FantasySavvy 2017: Making Sense of Week 17

Week 17 is usually very uneventful, Fantasy Leagues are done, Most Teams are playing for little and you’ve been filled with enough food, booze, lack of sleep, College Games, kids screaming to have the energy to really grasp everything. I’m usually in this boat, but after looking at everything I’m here to help make it very clear for you. Happy New Year to all! Follow me on Twitter @FantasySavvy and stay tuned for some NFL Playoff Picks, Fantasy Info and more.

 

1PM Games

Green Bay @ Detroit (Det -7, O/U 44)

Neither team is in contention but the Lions are playing all starters and Green Bay will be without Rodgers, Davante Adams, and Jordy Nelson. Detroit looks like a good play here, Brett Hundley has been turrible. Stafford should have his way through the air, so Marvin Jones, Golden Tate and the surging TE Eric Ebron should all be productive. 27-16 Lions. 

Chicago @ Minnesota (Min -12, O/U 38)

Vikes clinch a bye and the #2 seed with a win here. Also clinch with either a Saints Win or Panthers loss. Pretty much looks like they got it wrapped up. Bears have a stingy D, but have been leaking holes in the run game. Latavius Murray figures to be a solid Fantasy Play. Also 12 points is a lot to cover, but don’t see Bears doing much at all here in this spot. Vikings D could be in for a huge day. Don’t see the Bears scoring more than 10 points. Possibly give the under a look. 23-10 Vikings.

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh (Pit -6.5, O/U 37)

Steelers can get the #1 overall seed with a win and a New England loss to the Jets, but Mike Tomlin knows there is no chance Bryce Petty is beating New England in Foxboro. Thus, Pittsburgh is resting most of it’s starters most notably Le’Veon Bell and Big Ben. Landry Jones will start at QB, he’s awful. On the flip side, Josh Gordon should get a ton of looks from DeShone Kizer and seems like the best Fantasy Play in this game. 20-17 Cleveland

Dallas @ Philadelphia (Dallas -3, O/U 40)

Philly is all clinched up with the #1 seed in the NFC and has nothing to play for so they are likely to rest players early or not play anyone at all. Also we really don’t know what Dallas is going to do on their side of the ball. Staying away from everything in this game seems like the best approach. UPDATE: Cowboys are expected to play all their starters. 24-17 Dallas.

New York Jets @ New England (NE -15, O/U 43.5)

New England wins and they lock up homefield throughout the playoffs. So all systems go for the Pats. Jets are starting Bryce Petty, he is not good. This looks like blowout city. Dion Lewis will get a ton of carries again at RB as Rex Burkhead is OUT again. Gronk and Cooks also should have good days along with the Pats D. Brady of course. 34-10 Pats.

New York Giants @ Washington (Skins -3, O/U 40.5)

Neither team is playing for anything. Giants will start Eli 4 quarters, but he’s without Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard. RB Wayne Gallman should catch a lot of passes and is an affordable DFS play. Skins should control this game, look for Jamison Crowder and Josh Doctson to have good games. Skins looks good in this one. 27-17 Skins.

Houston @ Indy (Colts -5.5, O/U 41.5)

Another meaningless game. Houston is starting T.J. Yates, he may be the worst starting QB this week and are without Star WR, DeAndre Hopkins. Their pass D has also been brutal, meaning Jacoby Brissett may have a nice day along with T.Y. Hilton and Jack Doyle. Future Hall of Fame RB, Frank Gore is looking for 10 straight seasons with 1,000 yards, something only NFL greats Emmitt Smith, Barry Sanders, Walter Payton and Curtis Martin have accomplished. Gore needs 139 yards which is unlikely, but the Colts probably will give him a bunch of carries. Colts look like the play in this game. 24-13 Colts. 

4:25 PM Games

San Francisco @ L.A. Rams (49ers -4.5, O/U 43.5)

Rams are clinched up and resting basically everyone, including Todd Gurley and Jared Goff. Good news for rising QB Jimmy Garrapolo. SF will look to keep their momentum and finish strong going into 2018. 23-16 San Fran.

Cincinnati @ Baltimore (Baltimore -9, O/U 40)

Ravens clinch a playoff spot with a win or a Bills or Titans loss. Andy Dalton and Marvin Lewis have both needed to go for years, but remain. I like Alex Collins and Baltimore D from a fantasy standpoint. Could see this one being somewhat close. 23-16 Ravens

Buffalo @ Miami (Buffalo -2.5, O/U 42.5)

There are three Week 17 scenarios in which the Bills would make the playoffs:

— Bills win AND Ravens loss OR

— Bills win AND Chargers loss or tie AND Titans loss or tie OR

— Bills tie AND Chargers loss AND Titans loss

Buffalo is likely to feed LeSean McCoy heavily in this game. Tyrod Taylor should have a decent day and Charles Clay looks like his best bet this week in the passing game. On the flip side, Phins would be smart to get the ball back in the hands of RB, Kenyan Drake. Jarvis Landry should have another nice day. 24-17 Buffalo.

Arizona @ Seattle (Seattle -9, O/U 38)

Seattle wins and Falcons lose and they are in. Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin are extremely solid, safe fantasy plays. Larry Fitzgerald should have a big day for the Cards. 24-13 Seattle.

Kansas City @ Denver (Broncos -4.5, O/U 38)

K.C is not playing for anything here. Both teams will start new QB’s. KC will start their shiny big armed Rookie QB, Patrick Mahomes and Denver will start 2nd year QB Paxton Lynch. Chiefs will be resting basically all their players. Mahomes will be interesting to watch against a still extremely solid Denver D. C.J. Anderson should get a ton of work on the ground. Emmanuel Sanders is out for Denver so Demaryius Thomas should get a ton of targets. Paxton Lynch has just looked really bad in his few career starts. I would take the points, but Denver D could cause some havoc. 20-17 Denver. 

Jacksonville @ Tennessee (Ten -2.5, O/U 42) 

Jacksonville is playing for nothing but will start their starters to get try to get some momentum going into the playoffs. Not sure how long they will play. Titans on the other hand need a Win to get in, so they will be all in. Or they can get in with both a Chargers and Bills loss. Derrick Henry will get all the carries this week as DeMarco Murray is out with a MCL tear. He looks like the only solid fantasy play in this one. Possibly Keenan Cole for the Jags. 20-17 Titans.

Carolina @ Atlanta (Falcons -4, O/U 45)

The Falcons need to win or have Seattle lose to get in. They are playing for a lot. The Panthers are playing for a first round bye, but it seems unlikely. For that to happen they must defeat Atlanta, New Orleans must lose or tie at Tampa Bay, the Los Angeles Rams must lose or tie to San Francisco and Minnesota must lose at home to Chicago. What seems more likely is them winning the NFC South and playing a first round home Wild Card game. They need a win and a Saints loss for that to happen. Atlanta has more to play for in this one, but you know Cam and the Panthers won’t make it easy. Julio Jones, Mohammad Sanu, Cam Newton, Greg Olsen and Christian McAffrey are suggested Fantasy Plays. Carolina 27-24.

Oakland @ San Diego (SD -7, O/U 42)

San Diego needs a win and major help to get in.

Chargers clinch a playoff berth with:

— Chargers win AND Titans loss or tie AND Bills loss or tie OR

— Chargers win AND Titans loss or tie AND Ravens win or tie OR

— Chargers tie AND Titans loss AND Bills loss or tie.

Chargers will bring it in this game, Oakland has been lost all season. I like Antonio Gates in this game, in possibly his last game as a Charger. Chargers should roll with their strong defense. 27-17 San Diego. 

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay (NO -5.5, O/U 49)

The Saints are in, but playing for the NFC South title and a home game in the WildCard round. They achieve that with a win or a Panthers loss. Their running game should once again dominate with Ingram and Kamara. Ted Ginn could be a sneaky fantasy play. Saints should do most of the scoring in this one. They are my pick to represent the NFC in the Superbowl. 31-20 Saints.  

Any questions email me, SteveDeAngelo@gmail.com. See you in 2018!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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FantasySavvy 2015: Week 6 Daily League Selections

DraftKings Tournament Plays

Lineup #1 (Steve D)

QB- Carson Palmer- $6,600

RB- Arian Foster- $7000, Eddie Lacy $6,300

WR-T.Y. Hilton- $6,500, James Jones -$5,800, Allen Robinson- $5,900

TE- Zach Ertz- $2,900

Flex- Dion Lewis- $5,800

DEF- Jets -$3,100

Lineup #2 (Staff Picks)

QB- Jay Cutler- $5,200

HB- Lamar Miller-$4,300, Danny Woodhead- $4,700

WR- Eric Decker- $4,900, T.Y. Hilton- $6,500, Calvin Johnson-$7,300

TE-Rob Gronkowski- $7,600

Flex- Eddie Lacy- $6,300

DEF- Jets- $3,100

FanDuel (Tournament Plays)

Lineup #1 (Steve D)

QB-Brian Hoyer- $6,700

HB- Adrian Peterson -$8,900, Ameer Abdullah $5,900

WR- Julian Edelman- $7,900, DeAndre Hopkins-$8,500, Jarvis Landry-$7,300

TE- Antonio Gates- $5,500

K- Matt Prater-$4,500

D- Jets- $4,800

Lineup #2 (Staff Picks)

QB- Eli Manning- $7,800

HB-Adrian Peterson-$8,900, Duke Johnson-$5,900

WR-Larry Fitzgerald-$7,500, DeAndre Hopkins-$8,500, Eric Decker $6,100

TE-Tyler Eifert-$6,000

K-Robbie Gould-$4,500

D-Jets- $4,800

Lineup #3 (Steve D)

QB- Blake Bortles- $7,300

HB- Eddie Lacy- $7,300, HB- Arian Foster-$8,500

WR- MIke Wallace- $5,400, WR- Larry Fitzgerald-$7,500, O’Dell Beckham $9,100

TE-Gary Barnridge-$5,700

K- Matt Prater-$4,500

D-Vikings-$4,500

Fantasy Savvy Player Tiers

This is primetime drafting week. The preseason is complete, all cuts have been made and all roles have been pretty much been identified. Remember to stay confident and get the players you want, just be smart about it. Create solid depth, beware of injury prone players and don’t pick a guy just because everybody and their mother says he’s in for a big year, usually the opposite happens. Stay tuned to FantasySavvy.com all season for players rankings, waiver wire help, radio shows, NFL picks and more. Follow us on twitter @FantasySavvy. Now for the best Player Tiers in the Bidness.

* You may notice sometimes starters are tiered below their backups, this is because the starter is probably a fantasy bum who will lose his job at some point. *Subject to Change before Thursday

 

QB’s

Tier 1

Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers

Tier 2

Matthew Stafford, Tom Brady, Andrew Luck, Colin Kaepernick

Tier 3

Cam Newton, Russell Wilson, Phillip Rivers, Tony Romo, Matt Ryan

Tier 4

Ben Roethlisberger, Nick Foles, Robert Griffin III, Jay Cutler, Andy Dalton

Tier 5

Eli Manning, Alex Smith, Joe Flacco, Carson Palmer, Ryan Tannehill

Tier 6

Matt Cassel, Blake Bortles, Teddy Bridgewater, Johnny Manziel, Michael Vick

Tier 7

Matt Schaub, Jake Locker, Derek Carr, Gino Smith, E.J. Manuel, Ryan Fitzpatrick

Tier 8

Brian Hoyer, Chad Henne, Shaun Hill

RB’s

Tier 1

Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Adrian Peterson

Tier 2

Eddie Lacy, Matt Forte, Marshawn Lynch

Tier 3

Le’Veon Bell, Andre Ellington, Montee Ball, DeMarco Murray

Tier 4

Zac Stacy, Giovani Bernard, Shane Vereen

Tier 5

Ben Tate, Rashad Jennings, Alfred Morris, Arian Foster, Reggie Bush, C.J. Spiller, Doug Martin, Ryan Mathews, Frank Gore

Tier 6

Joique Bell, Chris Johnson, Stevan Ridley

Tier 7

Maurice Jones-Drew, Knoshon Moreno, Toby Gerhart, Pierre Thomas, Bernard Pierce, Andre Williams,

Tier 8

Jeremy Hill, Trent Richardson, Danny Woodhead, Bishop Sankey, Fred Jackson, DeAngelo Williams, Darren Sproles, Carlos Hyde, Lamar Miller, Ahmad Bradshaw, Ray Rice, Steven Jackson, Roy Helu

Tier 9

Chris Ivory, Jonathan Stewart, Donald Brown, Mark Ingram, LeGarrette Blount, Darren McFadden,

Tier 10

Knile Davis, Lance Dunbar, Khiry Robinson, Mike Tolbert, Dexter McCluster, James White, Bryce Brown, Devonta Freeman, Robert Turbin, Shonn Greene, Tre Mason, Jordan Todman, Jonathan Grimes, Isiah Crowell, James Starks, Ronnie Hillman

Tier 11

Terrance West, Chris Polk, Storm Johnson, Stepfan Taylor, Jonathan Dwyer, DuJuan Harris, Mike Tolbert, C.J. Anderson, Jaquizz Rodgers, Joseph Randle, Ka’Deem Carey, Marcel Reese, Charles Sims, Tavaris Cadet, Marcus Lattimore, Bilal Powell

WR’s

Tier 1 

Calvin Johnson, Demaryius Thomas, Dez Byrant, A.J Green, Brandon Marshall, Julio Jones

Tier 2

Keenan Allen, Jordy Nelson, Alshon Jeffrey, Vincent Jackson ,

Tier 3

Antonio Brown, Larry Fitzgerald, Randall Cobb, Cordarrelle Patterson, Andre Johnson

Tier 4

Pierre Garcon, DeSean Jackson, Michael Crabtree, Victor Cruz, Michael Floyd, Torrey Smith, Mike Wallace, T.Y. Hilton,

Tier 5

Roddy White, Marques Colston, Jeremy Maclin, Percy Harvin,

Tier 6

Golden Tate, Emmanuel Sanders,

Tier 8

Terrance Williams, Eric Decker, Kendall Wright, Julian Edelman, Reggie Wayne, Anquan Boldin,

Tier 9

Hakeem Nicks, Brandon Cooks, Sammy Watkins, Dwayne Bowe, Cecil Shorts, Mike Evans, Riley Cooper, Kelvin Benjamin, Doug Baldwin, Steve Smith, Wes Welker

Tier 10

Ruben Randle, Marquise Lee, Mohammed Sanu, Markus Wheaton, Kenny Britt, Jordan Matthews, Justin Hunter, DeAndre Hopkins, Brian Hartline, Danny Amendola, Greg Jennings,

Tier 11

Jarret Boykin, Aaron Dobson, O’Dell Beckham JR., Robert Woods, Harry Douglas, Kenny Stills, Stevie Johnson, Miles Austin, Lance Moore, Brandon LaFell, Jermaine Kearse, Andre Caldwell

Tier 12

Cody Latimer, Allen Hurns, Denarius Moore, Mike Willams, Brian Quick, Marvin Jones, Malcolm Floyd, Brandon Gibson, Marlon Brown, Jeremy Kerley, Donnie Avery, Nate Washington, Martavius Byrant

Tier 13

Andrew Hawkins, Andre Roberts, Kenbrell Thompkins, Paul Richardson, Chris Givens, Jernel Jerrigan, Vincent Brown, Eddie Royal, Santonio Holmes

 

TE

Tier 1

Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas

Tier 2

Vernon Davis, Rob Gronkoswski

Tier 3

Jason Witten, Jordan Cameron, Jordan Reed

Tier 4

Greg Olsen, Tim Wright, Dennis Pitta,

Tier 5

Charles Clay, Kyle Rudolph, Eric Ebron, Antonio Gates, Heath Miller,

Tier 6

LaDarius Green, Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, Tyler Eifert,

Tier 7

Martellus Bennett, Dwayne Allen, Brandon Pettigrew, Delanie Walker, Jace Amaro,

 

 

FantasySavvy 2012: Week 2 Player Rankings

Updated as of 2am Sunday Morning. Enjoy your Sunday everybody.

Quarterbacks

  1. Tom Brady vs Arizona
  2. Peyton Manning @ Atlanta
  3. Cam Newton vs N.O.
  4. Drew Brees @ Carolina
  5. Tony Romo @ Seattle
  6. Eli Manning vs TB
  7. RG3 @ STL
  8. Matt Ryan vs Denver
  9. Matthew Stafford @ S.F.
  10. Joe Flacco @ Philly
  11. Matt Schaub @ Jacksonville
  12. Andrew Luck vs Minnesota
  13. Phillip Rivers vs Ten
  14. Matt Cassel @ Buffalo
  15. Michael Vick vs Baltimore
  16. Alex Smith vs Detroit
  17. Ben Roethlisberger vs NYJ
  18. Mark Sanchez @ Pittsburgh
  19. Jake Locker @ San Diego
  20. Carson Palmer @ Miami
  21. Kevin Kolb @ NE
  22. Christian Ponder @ Indy
  23. Andy Dalton vs Cleveland
  24. Russell Wilson vs Dallas
  25. Josh Freeman @ NYG
  26. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs K.C.
  27. Blaine Gabbert vs Houston
  28. Sam Bradford vs Washington
  29. Ryan Tannehill vs Oakland
  30. Brandon Weeden @ Cincy

Runningbacks

  1. Arian Foster @ Jacksonville
  2. Darren McFadden @ Miami
  3. LeSean McCoy vs Baltimore
  4. Ray Rice @ Philly
  5. C.J. Spiller vs K.C.
  6. Jamaal Charles @ Buffalo
  7. Adrian Peterson @ Indy
  8. DeMarco Murray @ Seattle
  9. Stevan Ridley @ Arizona
  10. Reggie Bush vs Oakland
  11. Maurice Jones-Drew vs Houston
  12. Darren Sproles @ Carolina
  13. Doug Martin @ NYG
  14. Frank Gore vs Detroit
  15. Chris Johnson @ San Diego
  16. Ahmad Bradshaw vs TB
  17. Marshawn Lynch vs Dallas
  18. Willis McGahee @ Atlanta
  19. Trent Richardson @ Cincy
  20. Alfred Morris @ STL
  21. BenJarvus Green-Ellis vs Cleveland
  22. Steven Jackson vs Washington
  23. Michael Turner vs Denver
  24. Shonn Greene @ Pittsburgh
  25. Jonathan Dwyer vs NYJ
  26. Jonathan Stewart vs N.O.
  27. Donald Brown vs Minnesota
  28. Kevin Smith @ S.F.
  29. Pierre Thomas @ Carolina
  30. Ben Tate @ Jacksonville
  31. Peyton Hillis @ Buffalo
  32. David Wilson vs T.B.
  33. Mark Ingram @ Carolina
  34. Curtis Brinkley vs Ten * Ryan Matthews Doubtful
  35. Beanie Wells @ New England
  36. Dexter McCluster @ Buffalo
  37. Issac Redman vs NYJ
  38. Roy Helu @ STL
  39. Evan Royter @ STL
  40. Kendall Hunter vs Detroit
  41. Ryan Williams @ N.E.
  42. DeAngelo Williams vs N.O.
  43. Ronnie Brown vs Ten
  44. Knowshon Moreno @ Atlanta
  45. Jaquizz Rodgers vs Denver
  46. Toby Gerhart @ Indy
  47. Danny Woodhead vs Arizona

Wide Receivers

  1. Julio Jones vs Denver
  2. Andre Johnson @ Jacksonville
  3. Calvin Johnson @ S.F.
  4. Steve Smith vs N.O.
  5. A.J. Green vs Cleveland *Browns Stud CB Joe Haden out**
  6. Percy Harvin @ Indy
  7. Larry Fitzgerald @ N.E.
  8. Victor Cruz vs T.B.
  9. Dez Bryant @ Seattle
  10. Eric Decker @ Atlanta
  11. Demaryius Thomas @ Atlanta
  12. Reggie Wayne @ Minnesota
  13. Marques Colston @ Carolina
  14. Roddy White vs Denver
  15. Steve Johnson vs K.C.
  16. Hakeem Nicks vs T.B.
  17. Antonio Brown vs NYJ
  18. Mike Wallace vs NYJ
  19. Brandon Lloyd vs Arizona
  20. Jeremy Maclin vs Baltimore *Probable
  21. Wes Welker vs Arizona
  22. Dwayne Bowe @ Buffalo
  23. Kevin Ogletree @ Seattle
  24. Miles Austin @ Seattle
  25. Lance Moore @ Carolina
  26. Vincent Jackson @ NYG
  27. Brandon LaFell vs N.O.
  28. Torrey Smith @ Philly
  29. Justin Blackmon vs Houston
  30. DeSean Jackson vs Baltimore *Probable
  31. Santonio Holmes @ Pittsburgh
  32. Nate Washington @ S.D. *questionable
  33. Michael Crabtree vs Detroit
  34. Randy Moss vs Detroit
  35. Malcolm Floyd vs Ten
  36. Sidney Rice vs Dallas
  37. Danny Amendola vs Washington
  38. Andrew Hawkins vs Cleveland
  39. Denarius Moore @ Miami *Probable
  40. Anquan Boldin @ Philly
  41. Santana Moss @ St. Louis/Aldrick Robinson @ St. Louis
  42. Stephen Hill @ Pittsburgh
  43. Nate Burleson @ S.F/Donnie Avery vs Minnesota
  44. Titus Young @ S.F.
  45. Emmanuel Sanders vs NYJ
  46. Darrius Heyward-Bey @ Miami
  47. Kenny Britt @ S.D. *15-25 snaps
  48. Mike Williams @ NYG
  49. Robert Meachem vs Ten
  50. Dexter McCluster @ Buffalo
  51. Jeremy Kerley @ Pittsburgh
  52. Brandon Gibson vs Washington
  53. Devery Henderson @ Carolina
  54. Davonne Bess vs Oakland
  55. LeStar Jean @ Jacksonville
  56. Andre Roberts @ N.E.
  57. Laurent Robinson vs Houston
  58. Donald Jones vs K.C.
  59. Greg Little @ Cincy
  60. Jon Baldwin @ Buffalo
  61. Steve Breaston @ Buffalo
  62. Domenik Hixon vs T.B.
  63. Harry Douglas vs Denver
  64. Braylon Edwards vs Dallas
  65. Mario Manningham vs Detroit
  66. Cecil Shorts vs Houston
  67. Rod Streater @ Miami
  68. Michael Floyd @ N.E.
  69. Kendall Wright @ S.D.** Bump up 10 spots if Washington is out.
  70. Doug Baldwin vs Dallas

Tight Ends

  1. Rob Gronkowski vs Arizona
  2. Jimmy Graham @ Carolina
  3. Aaron Hernandez vs Arizona
  4. Antonio Gates vs Ten
  5. Vernon Davis vs Detroit
  6. Jason Witten @ Seattle
  7. Tony Gonzalez vs Denver
  8. Jacob Tamme @ Atlanta
  9. Dennis Pitta @ Philly
  10. Brandon Pettigrew @ S.F.
  11. Owen Daniels @ Jacksonville
  12. Tony Moeaki @ Buffalo
  13. Coby Fleener vs Minnesota
  14. Greg Olsen vs N.O.
  15. Jared Cook @ S.D.
  16. Brent Celek vs Baltimore
  17. Martellus Bennett vs T.B./Fred Davis @ St. Louis
  18. Jermaine Gresham vs Cleveland
  19. Heath Miller vs NYJ
  20. Kyle Rudolph @ Indy
  21. Marcedes Lewis vs Houston
  22. Dallas Clark @ NYG
  23. Joel Dreessen @ Atlanta
  24. Lance Kendricks vs Washington
  25. Kevin Boss @ Buffalo
  26. Scott Chandler vs K.C.
  27. Anthony Fasano vs Oakland
  28. Ed Dickson @ Philly
  29. Zach Miller vs Dallas