FantasySavvy 2017: Super Bowl 51 Analysis & Prediction

Super Bowl Sunday, an American staple and unofficial National Holiday. It will be official once they make Monday a day off. Everybody is mostly shot out anyway after drinking tons of beer, wine, vodka, coke, Dr. Pepper or whatever. Then add in all the wings, chips, dips, etc. and most people feel like their name is Gorky Tuckens come Monday Morning. Might as well just give everybody the day off. But the Super Bowl is something everybody and their Mother will watch. Well while you are stuffing your face and talking to some guy who you never met before you may miss a big play or two. Or if you’re talking to your Friends Wife’s sisters friend, nevermind just try to have some good laughs with your buddies or close family and watch as much as you can! Also some guy named Tucker Beencorse will leave during halftime because he has a long ride home, has an early flight somewhere or an early meeting. Or another guy will start telling a story about how he grew up in Delaware and be loud as hell about it. Some other young chic might be too drunk and loud. Kids will be running around screaming. Point is the Super Bowl is usually a game you can’t fully focus on because of so many different people being around. For me it’s a time to meet up with my friends I haven’t seen in a while and have a good time, but I def miss a lot of things and can’t fully focus in like I usually do. End of the day it is what it is, enjoy the game and make sure to fully tune in when it matters! Enjoy the orange pasted guacomole roasted pepper bean dip that your Friends wife made from some random internet recipe.  On to the game at hand……………….

ATLANTA

I liked Matt Ryan early in his career, but over the last few seasons it looked like he was starting to regress. He would start out hot but flop in the 2nd half the season and in the Playoffs. This year you could notice there was something different when you watched Ryan. His arm looked stronger, he looked much more decisive and was making deep, accurate throws with consistency. Ryan must have taken an off-season approach to really improve his body, arm and mind. Also Kyle Shanahan helped tremendously with his play calling and offensive design. Ryan looks like he has mastered this offense and it has shown all season.

Julio Jones, not much to say other than the play vs the Packers last week where he stiff armed and out ran the defense on his way to a TD shows how gifted and talented he is. The trade the Falcons made for him by giving up all those draft picks was for made for this reason, to win them a Super Bowl. I remember agreeing with the trade at the time, because how many times can you get a sure-fire player like that in the draft. Jones was an animal in College and his game has translated perfectly. We will see if that trade fully pays off today. It will be very interesting to see how the Pats go about covering him.

The Falcons running game is obviously another huge concern for Pats. Freeman and Coleman are both young, fresh, dynamic and extremely talented RB’s. Both are effective out of the backfield and Shanahan uses them in the passing game wisely. Many times throughout the season he had these guys lined up against guys who had no business covering them. Freeman has the ability to make guys miss and is one of the more agile backs in the league. Coleman is more of a one cut straight away runner but he hits holes hard and has good speed.

The Falcons main role players Sanu, Gabriel and Austin Hooper also are solid players. Sanu may have a big game if the Pats really go all out on stopping Julio. Hooper I think has a future in this league and he could have a nice game today, the Pats aren’t great at defending Tight Ends. Gabriel hasn’t done much in recent weeks with a fully healthy Julio, but is still a threat because of his explosive speed.

The Falcons Defense isn’t great statistically but is young, talented and I trust Dan Quinn will have his guys fully prepared. Vic Beasley led the NFL in sacks and obviously creating pressure on Brady will be a huge factor. Normally when you see Brady struggle it’s early and often and that happens consistently throughout the game. Brady just looks uncomfortable all game. I have seen it many times,  the Jets historically have always done a good job at disrupting Brady every now and then. We’ve seen the Giants do it to him twice in the Super Bowl. This is usually when Brady and the Pats lose, when defense create consistent pressure on him. However, I don’t think this will be the case in this game, but the Alanta defense may be able to make a big play or two to swing this game in their favor. Sometimes it just takes one big play.

NEW ENGLAND

Tom Brady wins this game and the talks begin for the next two weeks about him being the best of all-time. It is amazing what he has done throughout his career. Brady has perfected a few things. Accuracy, pocket presence and mastery of this offense. Ryan has mastered his offense this year, but Brady has mastered his offense long ago because he has been in the same system forever. That is why you get all these new guys in the offense over the years and Brady just keeps rolling along with success. The Pats also do a great job of just keeping that continuity within the team, bringing in the same type of players to just plug-in. It’s like a Plug n Play offense. Brady knows his offense like the back of the house he grew up in. This can not be overlooked, this is truly one of the main reasons why Brady is so great. It’s like a book he has read 200 times.

The popular narrative in this game seems to be that LeGarrette Blount having a big role in this game. It makes a ton of sense, since the Falcons haven’t been great at defending the run this year and it will also help keep the Falcons offense off the field. Also Dion Lewis fumbled twice in their Divisional Round matchup vs Houston leading to decreased snaps in the AFC Championship game vs the Steelers. Maybe Bill doesn’t fully trust Dion in this game? No doubt Dion will be used, but maybe Bill is a little more reluctant to rely on Dion. Maybe we see more James White. Either way, the Pats backs will be used in the offense, as they have done historically. Will we see a lot of Blount? The logic says yes. Certainly Dion Lewis is a very talented back and he should be utilized often in this game. But you just never know what the Pats may do.

Julian Edelman is a staple in this offense and he will likely lead the Pats in receiving in this game. The Falcons play mostly man defense and the Pats will be ready for that with a lot of man beaters running rubs, pick plays and using Edelman in motion to free him up. Chris Hogan has emerged recently as a Brady favorite, exploding in the AFC Championship game. He is a good player and should have a nice game as well. I like Malcolm Mitchell as a player and he was coming on towards the end of the season but now with Hogan back healthy and also Danny Amendola he has been phased out again. I think they should utilize him more in this game. Amendola who knows what he will do. Bennett is playing hurt and hasn’t been that effective of late, but maybe he just goes all out in this game. Regardless Brady has a lot of weapons at his disposal and all of these guys seem to be on the same page with Tom.

The Pats Defense has allowed the fewest points in the league, but if  you look at their schedule, they have faced some awful offenses and QB’s. Brock Osweiler, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Charlie Whitehurst, Landry Jones, etc. The best two QB’s they faced in the Regular season were Andy Dalton and Russell Wilson and both guys had good success with QB ratings over 100. Yes they did a good job on Ben last week, but Ben was horrible on the road all season, just not the same player he was at home. I don’t think this defense will do much to disrupt the Falcons offense.

PREDICTION

I think this is going to be another great Super Bowl coming down to the very end. The Pats have been in some very good Super Bowls and I think it continues today. I also think this game is going to be very high scoring. This is the highest total ever in a Super Bowl at 58 points and I think the score exceeds that. I believe this could be the highest scoring SB ever. The highest ever to date was Super Bowl 29 when the 49ers and Steve Young, Jerry Rice, Ricky Watters, destroyed the San Diego Chargers led by Stan Humphries, Junior Seau and Natrone Means Business. The 49ers won 49-26 for a total of 75 points. I really think this game could exceed that. The reason I believe this is because the mastery of the offenses by both of these QB’s, combined with a lack of a truly elite defense on either side. Both of these offenses are models of consistency and it may come down to whoever has the ball last.

I believe the Pats will be to get mostly anything they want on offense whether it’s LeGarrette Blount or a whole lot of Julian Edelman/Chris Hogan. I also believe the Falcons will be able get what they want with Matt Ryan having an excellent game and the RB’s producing a good amount of combined yards in the running and passing game. This game is going to be a high-powered offensive shootout led by two excellent QB’s.

As I am writing this, I still don’t have a good feel for who will win this game. My logic tells me the Patriots, but my heart tells me the Falcons, although there is some logic thrown in there as well. The majority are picking the Patriots and rightly so. Part of me wants to say Brady and Belichick have one more in them or maybe even two more. They would really be the greatest ever breaking all records. Records are made to be broken. Another part of me says the Falcons and owner Arthur Blank will get a championship that has been a long time coming for their organization and city. The Braves in 1995 were the last time this city won anything. I could see such a quality coach in Dan Quinn hoisting the Lombardi trophy, with Julio Jones or Matt Ryan being the MVP. But Tom Brady may want this Super Bowl more than any other, since his Mom has not been to one of his games all year as she has been sick with some kind of ailment. She will be there today to watch her son. I could see Tom dedicating this win to his mom at the end of the game.

How will Alex Mack’s broken fibula effect the Falcons offense and running game? Will the Patriots be able to control the game and keep the Falcons offense off the field with LeGarrette Blount? Will Julio be contained? Will it matter? So many questions. But I have decided.

I am picking the Atlanta Falcons to win this game. Matt Ryan, Devonta Freeman, Julio Jones, are just too dynamic for me to pick against. Yes the Pats have Brady and Belichick, but I think the Falcons are the better team. I see Vic Beasley making one huge play in this game that will swing the game. But even with that big play, this game will not be won by defense it will be won by offense. I think the Falcons offense is a well oiled machine even more so than the Pats. This game will be high scoring and exciting. Their will be a lot of lead changes. So let’s go with this, Falcons 41, Patriots 38.

Enjoy the games be safe and have a blessed Sunday. Please follow me on twitter @FantasySavvy. Next season we will have our podcast every week along with our weekly film review, NFL Picks and daily and seasonal league info. In the meantime it’s College Hoops with some NBA here and there. March Madness is almost here!

 

 

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FantasySavvy 2016: QB Tiers

Rodgers had a rough year by his standards last season but with Jordy Nelson back, Randall Cobb back in his true role and Eddie Lacy back in shape, he should return to his normal self. Russell Wilson continues to get better and still has lots of talent around him. Last year he developed more with Doug Baldwin and has a emerging young WR with Tyler Lockett. Jimmy Graham will return soon and he also has talent with WR Paul Richardson and Jermaine Kearse. Cam is Cam, and gets Benjamin back this year.

Luck needs to stay healthy but also make less mistakes and play better than he did last year. He drops to tier 2 for me. Brady is in Tier 2 because when he returns he will instantly put up big numbers. Brees and Palmer will be great values in your auctions/drafts.

Bortles takes the biggest jump here coming of his high performing Sophomore season. Many experts say bust, but I don’t see it. Allen Robinson is a true #1 WR and Hurns gets the job done with Bortles. Marquis Lee also looks healthy this year and could be a nice weapon for them. This Jacksonville offense is emerging and I think Bortles has another solid season. He will be on a good amount of my teams.

Big Ben is still great but is getting older and hurt more often, so have some caution. Rivers will continue to be steady.

Tyrod Taylor had a lot of inconsistent performances last year with some big games. But I like consistency game in and game out and he didn’t really provide that. Romo drops to Tier 4 because he is such an injury risk and is aging. Kirk Cousins has Jordan Reed, Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson along with a good offensive mind in Jay Gruden. He should repeat last years performance.

Matt Ryan is underwhelming but still can put up decent numbers. As you can see I am not an RG3 believer. I could see him being benched or injured around Week 4 or 5. In the 5th tier, Mariota, Tannehill or Carr could make a big jump this season.

1st Tier

Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, Cam Newton

2nd Tier

Andrew Luck, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Carson Palmer

3rd Tier

Big Ben, Eli Manning, Blake Bortles, Phil Rivers

4th Tier

Matt Stafford, Tyrod Taylor, Tony Romo, Kirk Cousins, Jameis Winston,

5th Tier

Derek Carr, Jay Cutler, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Ryan Tannehill, Marcus Mariota, Matt Ryan

6th Tier

Joe Flacco, Alex Smith,

7th Tier

RG3, Brock Osweiler, Sam Bradford, Teddy Bridgewater, Trevor Siemian, Blaine Gabbert, Paxton Lynch

8th Tier

Jared Goff, Jimmy Garapulo, Case Keenum, Dak Prescott, Josh McCown

2016 NCAA Tournament: Players Pool Intro w/ Gary Plonderson

 

YES!! I am finally here, I know you have been waiting. Sorry for the long hiatus. I have been on a plethora of different excursions around the world and my Fantasy Writeups have had to take somewhat of a backseat. Travels to Monaco, Charlestown, Delaware, Ireland, Turkey, Bucketville, Horace Grants Steakhouse, the Arfin Trail, Geef Island and Sarah’s Ricotta Geel Rip.  Safe to say Ol Gary got a fewwww items of that Bucketlist!!! It’s called living, try it sometime.   But seriously, it feels good to be back. After my landing in the beautiful city of Teterboro on my private plane, I headed right over to Steve Sizziling steakhouse for a long dinner with some old Jersey Pals. That is why I wasn’t able to join you guys earlier. But I am here now ready for action, ready to attack like a Zebra with wings against a Lion for Revenge. Ready to saturate the market. Ready to Absorb and spit out numbers and facts like a 23 year-old Korean Stockbroker. Yes Gary is back. Yes Gary. Gary is here, Gary. Gary man. Ok enough about me, although if you want to hear more about my travels,  check out Amazon for my new book, Travels Amongst the Furlong.  Buy the book and get a free GaryWagon at GarywagonGary/Garywagon/Gary/YesIt’sGary.com. Put in the Promo code Chip Lohmiller. Ok let’s get to it, March Madness is here, simply the best time of the year. Pull up your trousers, adjust your contacts or glasses, watch with passion, watch with Zeal, focus like an Owl and get ready for the greatest tournament ever created.

*One note, I have no record of the winner in 2013. Whoever I missed in my title announcements, I apologize.  And I may be off on some things. Feel free to correct me by sending a letter in the Mail to P.O. Box 467 Jenkins Highway, South Dakota. I am using an old history book that I found in my old langston walker briefcase.

Eric Probst aka Hield the Children

Eric Probst a Cuse alum and I believe former roommate in college of our prestigious founder and commissioner Glen Garvin, finally rejoined the fun two years ago after a long break.  In his first year back he took down the crown for his first every title. He wasn’t able to repeat in 2015, but does come back with #1 pick Buddy Hield this year. Probst, a longtime member of the Capital City Fantasy Football league, recently departed after being one of the best owners there. So no doubt, from EP, you are going to see a sound and solid performance each year. His return is welcomed as he improves the overall competitive nature of this magnificent league.

Appearances: 7, Titles 1 (2014)

Best Picks– Buddy Hield (1st Overall pick), Danuel House (2nd round), Anthony Gil (3rd Round), Isaiah Briscoe (9th Round), Makai Mason (17th Round), Tre’ Mclean (last overall pick)

Anti Gary Picks– Jonathan Motley (4th round) Diamond Stone (5th Round) Phil Booth (10th round) Khadeem Lattin (15th Round)

Draft Grade – C+

JJ&Kowalski Aka Deacons

JJ a Wake Forest Alum, longs for the days of  Jeff Teague, Tim Duncan, Randolph Childress.  (one of the most memorable crossovers of all time) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sRJMsoIptQo Wake has been awful of late. Maybe they should bring back Dino.

But historically and for the most part this combo has been pretty competitive and with Wake out of the tournament that should eliminate any bias picks. Kowalski hasn’t made a pick in 5 years says JJ, but perhaps he should utilize his partners knowledge. No I In team, but there is an I in winning?  Kowalski looks like he was the original owner of this team back in 98 with JJ joining or finally being recognized in 2004.

Appearances:  Kowalski 6 Solo, Kevin and JJ 12, Titles 1 (2006)

Best Picks- Denzel Valentine (2nd Overall Pick) DeAndre’ Bembry (8th Round)

Anti Gary Picks– Jalen Jones (2nd Round) A.J. Hammons (4th Round) Jalen Brunson (5th Round) Trevor Cooney (15th Round) DJ Hogg (17th Round)

Draft Grade– D

Ray & Dusty Aka RazorSchmatt

Ahh, my favorite combo Dusty and Ray , Ray and Dusty, they go together like Cheetos and Wet Naps. Dusty also makes some of the best Ribs you will ever taste. I tasted them one time, after I did have some stains on the left side of my shorts, but it was well worth it. Those Ribs were amazing and I await the day when I can try them again. But this combo has had a very successful franchise in the Capital City Football league. The Duck won yet another title this season and are now tied for the league record with 4 titles. But this league is an entirely different story. O’Dell Beckham is not here to save them. According to my records they have yet to claim a title as partners. And many solo runs by Ray before partnering with Dusty were unsuccessful. Dusty an original member of the 87 inaugural season had three solo appearances in 87, 98 & 2003 that were failures before he joined up with Ken Sullivan in 2004. That lasted until 2006 without success and then Dusty  joined with Ray in 2007 after some slight squabbles with Sully. What happened between Ken and Dusty though? Did Dusty see the success his Duck partnership in Football was having and make an executive decision, being the man of vision Dusty is? Or did somebody take a turd in somebody else’s pillow after a long, long night of drinking. Nobody may ever know the truth, nevertheless I believe it was for the best for all parties. But I have not seen all three of these guys in quite some time and I hope to see them soon.

Appearances: Dusty & Ray 9, Dusty (3 Solo, 2 with Ken Sullivan) Ray (6 Solo) ,  0 Title

Best Picks- Perry Ellis (3rd overall Pick),

Anti Gary Picks- Trevon Bluiett (2nd Round) Brandon Ingram (3rd Round) Jordan Loveridge (6th Round) Jordan McLaughlin  (11th Round) Jamel Artis (13th Round) and the two other USC guys and Austin Peay guy.

Draft Grade – F  

Steve DeAngelo & Dennis Severino

Always a dangerous tandem, Steve and Dennis went on a great run from 2007-2009 winning 3 titles in a row, something that has not been done by any other franchise. Steve who first joined this league back in 1996, at just 14 years old , but then took a few years hiatus, claimed his own title in 2004 , until joining forces with Dennis 2006. It truly has been a great partnership. However, they have not won since 2009, which is somewhat surprising, but not surprising because this tournament is very hard to win. Truly a league of extraordinary gentlemen. Usually playing the strategy of stacking a team or two and riding them to the Final 4 and Finals, they went away from that this year and only doubled up on one team which was a 6 seed in Seton Hall. We will see if this new strategy pans out. The lack of an overall stronghold team may have played a part in that.

Appearances: Steve 6 Solo, Titles 1 (2004) Steve & Dennis 10, Titles 3 (2007, 2008, 2009)

Best Picks- Brice Johnson (4th Overall) Angel Rodriguez (4th Round) Ivan Rabb (6th Round) Khadeen Carringon (8th Round) 

Anti Gary Picks- (Landen Lucas 7th Round)

Draft Grade- B

Joe Grippo & Phil DeAngelo 

Welcome to the Players Pool tournament Joe Grippo. It’s been a long time coming. After many appearances in the infamous basement watching the tournament, you have finally joined perhaps the greatest Fantasy Tournament known to Man. Phil DeAngelo who has had many appearances in this league, without any success at all, has brought Grippo in to be his partner and General Manager. Big Phil has had some solo appearances and many partners without positive results. One of his partners one year proceeded to take everybody from the Big East, that didn’t work out well. Grippo recently traveled to Florida to meet Phil, no doubt after Phil called him and told him to get his ass down there to discuss this partnership. On the surface it looks to be a great partnership, but we will see how Grippo’s draft skills fare amongst this skilled group of men. One thing is for sure, Grippo better “Move his Ass” as Phil likes to say or “He’s Gone!”

Appearances: Phil DeAngelo 10, 0 Titles, Phil & Joe (1st year this season)

Best Picks- Malcolm Brogdon (5th Overall) Derrick Gordon (20th Round)

Anti Gary Picks- Josh Hart (2nd Round) Daniel Ochefu (5th Round) Nate Britt (7th Round) Marshall Plumlee (9th Round) Derryck Thornton (15th Round) Farad Cabb (16th Round) and few more.

Draft Grade- F

Glen Garvin Aka Cooney Sucks

The Founder, the Commish, the only participant who has been in this league every single season since 1987. 1987, that was a special year. The year I founded the Pertin Institute in Rockholm, Montana. Unfortunately due to running toilets and poor funding the Institute closed down after just 14 weeks. Still, it was the first Institute of its kind to preserve ancient Corn Rock, once brought here by Christopher Columbus himself and later founded by his successor Blakely the Lion Fef the 34th. It is now a Arby’s I believe or a Sonic, not sure.

But the Founder has done a great job keeping this league going all these years, with passion and excellence. It truly is a joy for the members

Appearances: 29, Titles 4 (1991, 1996, 2002, 2011)

Best Picks- Tyler Ulis *subconsciously wrote Tyler Cooney here, or it’s very late and that Steve’s Sizzler steak is fogging by brain. (2nd Round) Jaysean Paige (3rd Round) Tarik Phillip (8th Round) Wes Washpun (15th Round)

Anti Gary Picks- Peter Jok (6th Round) Abdel Nader (9th Round) Eric McCellan (17th Round) Tyler Lydon (20th Round)

Draft Grade– C+

John Donadio

I have to be honest, I do not know much about the man they call Donadio. I have never met him or seen him. He could be a myth? But one thing is for sure he has not been a legend. It appears he first joined in 2008 and has not a title. He is the secret man, he could be in the CIA? I don’t know, but he must love the game here and who could blame him. Could you blame the damn man? And he must have loved the game Oregon Trail and enjoys stacked Pancakes. But sometimes it’s better to shut your mouth then to be known a fool as they say. But no one will argue with the man who is behind the stage and yet still is profound, with fervor with glee, with strength, with a mighty sword to swing. Or it could be Jerry, the local Postman just delivering the mail again.

*Donadio is known for taking very low point scorers on high seeds. But the Oregon trail strategy could work, perhaps no team looked more impressive this season than Oregon in their Conference Championship blowout over Utah.

Appearances: 8, Titles O

Best Picks- Dylan Brooks (7th Overall) Chris Boucher (3rd round) Eron Harris (4th Round Jevon Carter (8th Round)

Anti Gary Picks- Jarrod Uthoff (5th overall) Melvin Johnson (6th overall) Carlton Bragg (14th Overall) Marvin Clark (15th Overall) Josh Perkins (17th overall)

Draft Grade B-

Kenny D

The defending champ and he’s not hesitant to remind you or shout it from the mountain tops, Kenneth severely needed it after a 13 year hiatus. Can he continue the momentum after last year’s victory? Or will he buried by the masses. Because turn your back for too long and your post is ambushed, taken, and gone. Kind of like when my Kid Sister took my Rambo collection and tossed it off the Briangton Cliff after I took a poopie in her shoe. Ken, an original member of the 1987 inaugural season, will be looking for back to back titles something only two franchises have accomplished in the 29 years of this league. Or maybe it’s 28 years, forgive Old Gary. Somebody please rectify!!! Either way it shows how hard of a feat it is here.

Appearances:  24-26, Titles 2 (2001) (2015)

Best Picks- Jaylen Brown (8th overall) Jabrari Bird (9th Round) Lester Medford (13th Round) Mo Alie-Cox (15th Round) Dyshawn Pierre (16th Round) Derek Walton (20th Round)

Worst Picks- Justin Jackson (2nd Round) Kelan Martin (1oth Round) Michael Young (12th Round) James Robinson (14th Round) Anthony Clemmons (17th Round)

Draft Grade– C

Mike Esposito Aka Neighbor Boy

What is this Neighbor Boy? I have not heard of this. I must have been in the caves for too long. Could it mean that he’s your neighbor? Or he wants to be your neighbor? Will he drop off Apple Pie? Espo used to be the one to bring the excellent Italian spread for each tournament that opening Thursday. It would usually last at least 3 days. Easily one of the most astute and knowledgeable members in this league, Espo is due for another title. He has not won since 1999. Could this finally be the year? Can he break the losing streak? It’s been a longggg time coming for Espo, and I will tell your right now, I may have others that I am rooting for more, but if Espo wins this I will not be a sad man. I will certainly send him some cherries and coins. Will a change come? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y0k5rYcXLYg

Appearances: 18, Titles 1 (1999)

Best Picks- Jamal Murray (9th overall) Elgin Cook (2nd Round) Devin Williams (4th Round) Davon Reed (6th Round) Desi Rodriguez (12th Round) Justin Sears (16th Round)

Worst Picks– Robert Carter (8th Round) Jake Lyman (9th Round) Matt Thomas (11th Round)

Draft Grade– B

Evan Swalling

Evan, the last of the remaining 1987 original members left, has the longest drought of anyone. He has not won since 1988, the year he graduated High School!!! Mullets were still in style. Oh boyyyyy that is a long time. Espo is due, but if anybody is truly due, it’s Swalling. A former High School coach and most definitely a student of the game, needs to get it done!  He understands the game as much as anyone in this league. But again, this is a very hard league to win. There are no keepers and players and teams change every single year. Is there a chance he wins this year? There always is, no matter how high the odds.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMRrNY0pxfM

Appearances: 25-27, Titles 1 (1988)

Best Picks: Frank Mason (2nd Overall) Sheldon McClellan (4th Overall) Jameel Mckay (11th Round) Isaiah Wilkins (15th Round) Kaleb Tarzu (16th Round)

Worst Picks- Luke Kennard (5th Round) James Farr (6th Round) Matt Jones (7th Round) Lorenzo Bonam (9th Round)

Draft Grade- C+

Ken Sullivan Aka CruCap

Where have all the Cowboys Gone? Rider on the Storm? Hot Blooded? Cherokee Rick and the 4 Horsemen? Sully started solo then partnered with Dusty then went back to solo. Kind of like a Rock n Roll band. He broke off the group to go solo in his own band. Baracudda!!!!!!!!!!!!! He claimed a title in 2012.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4nWy8pmIM4 .Wow play that song a few times when you hit the elliptical.

Appearances: 10 Solo, 1 title (2012) , 3 with Dusty.

Best Picks– Wayne Selden (2nd Round) Daxter Miles (6th Round) Zach Auguste (9th Round)

Worst Picks – Jakob Poeltl (1st Round) Ryan Ardicianao (3rd Round) Kyle Wiltjer (5th Round) Troy Williams (7th Round) Lamonte Bearden (20th Round)

Draft Grade- D

Marvin & Davies

Marvin changes teams like I like change my underpants, once every 3 years or so. Marvin is infamous for blowing up the bathroom in the basement, perhaps worse than any other member. It has stained the minds of all who had to suffer through that. It’s very hard to track his membership. It appears he also takes a year off every now and then, although it seems like he’s in it every year.  He has since joined up with Brian Davies, who was first spotted in this league dating back to 1994 with Mark “Rolls’ Werner!!!! Wowww. Davies also has changed partners multiple times. Davies is known for making contrarian picks and having them work out. No doubt he has a unique perspective on this tournament and I respect that. I respect Men who go from the norm, blaze their own trails. This seemed like an unlikely partnership, but it has formed. Have they found a marriage here? How will it pan out and how long will it last? Judging from the past, not long, but we shall see.

Appearances: Marvin truly unknown 5-7?, Titles 0? Davies 14, 1 Title (2010)

Best Picks- Tyler Dorsey (1st Round) Bryan Forbes (2nd Round) Isaiah Whitehead (4th round) Marvelle Harris (12th round) Josh Hagins (16th round) Zak Irvin (20th Round)

Worst Picks– Rasheed Suliamon (8th round) Svilaslsaov MookyMook (10th Round)

Draft Grade– B

That is all everyone. Gary must depart now. I am off to breakfast at the famous Bendix Diner. Tell Suzy to send a letter and tell Rose to meet me in the back!!! Tell George to have the muffins ready and tell Lance to pick me up 9am Sharp!! Were headed to bet on some ponies!!! And then we will enjoy the games, just like the rest of you. I love it. We love it. Time to get sooped up. And so, may the best team win. All the best to all, to all the best. I hope to make another appearance somewhere around the Sweet 16 or Elite 8, we shall see. But after this weekend I am headed out once again. Out to venture. Actually, I am going to my Mother in Laws house for 3 weeks to help her build a oven. I hope you respect my draft grades. Ol Gary watches just as much as anyone and this is how I truly feel. Love to all. But I will leave you with this, to get you ready. From the great Gus Johnson, a dear friend, the best College Basketball announcer of All-Time.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FantasySavvy 2015: Week 4 Player Rankings

QB’s

  1. Aaron Rodgers @ SF
  2. Peyton Manning vs MIN
  3. Tyrod Taylor vs NYG
  4. Derek Carr @ CHI
  5. Carson Palmer vs STL
  6. Matt Ryan vs HOU
  7. Cam Newton @ TB
  8. Drew Brees vs DAL
  9. Russell Wilson vs DET
  10. Andy Dalton vs KC
  11. Phillip Rivers vs CLE * missing 3, possibly 4 OL today.
  12. Blake Bortles @ IND
  13. Sam Bradford @ WAS
  14. Matt Stafford @ SEA
  15. Eli Manning @ BUF
  16. Alex Smith @ CIN
  17. Colin Kaepernick vs GB
  18. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs MIA  *Game in London
  19. Ryan Tannehill vs NYJ * Game in London
  20. Jameis Winston vs CAR
  21. Ryan Mallet @ ATL
  22. Teddy Bridgewater @ DEN
  23. Brandon Weeden @ NO
  24. Josh McCown @ SD
  25. Nick Foles @ AZ
  26. Kirk Cousins vs PHI
  27. Jimmy Claussen vs OAK

RB’s

  1. Jamaal Charles @ CIN
  2. Latavius Murray @ CHI
  3. Eddie Lacy @ SF
  4. Karlos Williams vs NYG
  5. Devonta Freeman vs HOU
  6. Frank Gore vs JAC * Only if Luck is active, if not drop 10 slots
  7. Melvin Gordon vs CLE
  8. Carlos Hyde vs GB
  9. Mark Ingram vs DAL
  10. Jonathan Stewart @ TB
  11. Matt Forte vs OAK
  12. Adrian Peterson @ DEN
  13. Joseph Randle @ NO
  14. Marshawn Lynch vs DET * gametime decision
  15. C.J. Anderson vs MIN
  16. Jeremy Hill vs KC
  17. Arian Foster @ ATL * gametime decision
  18. Chris Johnson vs STL
  19. Giovani Bernard vs KC
  20. T.J. Yeldon @ IND *if Luck OUT bump up 5 spots
  21. Demarco Murray @ WAS
  22. Chris Ivory vs MIA
  23. Ameer Abdullah @ SEA
  24. Danny Woodhead vs CLE
  25. Matt Jones vs PHI
  26. Isaiah Crowell @ SD
  27. Lamar Miller vs NYJ
  28. Darren Sproles @ WAS
  29. C.J. Spiller vs DAL
  30. Alfred Morris vs WAS
  31. Thomas Rawls vs DET *with LYNCH OUT move up 10 spots
  32. Lance Dunbar @ NO
  33. Charles Sims vs CAR
  34. Andre Williams vs BUF
  35. Doug Martin vs CAR
  36. Bilal Powell vs MIA
  37. Duke Johnson @ SD
  38. Todd Gurley @ AZ
  39. Ronnie Hilman vs MIN
  40. Ryan Mathews @ WAS
  41. Shane Vereen @ BUF
  42. Chris Thompson vs PHI
  43. Theo Riddick @ SEA
  44. Alfred Blue @ ATL * move up 16 spots if FOSTER OUT
  45. Fred Jackson vs DET * move up  14 Spots if Lynch is OUT

WR’s

  1. Julio Jones vs HOU
  2. Randall Cobb @ SF
  3. Demaryious Thomas vs MIN
  4. T.Y. Hilton vs JAC * LUCK Pending, move down 20 spots if OUT
  5. O’Dell Beckham @ BUF
  6. Larry Fitzgerald vs STL
  7. A.J. Green vs KC
  8. Amari Cooper @ CHI
  9. Emmanuel Sanders vs MIN
  10. Brandon Marshall vs MIA
  11. Calvin Johnson @ SEA
  12. DeAndre Hopkins @ ATL
  13. Jeremy Maclin @ CIN
  14. Keenan Allen vs CLE
  15. Brandin Cooks vs DAL
  16. Mike Evans vs CAR
  17. James Jones @ SF
  18. Jordan Matthews @ WAS
  19. Donte Moncrief vs JAC * Move down 15 spots if LUCK OUT
  20. Pierre Garcon vs PHI
  21. Percy Harvin vs NYG
  22. Anquan Boldin vs GB
  23. Jarvis Landry vs NYJ
  24. Stevie Johnson vs CLE
  25. Allen Robinson @ INDY
  26. John Brown vs STL
  27. Marvin Jones vs KC
  28. Michael Crabtree @ CHI
  29. Robert Woods vs NYG
  30. Doug Baldwin vs DET
  31. Golden Tate @ SEA
  32. Vincent Jackson vs CAR
  33. Terrance Williams @ NO
  34. Travis Benjamin @ SD
  35. Nelson Agholor @ WAS
  36. Mike Wallace @ DEN
  37. Allen Hurns @ IND
  38. Ted Ginn @ TB
  39. Marques Colston vs DAL
  40. Rishard Matthews vs NYJ
  41. Torrey Smith vs GB
  42. Andre Johnson vs JAC
  43. Roddy White vs HOU
  44. Kenny Britt @ AZ
  45. Ruben Randle @ BUF
  46. Cecil Shorts @ ATL
  47. Willie Snead vs DAL
  48. Leonard Hankerson vs HOU
  49. Philly Brown @ TB
  50. Phillip Dorsett vs JAC

TE’s

  1. Greg Olsen @ TB
  2. Jimmy Graham vs DET
  3. Travis Kelce @ CIN
  4. Jordan Reed vs PHI
  5. Tyler Eifert vs KC
  6. Charles Clay vs NYG
  7. Ladarius Green vs CLE
  8. Jason Witten @ NO
  9. Eric Ebron @ SEA
  10. Coby Fleener vs JAC * LUCK OUT drop 15 spots,
  11. Jordan Cameron vs NYJ
  12. Martellus Bennett vs OAK
  13. Richard Rodgers @ SF
  14. Owen Daniels vs MIN
  15. Kyle Rudolph @ DEN
  16. Gary Barnridge @ SD
  17. Jared Cook @ AZ
  18. Larry Donnell @ BUF
  19. Zach Ertz @ WAS
  20. Ben Watson vs DAL

FantasySavvy 2015: Week 4 Daily League Lineups

By Kevin Lewis:

Fanduel Cash Game

QB Aaron Rodgers($9200), @San Francisco– The man is a machine. The Niners are dreadful. Run him out there with supreme confidence.

HB Latavius Murray($7500), @Chicago– The Raiders are playing the Bears. Do I really need to expound on why it’s a good idea to start a RB against that “defense”?

HB Karlos Williams($6300), vs New York Giants– The Giants have given up the fifth most fantasy points to RBs. Williams has no competition for touches in the Buffalo backfield and he should get a ton of them. He’s also probably the most chalk play of the week.

WR Randall Cobb($8200), @San Francisco– He’s off to a roaring start and once again, the Niners stink. Pair him with the best QB in the league and hope that this isn’t a trap game for Green Bay.

WR Donte Moncrief($6300), vs Jacksonville- I’m going to continue to write him in this space until he goes a week without a touchdown.

WR James Jones($6000), @San Francisco- The guy scores every week and the Niners haven’t stopped anything in two weeks. Don’t overthink this.

TE Travis Kelce($6400), @Cincinnati- Prepare for the sizzling hot narrative. Kelce went to school here and I think he’s due for a big game. Cincinnati’s linebackers struggle in coverage to boot. While I’m weary of Alex Smith, Kelce creates a lot of what he gets on his own anyway.

K Matt Bryant($4800), vs HOU

D Denver Broncos($4700), vs Minnesota- It’s going to be a long day for the Vikings.

Fanduel Tourny Lineup

QB Aaron Rodgers($9200), @San Francisco

HB Karlos Williams($6300), vs New York Giants

HB Latavius Murray($7500), @Chicago

WR Randall Cobb($8200), @San Francisco

WR Jordan Matthews($7000), @Washington– It’s gonna be difficult for the Eagles to run the ball against Washington’s stout run defense. Washington also has nobody even remotely equipped to deal with JMatt. 1+1=2. I’m well aware of what the weather may have in store but I’ll take my chances on Matthews vs those CBs regardless.

WR Anquan Boldin($6400), vs Green Bay- All hunch here. San Francisco should be trailing for the majority of the contest and Vernon Davis is also out. Who are they going to target? Torrey Smith? Exactly.

TE Martellus Bennett($5500), vs Oakland- The Raiders have hemorrhaged about a million catches and 10 million yards to tight ends in 2015. Martellus Bennett is the lone wolf with Alshon Jeffery likely to miss the game. I get that Jimmy Clausen sucks but you can probably do worse for $5,500 at TE

K Chandler Catanzaro($4800), vs STL

D Denver Broncos($4700), vs Minnesota
DraftKings Cash Games

QB Andy Dalton($5900), vs Kansas City Chiefs- The Chiefs have already given up 10 touchdown passes in three games, and Dalton has thrown nine. Their secondary is banged up as well. I expect Dalton to continue his strong start to the season.

HB Matt Forte($7100), vs Oakland Raiders– He plays almost every snap. He should be re-involved in the pass game this week against a far less intimidating Raiders defense. Really good, safe play

HB Karlos Williams($3600), vs New York Giants

WR AJ Green($7600), vs Kansas City Chiefs– Completely matchup proof

WR Amari Cooper($6300), at Chicago Bears– Cooper has 290 yards in his first three professional games and he’s barely old enough to drink. The Bears gainfully employ Alan Ball and Kyle Fuller. Plug and enjoy.

WR Anquan Boldin($4800), vs Green Bay Packers

TE Martellus Bennett($4500), vs Oakland

Flex  Latavius Murray @ Chicago ($6,300)

DST Seahawks($3700)- The Lions are a dumpster fire.

DraftKings Tournament

QB- Tyrod Taylor($5800), vs New York Giants– The Giants have given up 300+ yards passing in each of their first three games. For some reason Taylor is still $5800 on DK.. Take advantage

HB Matt Forte($7100), vs Oakland Raiders 

HB Jamaal Charles($7600), @ Cincinnati Bengals– The Bengals defense is quite strong but I’ll always take my chances with Charles in full point PPR due to his load, and the amount of passes he might catch from Checkdown Master.

WR Amari Cooper($6300), at Chicago Bears

WR James Jones($5300), @San Francisco

WR Jordan Matthews($7000), @Washington

TE Martellus Bennett($4500), vs Oakland

Flex Robert Woods vs NYG- Watkins out, Taylor completing 70% of his passes, Woods will get plenty of burn against a very weak Giants secondary and defense.

D Denver Broncos($3300),vs Minnesota

**  Editors Picks  (Steve D)

FanDuel

QB- Bortles ($6,800) HB Lacy ($7,800) HB L. Murray ($7,500) WR Cobb ($8,200) WR Julio Jones ($9,400) WR Robert Woods ($5,400) TE Jordan Reed ($5,600) K Gano ($4,700) D Chargers ($4,400)

Draftkings

QB- Andrew Luck ($7,800) HB L. Murray ($6,300) RB Karlos Williams ($3,400) WR Randall Cobb ($7,400) WR T.Y. Hilton ($6,700) WR Amari Cooper ($6,300) TE Greg Olsen ($5,400)  Flex Ladarius Green ($3,200) D Cardinals ($3,400)

2014 FantasySavvy Football: Week 16 Player Rankings (SuperBowl Week)

This will be the last week for FantasySavvy’s rankings. We will however continue our radio show all the way until the Superbowl at Blogtalkradio.com/FantasySavvy and also be releasing our best Fanduel Lineups and Start, Sit Em’s. Thanks to all the readers. We hope you had success while following our site and hope you come back next season. Continue to follow us on Twitter @FantasySavvy. God Bless, Merry Christmas, Happy New Year and have a great overall Holiday Season.

QB’s

  1. Drew Brees vs ATL
  2. Aaron Rodgers @ TB
  3. Tom Brady @ NYJ
  4. Peyton Manning @ CIN
  5. Matthew Stafford @ CHI
  6. Andrew Luck vs DAL
  7. Tony Romo @ IND
  8. Matt Ryan @ NO
  9. Ben Roethlisberger vs KC
  10. Russell Wilson @ AZ
  11. Ryan Tannehill vs MIN
  12. Mark Sanchez @ WAS
  13. Joe Flacco @ HOU
  14. Alex Smith @ PIT
  15. RG3 vs PHI
  16. Cam Newton vs CLE  * Move up 3 spots if Joe Haden doesn’t play
  17. Phillip Rivers @ SF
  18. Andy Dalton vs DEN
  19. Josh Mcown vs GB
  20. Shaun Hill vs NYG
  21. Eli Manning @ STL
  22. Kyle Orton @ OAK
  23. Teddy Bridgewater @ MIA
  24. Colin Kaepernick vs SD
  25. Johnny Manziel @ CAR
  26. Case Keenum vs BAL
  27. Derek Carr vs BUF
  28. Gino Smith vs NE
  29. Jimmy Claussen vs DET
  30. Ryan Lindley vs SEA

RB’s

  1. Le’Veon Bell vs KC
  2. Jamaal Charles @ PIT
  3. DeMarco Murray vs IND *Questionable, but looks like he’ll play
  4. Marshawn Lynch @ AZ
  5. Eddie Lacy @ TB
  6. C.J. Anderson @ CIN
  7. Arian Foster vs BAL
  8. Jeremy Hill vs DEN
  9. Justin Forsett @ HOU
  10. LeSean McCoy @ WAS
  11. Joique Bell @ CHI
  12. Matt Forte vs DET
  13. Mark Ingram vs ATL
  14. Lamar Miller vs MIN
  15. Tre Mason vs NYG
  16. Jonathan Stewart vs CLE
  17. Alfred Morris vs PHI
  18. Dan Herron vs DAL
  19. Fred Jackson @ OAK
  20. Andre Williams @ STL
  21. Latavius Murray vs BUF
  22. Matt Asiata @ MIA
  23. Steven Jackson @ NO
  24. Frank Gore vs SD
  25. Isaiah Crowell @ CAR
  26. Jonas Gray @ NYJ
  27. Pierre Thomas vs ATL
  28. Giovanni Bernard vs DEN
  29.  Chris Ivory vs NE
  30. Shane Vereen @ NYJ
  31. LeGarrette Blount @ NYJ
  32. Brandon Oliver vs SF
  33. Kerwynn Williams vs SEA
  34. Terrance West @ CAR
  35. Doug Martin vs GB
  36. Charles Sims vs GB
  37. Chris Johnson vs NE
  38. C.J. Spiller @ OAK
  39. Joseph Randle vs IND  * Move up 22 Spots if Murray is OUT
  40. Roy Helu vs PHI
  41. Trent Richardson @ DAL

WR’s

  1. Calvin Johnson vs CHI
  2. Dez Bryant vs IND
  3. Demaryius Thomas @ CIN
  4. Jordy Nelson @ TB
  5. Antonio Brown vs KC
  6. A.J. Green vs DEN
  7. Randall Cobb @ TB
  8. Julio Jones vs NO *Gametime Decision, now expected to play
  9. T.Y. Hilton vs DAL *Gametime decision, looks like he may be out
  10. Mike Evans vs GB
  11. O’Dell Beckham @ STL
  12. Julian Edelman vs NYJ * questionable concussion
  13. Jeremy Maclin @ WAS
  14. Emmanuel Sanders @ CIN
  15. Roddy White @ NO
  16. Mike Wallace vs MIN
  17. Torrey Smith @ HOU
  18. Vincent Jackson vs GB
  19. DeSean Jackson vs PHI
  20. Golden Tate @ CHI
  21. Brandon LaFell @ NYJ
  22. Kelvin Benjamin vs CLE * Move up 7 spots if Joe Haden doesn’t play
  23. Sammy Watkins @ OAK
  24. Kenny Stills vs ATL
  25. Marques Colston vs ATL
  26. Jarvis Landry vs MIN
  27. Charles Johnson @ MIA
  28. DeAndre Hopkins vs BAL *Gametime Decision
  29. Andre Johnson vs BAL
  30. Jordan Matthews @ WAS
  31. Alshon Jeffrey vs DET
  32. Josh Gordon @ CAR
  33. Anquan Boldin vs SD
  34. Steve Smith Sr. @ HOU
  35. Malcolm Floyd @ SF
  36. Martavis Bryant vs KC
  37. Dwayne Bowe @ PIT
  38. Donte Moncrief @ DAL * Move up 8 Spots if Hilton is OUT
  39. Reggie Wayne @ DAL
  40. Larry Fitzgerald vs SEA
  41. Doug Baldwin @ AZ
  42. Michael Crabtree vs SD
  43. Pierre Garcon vs PHI
  44. Cole Beasley vs IND
  45. Michael Floyd vs SEA
  46. Mohammed Sanu vs DEN
  47. Percy Harvin vs NE
  48. Eric Decker vs NE
  49. Kenny Britt vs NYG
  50. Stedman Bailey vs NYG
  51. Robert Woods @ OAK

TE’s

  1. Rob Gronkowski @ NYJ
  2. Jimmy Graham vs ATL
  3. Travis Kelce @ PIT
  4. Greg Olsen vs CLE
  5. Antonio Gates @ SF
  6. Julius Thomas @ CIN
  7. Coby Fleener @ DAL
  8. Dwayne Allen @ DAL
  9. Martellus Bennett vs DET
  10. Jason Witten vs IND
  11. Heath Miller vs KC
  12. Jordan Reed vs PHI
  13. Charles Clay vs MIN
  14. Jermaine Gresham vs DEN
  15. Owen Daniels @ HOU
  16. Mychal Rivera vs BUF
  17. Jordan Cameron @ CAR
  18. Jared Cook vs NYG
  19. Larry Donnell @ STL
  20. Scott Chandler @ OAK
  21. Zach Ertz @ WAS
  22. Tim Wright @ NYJ
  23. Vernon Davis vs SD
  24. Richard Rodgers @ TB
  25. Josh Hill vs ATL
  26. Luke Wilson vs AZ

FantasySavvy 2013: Tim Tebow Should Be Signed

Blaine Gabbert, David Carr, Christian Ponder, Kyle Orton, Kellen Clemens, John Skelton, Jamarcus Russell, Josh Freeman, Carson Palmer, Thad Lewis.

These are just some of the names that GM’s and Coaches are continuing to give chances and looks, yet Tim Tebow can not get a shot?

Especially Gabbert, Ponder, Skelton, Clemens, Freeman, Palmer. These guys are certified Same Ol’ Same Ol’ bums at this point. Can anybody seriously with a straight face say that Gabbert and Kellen Clemens are better than Tebow? LOL

There is no reason why he shouldn’t be signed over these guys.

So what is it? Any reasonable person has to admit he can elevate a teams play much more than these guys; he has already shown it in Denver when he got the chance.

Are teams just not wanting to deal with the so-called distraction? Are they afraid it will cause too much media attention in their small market background? Take away from the other stars on the team and create jealousy? Are they afraid that because he’s a devout Christian it will make people on the team uneasy?

Are they afraid to back Tebow and support  him since basically every single “expert” in the world has written him off and goes out of their way to keep his name out their mouth. If they do bring him up, it’s always in a negative manner. Are they afraid to be associated with Skip Bayless?

What is going on here? We have a guy who has proven to elevate his team’s play, improve the performance of his team, improve morale and win games, yet he continues to be ignored. Meanwhile proven losers, proven guys who have shown to make their team worse, in David Carr, John Skelton, Kellen Clemens, Blaine Gabbert etc, still get chances.

Why would you give these guys a chance? These guys have done absolutely nothing to improve their team’s performance, they have zero upside and are just stagnant players. Are these GM’s lost?

This is truly perplexing to me and ridiculous. Tebow only succeeded as a QB in Denver, he never got another chance to start after he was replaced by the best QB in the NFL. Until Tebow proves that he can’t win anymore or elevate a team’s play he deserves a chance to start or at least be a backup that has a chance to start. Not be a backup like he was with the Jets  and then be held hostage. Tebow may never be anything more than he was in Denver, but he deserves another chance.

There is something going on here, it’s hard to pinpoint, but it’s a mixture of cowardice, fear of going against public opinion, and complete lack of sense and direction. It’s really shows that a lot of these GM’s and some coaches either have no clue what they are doing or like a lot of our politicians and many in society are just going along to get along.