Sanders and Thomas vs Heyward and Jason Verrett.

CJ Anderson decent, but how much does Jamaal Charles play? Maybe he takes the job!!!!

Chargers/Den U!!

 

 

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FantasySavvy Football: Week 2 Film Review (Part 2)

Seahawks @ Chargers

  • Great Job by the Chargers coaching staff. They used a lot of rubs and man beaters to diminish the Seahawks aggressive Man Defense. Perfectly executed.
  • Big Reason was Antonio Gates. I saw him run a Corner Curl route which got him wide open and another Corner Streak which he caught the one-handed TD for. Both instances he lost the CB. He abused Kim Chancellor twice.  Have to wonder if Gates can stay healthy, but right now he looks perfectly fine.
  • Keenan Allen absolutely turned around Richard Sherman on a slant route, with a little juke fake to the right and then broke off the slant. He runs that route well. Again, good game plan to beat the Seahawks Man D.
  • Robert Turbin got some early burn and turned  it into a TD, but he was unguarded on it. It was unusual to not see Lynch early and often however. Looks like they may want to rest Lynch for later in the season. Turbin is a good idea to keep rostered if you own Lynch.
  • Donnie Brown and Danny Woodhead will split the carries now that Ryan Mathews is banged up yet again. Both should be decent flexes week 2 week.
  • Doug Baldwin had two acrobatic catches, one was called out-of-bounds at the Chargers 1 yard line. Baldwin is talented, but Wilson spreads the ball around so much. Harvin is really the only reliable target as of now, but I do expect Baldwin to have some huge performances this year. Keep an eye on him, he’s definitely out there in a lot of leagues.

St. Louis @ Tampa Bay

  • Zac Stacy ran OK (19-71-1TD). Performed better in the first half, in the 2nd seemed like the Bucs realized Austin Davis stunk and crowded the box more. Cunningham got some burn (6-15), but Stacy is still the feature back. Expect the Rams to keep feeding him, his first 100 yard game is in the horizon.
  • Still not really impressed with Brian Quick (7-74). I will compare him to Jared Cook at WR. Kind of like a poor mans Andre Johnson. But it appears he is the Rams #1 Option, decent start for PPR leagues. Kenny Britt and Tavon Austin were still pretty invisible. The Rams are never going to be explosive with Austin Davis at the helm.
  • Bobby Rainey is a quality RB. The Bucs target him a ton and he can shake defenders and break tackles. Even in tonight’s game against the Falcons, he showed his talents and got a ton of looks. That will change when Doug Martin comes back, but Martin’s injury could continue to linger. Also Rainey will remain in the mix regardless, he has outperformed Martin.
  • Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson will suffer with Josh Mcnown and Mike Glennon under center. Evans getting a lot of looks, but still has not reached pay dirt.

Houston @ Oakland

  • Arian Foster looks fully healthy and is running extremely well.  Try to trade for him. His owners may not be too keen on him, because Foster has lost his luster and has been injury prone of late.
  • DeAndre Hopkins is like Larry Fitzgerald Lite. Doesn’t create a lot of separation but catches balls in close quarters. Caught a Fade for TD in this game, but only finished with 22 yards on 3 catches. Ryan Fitzpatrick is his QB and Arian Foster is getting 20+ carries a game. Don’t expect much.
  • Darren Mcfadden had 12 carries for 37 yards and TD and looked decent with some runs. MJD will be back soon however and neither back is too exciting with the Raiders owning a horrid defense and having a rookie QB. Plus both backs are past their prime. LaTavius Murray was picked up in a lot of leagues this week, I don’t see why.
  • Derek Carr is just growing, just will take time, let’s see how he matures. James Jones went over 100 yards with a TD after doing niente (nothing in Italian) in Week 1. Not sure how much I trust Jones or any Raider for that matter.

New York Jets @ Green Bay

  • Davante Adams looked fine to me. Bigger target than Boykin and likely more talented. 5 catches for 50 yards, was 2nd in yards and catches behind Jordy this week. A worthy pickup, because Rodgers has shown he can make the #3 WR relevant and if Cobb or Jordy goes down he is now a huge piece. Stash him, he should take the #3 spot from Boykin.
  • Eddie Lacy two slow games, but faced two tough run D’s in Seattle and the Jets. Like Kevin Lewis will point out in his Buy Low, Sell High article which will be released tomorrow, now is a good time to make an offer.
  • As a Jets fan, I’m still not a believer in Gino Smith. He does look better than last year and actually has a good WR in Decker, but I am just not expecting much. I hope he proves me wrong. Decker is an every week starter.
  • Chris Johnson is done man, Chris Ivory is the better running back. Johnson just goes down like a fly. I’m sure he will be decent at times, but CJ2k probably will be CJ700 at the end of this year.

Kansas City @ Denver

  • Not much to say about Denver, other than, it looks like C.J Anderson is the proper handcuff for Montee Ball. Start your Broncos.
  • Knile Davis isn’t an overly talented runner, but he hits the hole and runs hard. He averaged just under 4 YPC (22-79) but had two TD’s. He’s a must pickup if you are a Charles owner, and a solid pickup regardless. He will get a ton of carries with Charles out, but Charles may return this week. I just hope the Chiefs don’t rush Charles back too soon only to have him at 75% or re-injure himself.
  • Travis Kelce (4-81) is improving, expect him to remain steady all year and have some nice performances. Nice big target with decent speed and good hands. Much rather own him than Kyle Rudolph, who went higher in almost every fantasy draft.

Chicago @ San Fran

  • Colin Kaepernick cost the 49ers this game with 4 To’s (3 Int’s and a fumble) but he did put a pass right on the money to Crabtree that would have given them a chance to tie.
  • That was a tough catch for Crabtree but he could have come down with it. It does appear (7-82-1TD) he’s back to being the #1 target in SF. Worrisome for Anquan Boldin owners, because the 49ers don’t throw it a ton, but that could change.
  • Carlos Hyde had a terrible week 2 (0 carries 4 yards) after a good week 1. Him and Jeremy Hill swapped places. Hyde will be fine when the 49ers are in control of games, which they should be more often than not.
  • Frank Gore continues to get it done. Keep him going.
  • Not much to say about the Bears other than start them all. We know these guys. Forte had a real stinker (12-21, 5-15) but obviously this is an outlier.

Philly @ Indy

  • Darren Sproles saves the day again. Chip Kelly is just a very smart coach and knows how to utilize talent. Sproles is looking like a very solid every week flex, especially in PPR.
  • Zach Ertz (4-81) is impressive after two weeks. Let’s see if he can remain consistent in a crowded offense.
  • Riley Cooper, Jordan Matthews seem like the odd men out so far. Jeremy Maclin is the #1 guy and should remain so, he looks fully healthy.
  • Trent Richardson finally looked good running the ball, but he coughed up two fumbles which won’t help his cause. I still would rather own Ahmad Bradshaw he is more talented to me, but chances are Bradshaw will be out of the lineup with an injury at some point, it happens every year.
  • T.Y Hilton has had a very slow start, he was kind of boom or bust last year as well, that’s the issue with him.
  • I was a believer in Hakeem Nicks (1 -4) a bit coming into the year, now I have my doubts.
  • Dwayne Allen is still blah no catches in this game. Wayne and Hilton are the only options to be trusted in this passing game as of now, Hicks could emerge, will see. Dante Moncrief is somebody to watch.

Stay tuned for our Radio Show, Rankings and Kevin Lewis’ Buy Low, Sell High Piece. Follow us on Twitter @FantasySavvy.