FantasySavvy 2016: QB Tiers

Rodgers had a rough year by his standards last season but with Jordy Nelson back, Randall Cobb back in his true role and Eddie Lacy back in shape, he should return to his normal self. Russell Wilson continues to get better and still has lots of talent around him. Last year he developed more with Doug Baldwin and has a emerging young WR with Tyler Lockett. Jimmy Graham will return soon and he also has talent with WR Paul Richardson and Jermaine Kearse. Cam is Cam, and gets Benjamin back this year.

Luck needs to stay healthy but also make less mistakes and play better than he did last year. He drops to tier 2 for me. Brady is in Tier 2 because when he returns he will instantly put up big numbers. Brees and Palmer will be great values in your auctions/drafts.

Bortles takes the biggest jump here coming of his high performing Sophomore season. Many experts say bust, but I don’t see it. Allen Robinson is a true #1 WR and Hurns gets the job done with Bortles. Marquis Lee also looks healthy this year and could be a nice weapon for them. This Jacksonville offense is emerging and I think Bortles has another solid season. He will be on a good amount of my teams.

Big Ben is still great but is getting older and hurt more often, so have some caution. Rivers will continue to be steady.

Tyrod Taylor had a lot of inconsistent performances last year with some big games. But I like consistency game in and game out and he didn’t really provide that. Romo drops to Tier 4 because he is such an injury risk and is aging. Kirk Cousins has Jordan Reed, Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson along with a good offensive mind in Jay Gruden. He should repeat last years performance.

Matt Ryan is underwhelming but still can put up decent numbers. As you can see I am not an RG3 believer. I could see him being benched or injured around Week 4 or 5. In the 5th tier, Mariota, Tannehill or Carr could make a big jump this season.

1st Tier

Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, Cam Newton

2nd Tier

Andrew Luck, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Carson Palmer

3rd Tier

Big Ben, Eli Manning, Blake Bortles, Phil Rivers

4th Tier

Matt Stafford, Tyrod Taylor, Tony Romo, Kirk Cousins, Jameis Winston,

5th Tier

Derek Carr, Jay Cutler, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Ryan Tannehill, Marcus Mariota, Matt Ryan

6th Tier

Joe Flacco, Alex Smith,

7th Tier

RG3, Brock Osweiler, Sam Bradford, Teddy Bridgewater, Trevor Siemian, Blaine Gabbert, Paxton Lynch

8th Tier

Jared Goff, Jimmy Garapulo, Case Keenum, Dak Prescott, Josh McCown

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FantasySavvy 2015: Week 8, 7UP 7Down

By: Kevin Lewis

7 UP

QB Teddy Bridgewater, Minnesota Vikings (FD $6,900, DK $5,100) Bridgewater picked it up last week with a 300 yard, two TD performance at Detroit last week. He gets another good matchup this week against Chicago who is 29th in sacks and is allowing a 108 QB rating to opposing QB’s.

RB Todd Gurley, St. Louis Rams (FD $8,100, DK $6,300) San Francisco is giving up 4.4 YPC on the road this year and we all know about Gurley’s exploits the last three weeks. Don’t try to be cute and fade him.

RB Justin Forsett, Baltimore Ravens (FD $6,900, DK $6,100) Opposing running backs have scored 10 touchdowns against the Chargers this year and the Chargers have allowed more fantasy points to running backs than every other team in the NFL. Forsett is still relatively cheap so he’s one of my very favorite plays this week.

RB Orleans Darkwa, New York Giants (FD $5,100, DK  $3,600) Darwka hits holes quickly, follows his blocks and finishes his runs with power. Steve DeAngelo discussed this on the radio show last night. The Saints are allowing 6 YPC, Darkwa is set for a bigger workload this week, this could be a sleeper play that pays dividends.

WR Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings (FD $6,700, DK $4,800) He’s emerged of late and the Bears can’t stop the pass. While he will be very popular it will be hard to fade him against a poor Bears secondary.

WR Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (FD $6,400, DK $5,500) Moncrief should see less of Josh Norman than Hilton, one would think. He’s scored a touchdown in four of the five games Andrew Luck has played this year and he’s still really cheap on both sites.

TE Greg Olsen, Carolina Panthers (FD $6,400, DK $6,500) Greg Olsen is Cam Newton’s go to guy and the Colts have allowed the ninth most points to the position in 2015. With the Colts run defense actually being pretty solid for a change, it’s fair to expect Cam Newton to have to put it up a bit. With that said, play Olsen.

7 Down

QB Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Panthers (FD $9,000, DK $7,500) It feels suggesting to fade Aaron Rodgers altogether but there are so many guys with better matchups and it’s not like Green Bay’s offense has been clicking on all cylinders recently either. I realize how dangerous it is to fade him altogether but that is exactly what I plan on doing.

WR Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (FD $7,600, DK $7,000) Denver has a boatload of elite CBs. I would just avoid the entire Packers passing game altogether. It feels weird as hell to type that but here we are.

RB Chris Ivory, New York Jets (FD $7,700, DK $6,000) The most yardage the Raiders have allowed to an RB this year is 91. Add in the uncertainty with Ivory’s wide array of lower body injuries and he’s an easy fade for me this week

RB Darren McFadden, Dallas Cowboys (FD $6,400, DK $3,800) Just think better of it. I beg you. Or if you’re going to start Darren McFadden make sure you have a bottle of Pepto Bismol nearby.

RB Charcandrick West, Kansas City Chiefs (FD $6,600, DK $4,700) The Lions are actually a pretty good run defense and there isn’t a lot to like about the Chiefs offense these days.

QB Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (FD $7,800, DK $6,300) The Seahawks offense is barely above functional these days. Their OL is an absolute mess and the Cowboys front four is probably the strongest unit on the team. I’m going to avoid Wilson until he gives me a reason not to do so.

QB Brian Hoyer, Cleveland Browns (FD $6,900, DK $5,300) The Titans pass defense isn’t bad and I just feel like Hoyer is due for a dud. I’d look elsewhere in that price range if you absolutely must.

FantasySavvy 2015: Week 4 Daily League Lineups

By Kevin Lewis:

Fanduel Cash Game

QB Aaron Rodgers($9200), @San Francisco– The man is a machine. The Niners are dreadful. Run him out there with supreme confidence.

HB Latavius Murray($7500), @Chicago– The Raiders are playing the Bears. Do I really need to expound on why it’s a good idea to start a RB against that “defense”?

HB Karlos Williams($6300), vs New York Giants– The Giants have given up the fifth most fantasy points to RBs. Williams has no competition for touches in the Buffalo backfield and he should get a ton of them. He’s also probably the most chalk play of the week.

WR Randall Cobb($8200), @San Francisco– He’s off to a roaring start and once again, the Niners stink. Pair him with the best QB in the league and hope that this isn’t a trap game for Green Bay.

WR Donte Moncrief($6300), vs Jacksonville- I’m going to continue to write him in this space until he goes a week without a touchdown.

WR James Jones($6000), @San Francisco- The guy scores every week and the Niners haven’t stopped anything in two weeks. Don’t overthink this.

TE Travis Kelce($6400), @Cincinnati- Prepare for the sizzling hot narrative. Kelce went to school here and I think he’s due for a big game. Cincinnati’s linebackers struggle in coverage to boot. While I’m weary of Alex Smith, Kelce creates a lot of what he gets on his own anyway.

K Matt Bryant($4800), vs HOU

D Denver Broncos($4700), vs Minnesota- It’s going to be a long day for the Vikings.

Fanduel Tourny Lineup

QB Aaron Rodgers($9200), @San Francisco

HB Karlos Williams($6300), vs New York Giants

HB Latavius Murray($7500), @Chicago

WR Randall Cobb($8200), @San Francisco

WR Jordan Matthews($7000), @Washington– It’s gonna be difficult for the Eagles to run the ball against Washington’s stout run defense. Washington also has nobody even remotely equipped to deal with JMatt. 1+1=2. I’m well aware of what the weather may have in store but I’ll take my chances on Matthews vs those CBs regardless.

WR Anquan Boldin($6400), vs Green Bay- All hunch here. San Francisco should be trailing for the majority of the contest and Vernon Davis is also out. Who are they going to target? Torrey Smith? Exactly.

TE Martellus Bennett($5500), vs Oakland- The Raiders have hemorrhaged about a million catches and 10 million yards to tight ends in 2015. Martellus Bennett is the lone wolf with Alshon Jeffery likely to miss the game. I get that Jimmy Clausen sucks but you can probably do worse for $5,500 at TE

K Chandler Catanzaro($4800), vs STL

D Denver Broncos($4700), vs Minnesota
DraftKings Cash Games

QB Andy Dalton($5900), vs Kansas City Chiefs- The Chiefs have already given up 10 touchdown passes in three games, and Dalton has thrown nine. Their secondary is banged up as well. I expect Dalton to continue his strong start to the season.

HB Matt Forte($7100), vs Oakland Raiders– He plays almost every snap. He should be re-involved in the pass game this week against a far less intimidating Raiders defense. Really good, safe play

HB Karlos Williams($3600), vs New York Giants

WR AJ Green($7600), vs Kansas City Chiefs– Completely matchup proof

WR Amari Cooper($6300), at Chicago Bears– Cooper has 290 yards in his first three professional games and he’s barely old enough to drink. The Bears gainfully employ Alan Ball and Kyle Fuller. Plug and enjoy.

WR Anquan Boldin($4800), vs Green Bay Packers

TE Martellus Bennett($4500), vs Oakland

Flex  Latavius Murray @ Chicago ($6,300)

DST Seahawks($3700)- The Lions are a dumpster fire.

DraftKings Tournament

QB- Tyrod Taylor($5800), vs New York Giants– The Giants have given up 300+ yards passing in each of their first three games. For some reason Taylor is still $5800 on DK.. Take advantage

HB Matt Forte($7100), vs Oakland Raiders 

HB Jamaal Charles($7600), @ Cincinnati Bengals– The Bengals defense is quite strong but I’ll always take my chances with Charles in full point PPR due to his load, and the amount of passes he might catch from Checkdown Master.

WR Amari Cooper($6300), at Chicago Bears

WR James Jones($5300), @San Francisco

WR Jordan Matthews($7000), @Washington

TE Martellus Bennett($4500), vs Oakland

Flex Robert Woods vs NYG- Watkins out, Taylor completing 70% of his passes, Woods will get plenty of burn against a very weak Giants secondary and defense.

D Denver Broncos($3300),vs Minnesota

**  Editors Picks  (Steve D)

FanDuel

QB- Bortles ($6,800) HB Lacy ($7,800) HB L. Murray ($7,500) WR Cobb ($8,200) WR Julio Jones ($9,400) WR Robert Woods ($5,400) TE Jordan Reed ($5,600) K Gano ($4,700) D Chargers ($4,400)

Draftkings

QB- Andrew Luck ($7,800) HB L. Murray ($6,300) RB Karlos Williams ($3,400) WR Randall Cobb ($7,400) WR T.Y. Hilton ($6,700) WR Amari Cooper ($6,300) TE Greg Olsen ($5,400)  Flex Ladarius Green ($3,200) D Cardinals ($3,400)

2014 FantasySavvy Football: Week 9 Player Rankings

Check us on twitter @FantasySavvy.

QB’s

  1. Peyton Manning @ NE
  2. Andrew Luck @ NYG
  3. Tom Brady vs DEN
  4. Russell Wilson vs Oakland
  5. Colin Kaepernick vs STL
  6. Ben Roethlisberger vs BAL
  7. Phillip Rivers @ MIA
  8. Carson Palmer @ DAL
  9. Eli Manning vs IND
  10. Nick Foles @ HOU
  11. Ryan Tannehill vs SD * Guy is averaging about 35 rushing yards in his last 4 games.
  12. Joe Flacco @ PIT
  13. Andy Dalton vs JAC
  14. RG3 @ MIN
  15. Michael Vick @ KC
  16. Alex Smith vs NYJ
  17. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs PHI
  18. Teddy Bridgewater vs WAS
  19. Mike Glennon @ CLE
  20. Brandon Weeden vs AZ * If Romo somehow plays, he’s ranked @12 spot.
  21. Blake Bortles @ CIN
  22. Brian Hoyer vs TB
  23. Austin Davis @ SF
  24. Derek Carr @ SEA

RB’s

  1. Arian Foster vs PHI
  2. Jamaal Charles vs NYJ
  3. DeMarco Murray vs AZ
  4. Marshawn Lynch vs Oakland *He has to get it going this week
  5. Ronnie Hillman vs NE
  6. Le’Veon Bell vs BAL
  7. Andre Ellington @ DAL
  8. Ahmad Bradshaw @ NYG
  9. LeSean McCoy @ HOU
  10. Alfred Morris @ MIN
  11. Jeremy Hill vs JAC
  12. Jerrick McKinnon vs WAS
  13. Lamar Miller vs SD
  14. Justin Forsett @ PIT
  15. Shane Vereen @ DEN
  16. Frank Gore vs STL
  17. Brandon Oliver @ MIA
  18. Ben Tate vs TB
  19. Chris Ivory @ KC
  20. Denard Robinson @ CIN
  21. Bobby Rainey @ CLE
  22. Andre Williams vs IND
  23. Jonas Gray vs DEN
  24. Charles Sims @ CLE
  25. Darren McFadden @ SEA
  26. Trent Richardson @ NYG
  27. Knile Davis vs NYJ
  28. Lorenzo Taliaferro @ PIT
  29. Carlos Hyde vs STL
  30. Robert Turbin vs OAK
  31. Tre Mason @ SF
  32. Roy Helu @ MIN
  33. Juwan Thompson @ NE
  34. Darren Sproles @ HOU
  35. Matt Asiata vs WAS
  36. Isaiah Crowell vs TB
  37. Benny Cunningham @ SF
  38. Chris Johnson @ KC
  39. Peyton Hillis vs IND
  40. Terrance West vs TB

WR’s

  1. T.Y. Hilton @ NYG
  2. Antonio Brown vs BAL
  3. Demaryius Thomas @ NE
  4. Jeremy Maclin @ HOU
  5. Emmanuel Sanders @ NE
  6. A.J. Green vs JAC *Should Play, but questionable
  7. DeSean Jackson @ MIN
  8. Dez Bryant vs AZ
  9. Mike Wallace vs SD
  10. Andre Johnson vs PHI
  11. Steve Smith Sr. @ PIT
  12. Larry Fitzgerald @ DAL
  13. DeAndre Hopkins vs PHI
  14. Keenan Allen @ MIA
  15. Brandon LaFell vs DEN
  16. Michael Floyd @ DAL
  17. Vincent Jackson @ CLE
  18. Pierre Garcon @ MIN
  19. Odell Beckham vs IND
  20. Ruben Randle vs IND
  21. Julian Edelman vs DEN
  22. Doug Baldwin vs OAK
  23. Reggie Wayne @ NYG
  24. Michael Crabtree vs STL
  25. Anquan Boldin vs STL
  26. Martavis Bryant vs BAL
  27. Allen Robinson @ CIN
  28. Andrew Hawkins vs TB
  29. MIke Evans @ CLE
  30. Torrey Smith @ PIT
  31. Mohammad Sanu vs JAC
  32. Dwayne Bowe vs NYJ
  33. Percy Harvin @ KC
  34. Eric Decker @ KC
  35. Terrance Williams vs AZ
  36. Cordarrelle Patterson vs WAS
  37. Cecil Shorts @ CIN
  38. Andre Holmes @ SEA
  39. Wes Welker @ NE
  40. Greg Jennings vs WAS
  41. Donte Moncrief @ NYG
  42. James Jones @ SEA
  43. John Brown @ DAL
  44. Malcom Floyd @ MIA
  45. Jermaine Kearse vs OAK
  46. Eddie Royal @ MIA
  47. Kenny Britt vs SF
  48. Jordan Matthews @ HOU
  49. Markus Wheaton vs BAL
  50. Jarvis Landry vs SD

TE’s

  1. Rob Gronkowski vs DEN
  2. Julius Thomas @ NE
  3. Antonio Gates @ MIA
  4. Jordan Reed @ MIN
  5. Travis Kelce vs NYJ
  6. Dwayne Allen @ NYG
  7. Vernon Davis vs STL
  8. Larry Donnell vs IND
  9. Tim Wright vs DEN
  10. Heath Miller vs BAL
  11. Jason Witten vs AZ
  12. Zach Ertz @ HOU
  13. Charles Clay vs SD
  14. Coby Fleener @ NYG
  15. Clay Harbor @ CIN
  16. Luke Wilson vs OAK
  17. Austin Sefarian-Jenkins @ CLE
  18. Jared Cook @ SF
  19. Jermaine Gresham vs JAC
  20. Jace Amaro @ KC

2014 FantasySavvy Football: Week 7 Fantasy Football Player Rankings

Our rankings aren’t the same ol same ol. We don’t always play it safe and we aren’t afraid to take chances. To decipher on Flex questions for RB/WR’s, take the RB and drop him 10 spots from his original ranking. Then compare that spot to the WR ranking. Go with the higher. Or push the WR up 10 spots and see if he has a better ranking the the RB.  Tiebreaker goes to the RB. Follow us on twitter @FantasySavvy. Also feel free to ask questions.

QB’s

  1. Peyton Manning vs SF
  2. Aaron Rodgers vs CAR
  3. Andrew Luck vs CIN
  4. Phillip Rivers vs KC
  5. Colin Kaepernick @ DEN
  6. Joe Flacco vs ATL
  7. Tony Romo vs NYG
  8. Drew Brees @ DET
  9. Russell Wilson @ STL
  10. Cam Newton @ GB
  11. Jay Cutler vs MIA
  12. Carson Palmer @ OAK
  13. Matt Ryan @ BAL
  14. Ben Roethlisberger vs HOU
  15. Andy Dalton @ IND
  16. Eli Manning @ DAL
  17. Matt Stafford vs NO   *No Calvin, it’s like Dante Culpepper without Randy Moss.
  18. Alex Smith @ SD
  19. Kirk Cousins vs TEN
  20. Derek Carr vs AZ
  21. Blake Bortles vs CLE
  22. Ryan Tannehill @ CHI
  23. Ryan Fitzpatrick @ PIT
  24. Brian Hoyer @ JAC
  25. Kyle Orton vs MIN
  26. Teddy Bridgewater @ BUF
  27. Charlie Whitehurst @ WAS
  28. Austin Davis vs SEA

RB’s

  1. DeMarco Murray vs NYG
  2. Marshawn Lynch vs STL
  3. Matt Forte vs MIA
  4. Arian Foster @ PIT
  5. Jamaal Charles @ SD
  6. Le’Veon Bell vs HOU
  7. Andre Ellington @ OAK
  8. Brandon Oliver vs KC
  9. Giovani Bernard @ IND
  10. Ben Tate @ JAC
  11. Justin Forsett vs ATL
  12. Eddie Lacy vs CAR
  13. Alfred Morris vs TEN
  14. Ronnie Hillman vs SF
  15. Ahmad Bradshaw vs CIN
  16. Lamar Miller @ CHI
  17. Fred Jackson vs MIN
  18. Frank Gore @ DEN
  19. Andre Williams @ DAL
  20. Joique Bell vs NO
  21. Reggie Bush vs NO
  22. Jerrick McKinnon @ BUF
  23. Khiry Robinson @ DET
  24. Jeremy Hill @ IND
  25. Storm Johnson vs CLE
  26. Steven Jackson @ BAL
  27. Jonathan Stewart @ GB
  28. Isiah Crowell @ JAC
  29. Bishop Sankey @ WAS
  30. Knile Davis @ SD
  31. Trent Richarson vs CIN
  32. Mark Ingram @ DET
  33. C.J Spiller vs MIN
  34. Darren McFadden vs AZ
  35. Matt Asiata @ BUF
  36. Roy Helu vs TEN
  37. Bernard Pierce vs ATL
  38. Pierre Thomas @ DET
  39. Antoine Smith vs BAL
  40. Zac Stacy vs SEA
  41. Juwan Thompson vs SF
  42. LeGarrette Blount vs HOU
  43. Tre Mason vs SEA
  44. Benny Cunningham vs SEA
  45. Carlos Hyde @ DEN
  46. Denard Robinson vs CLE
  47. James Starks vs CAR
  48. Terrance West @ JAC
  49. Maurice Jones-Drew vs AZ
  50. Lorenzo Taliaferro @ ATL
  51. Peyton Hillis @ DAL
  52. Ka’Deem Carey vs MIA

WR’s

  1. Dez Byrant vs NYG
  2. Jordy Nelson vs CAR
  3. Brandon Marshall vs MIA
  4. Demaryius Thomas @ SF
  5. Antonio Brown vs HOU
  6. Steve Smith vs ATL
  7. Kelvin Benjamin @ GB (Concussion stay tuned Sunday Morning, but should play)
  8. Alshon Jeffrey vs MIA
  9. DeSean Jackson vs TEN
  10. Randall Cobb vs CAR
  11. Mike Wallace @ CHI
  12. T.Y. Hilton vs CIN
  13. Michael Crabtree @ DEN
  14. Larry Fitzgerald @ OAK
  15. Michael Floyd @ OAK
  16. Golden Tate vs NO
  17. Emmanuel Sanders vs SF
  18. Andre Johnson @ PIT
  19. Mohammad Sanu @ IND
  20. Andre Holmes vs AZ
  21. Brandon Cooks @ DET
  22. Sammy Watkins vs MIN
  23. Reggie Wayne vs CIN
  24. Anquan Boldin vs DEN
  25. Keenan Allen vs KC
  26. Torrey Smith vs ATL
  27. Ruben Randle @ DAL
  28. Cecil Shorts vs CLE
  29. Terrance Williams vs NYG
  30. Odell Beckham @ DAL
  31. Roddy White @ BAL
  32. DeAndre Hopkins @ PIT
  33. Dwayne Bowe @ SD
  34. Brian Quick vs SEA
  35. Marques Colston @ DET
  36. Pierre Garcon vs TEN
  37. Kendall Wright @ WAS
  38. James Jones vs AZ
  39. Cordarrelle Patterson @ BUF
  40. Justin Hunter @ WAS
  41. Eddie Royal vs KC
  42. Malcolm Floyd vs KC
  43. Wes Welker vs SF
  44. Andrew Hawkins @ JAC
  45. Allen Robinson vs CLE
  46. Doug Baldwin @ STL
  47. Marquise Lee vs CLE
  48. Davante Adams vs CAR
  49. Markus Wheaton vs HOU
  50. Jarvis Landry @ CHI *Mike D sleeper pick on radio show last night
  51. Stevie Johnson @ DEN
  52. Jermaine Kearse @ STL
  53. Greg Jennings @ BUF
  54. Miles Austin @ JAC
  55. John Brown @ OAK
  56. Hakeem Nicks vs CIN
  57. Andre Roberts vs TEN
  58. Devin Hester @ BAL
  59. Brandon Lloyd @ DEN
  60. Jerricho Cotchery vs HOU
  61. Robert Woods vs MIN
  62. Brian Hartline @ CHI
  63. Kenny Stills @ DET
  64. Ricardo Lockette @ STL
  65. Jarius Wright @ BUF
  66. Preston Parker @ DAL
  67. Brandon Tate @ IND
  68. Paul Richardson @ STL  *6’3 Rookie from Colorado, maybe gets bigger role this week

TE’s

  1. Julius Thomas vs SF
  2. Jordan Reed vs TEN *Cousins loves Tight Ends!!
  3. Travis Kelce @ SD *New star is emerging
  4. Greg Olsen @ GB
  5. Vernon Davis @ DEN * Still working his way back to full health, but good matchup here
  6. Jordan Cameron @ JAC * Been inconsistent this year, but great matchup
  7. Delanie Walker @ WAS
  8. Antonio Gates vs KC
  9. Larry Donnell @ DAL
  10. Jason Witten vs NYG
  11. Martellus Bennett vs MIA
  12. Dwayne Allen vs CIN *Seems to be scoring every week
  13. Heath Miller vs HOU
  14. Clay Harbor vs CLE
  15. Charles Clay @ CHI
  16. Owen Daniels vs ATL
  17. Coby Fleener vs CIN *Also been scoring lately
  18. Jared Cook vs SEA *Runs 4 yard drag routes all game
  19. Josh Hill @ DET
  20. Luke Wilson @ STL
  21. Ladarius Green vs KC
  22. Scott Chandler vs MIN
  23. Niles Paul vs TEN
  24. Garrett Graham @ PIT
  25. Ben Watson @ DET

FantasySavvy Football: Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 6

Advice for seasonal and daily leagues here. Look for our Rankings early Sunday Morning and some more film breakdown upcoming.

Start

WR Brandon Marshall- This is more for daily leagues because if you have Marshall in your garden variety fantasy league, you aren’t going to sit him in all likelihood. Trestman made it a point to point out how the Bears need to get Marshall the ball. He wasn’t listed on the injury report, and we all know Cutler loves him. Throw him out there in all your leagues.

WR Golden Tate– The going rate for Tate in fanduel right now is $6,400. That is incredibly reasonable for the #1 target on the Detroit Lions. Tate has 15 catches for 250 yards and a TD in the last two games with Johnson being as gimpy as he is. Johnson is listed as doubtful for Sunday and Tate should once again carry the load Play the man with confidence this Sunday.

TE Luke Willson – This isn’t about analytics and I don’t have much to back up my suggestion, except that Dallas is 32nd in TE fantasy points against. This is all a hunch and namely for those of you who have bye week (read: Graham, Jimmy and Kelce, Travis in particular), so go at your own risk.

WR Eric Decker– I know the perils of Decker at this point. His hamstring issues won’t go away, and Geno Smith is his QB. When he has played he has been pretty good, and if he plays Sunday there is a good opportunity for him. I know the Broncos are currently 5th in opposing points let up to fantasy WRs but someone has to move the ball for the Jets, right?

RB Andre Williams– With Rashad Jennings out for the near future, Andre Williams has no competition in the Giants backfield. He touched the ball 22 times (82 yards, 1 TD) last week as Jennings exited early in the third quarter. Philly’s run defense has allowed the 14th most fantasy points in the league. Williams is also $6,700 on fanduel.

RB Jeremy Hill– Times have been pretty slow for Hill as he hasn’t seen a lot of usage. I suspect that with AJ Green sidelined, that he will be a bigger part of the Bengals gameplan both in the run and pass games. The Panthers are also 29th in RB points against. I think it will pay off to start Hill this week.

Editor’s Pick * Storm Johnson- Coach Gus Bradley talked up Johnson before Week 5 saying he was impressive in practice. No doubt he realizes that Toby Gerhart and Denard Robinson are just not getting the job done. Gerhart is slow and is not fit to be an every down starter. Robinson is not an every down back and more of just a player to utilize on certain plays and in the passing game. In steps Johnson, now with Gerhart OUT this week, it looks like Storm may get full duty. Of course, Jordan Todman does remain in the mix and you never know what an NFL coach might do, but I think the upside is there and Gus Bradley against praised Johnson this week. Johnson also ran decent last week. This is a good matchup against the Titans who will not blow anybody out with Charlie Whitehurst, so look for Johnson to recieve around 10-15 carries with all the Goal Line opportunities. Blake Bortles can move the ball, Marquise Lee returns this week, things are looking up for the Jags in this game. This is a good spot play in my mind and Johnson has a very good shot to run away with the job after this game.

Sit

Matthew Stafford– I know this is a tough one for those of us who religiously carry one QB but Stafford has been a relative disappointment this season and I think it’s worth sitting him if you have a backup or there is someone on waivers worth picking up. He’s only 14th in fantasy points; the Vikings run defense isn’t particularly good and he’s without Calvin. If you can afford to sit him, do so.

DeMarco Murray- I know, I know. He’s been the best back in the sport this season. I know he’s really hard to replace but the Seahawks are the best fantasy defense against RBs in the NFL. 38 yards is the most the Seahawks have allowed to an RB this season. If you have enough depth to do so, find a replacement. I think it will be a long Sunday for Murray.

Tom Brady– I know there is excitement over Brady’s performance on Sunday night as the team looked a lot better than it did previously. I expect him to revert back to the mean on Sunday against the Bills who have allowed the sixth least fantasy points to opposing QBs this year and currently have 17 sacks. I expect this to be a tough game for Brady on the road.

Zac Stacy- Stacy currently ranks 35th amongst RBs in points, is currently nursing injuries, and the Niners have stymied RBs all year to the tune of the 7th best fantasy defense against RBs. Sit Stacy and live to tell about it.

Cordarrelle Patterson– If you’re still holding onto hope that Patterson gets back to week 1 form, this is probably not the week to try your luck and start him. The Lions have given up the 4th least fantasy points to WRs, are an excellent real life and fantasy defense and Patterson should essentially be on probation until he proves it.

Cam Newton- I fully expect Newton to improve over the course of the season as he perhaps gets healthier. That said, even after his performance I think you should bench him this week. He currently ranks 25th amongst QBs in points, and goes up against a unit that gives up the 7th least amount of points. Sit him

Editors Pick- Doug Martin- Martin is not the back he was in his rookie season. He goes down easy, and is not making defenders miss or breaking tackles as much. There have been some injuries to Martin in the past couple years and maybe it just slowed him down. Whatever the case he has not been impressive. Bobby Rainey has been better in my mind and I think Rainey will get a bigger role this week. Regardless, this is not a good matchup against a reinvigorated Ravens Defense. Leave Martin on your bench in all formats.

 

 

 

FantasySavvy Football: Week 5 Film Review and Recap, Part 1

We do this to help you get ready for the upcoming week and gain some clarity for the rest of the season. Stay tuned for Part 2. Also look out for out Start Em’ Sit Em’s, Trade advice, Radio Show and Rankings. Thanks for reading, follow us on twitter @FantasySavvy.

 

Minnesota @ Packers

  • Eddie Lacy got back on track after struggling the first four weeks of the season. Lacy displayed his power and strength in this matchup and shined for fantasy owners running for 105 yards on just 13 carries, finishing with two TD’s. Playing against Minnesota did indeed help and Lacy probably will not be the monster fantasy back many expected, but he plays with the Packers who will have many scoring opportunities and double digit TD’s is in the horizon. In other words, there shouldn’t be need to worry about him, but there may be some duds along the way.
  • Davante Adams got his first TD of the year. Will he become more of a factor in the offense as the season goes on? Despite that I don’t believe he is overly talented, he does play with Aaron Rodgers which means he will be in for some good performances along the way. Rodgers also did just praise his route running and ability to get open after watching the Week 5 tape. However I did hear one well known expert say he was better than Randall Cobb and will emerge over him which I completely disagree with. Keep in mind this was said about two weeks ago, which in the meantime Cobb has 3 TD’s to Adams’ one while also having more than a 100 more yards receiving.
  • There seemed to be some doubt and hating on Cobb. Yes he won’t keep up his TD rate, but if he doesn’t score he will make up for it in yards and catches. The guy is just a talented and versatile player, I have no clue why people were even getting on him. Just awful analysis.
  • What to do with Cordarrelle Patterson? First, Patterson is not the best route runner in the world. But there were several times where he was open in this game and Christian Ponder was just completely lost out there just dinking, dunking, throwing awful passes. Second, Patterson had 3 carries for 104 yards in the first game of the year. Since then he has one carry. It’s an absolute joke. Patterson said he wants the ball more then Mike Zimmer said he needs to get open. How about creating more opportunities for him Zimmer? Zimmer is defensive minded coach and looks clueless on how to use Patterson. I am also surprised Norv Turner hasn’t developed anything. I will give Turner the benefit of the doubt however and except him to create more ways to get Patterson in space. Bridgewater is returning, Patterson is going to become relevant very soon. Patience is a virtue, remember how Patterson came on last season.

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville

  •  Markus Wheaton just can not be relied upon at this point. Just one catch for 17 yards against the Jaguars? Ultimately his lack of progression is what is preventing Big Ben from becoming an Elite Fantasy QB. Ben only has so many weapons in the passing game. Their is still time for Wheaton to emerge but right he now he needs to be on your bench.
  • Bortles made some good throws, but faced a lot of heat and made a lot of bad decisions. He is a rookie and is still learning the position. When Marquise Lee and Cecil Shorts return healthy he should become Fantasy Relevant. I would hold Lee, he may become the go to guy in this offense. Allen Hurns is still average and Allen Robinson doesn’t wow me. Although him and Bortles have the best rapport so far.
  • Rookie and 7th round pick Storm Johnson got some burn this game (4 carries for 27 yards) but he instantly looked better than Toby Gerhart and Denard Robinson, although that’s not saying much. Still he’s worth a stash to see what he does. I think his workload is only going to increase and this offense is only going to get better. Could be a nice pickup for you. You can never have enough Running Backs. Johnson kind of runs like Knile Davis from Kansas City. Straight ahead with power, no nonsense, is not afraid of contact.

Houston @ Dallas

  • Cowboys are talking about limiting DeMarco Murray’s carries and for good reason, he’s on pace for over 400 carries. Joseph Randle is a good handcuff, but still isn’t worth owning otherwise. However, it may help Jason Witten get more looks as well as Terrance Williams. Dez will be Dez. Nobody else is relevant on this Cowboys offense from a fantasy perspective. Be patient with Witten for another week or two. Playing Seattle this week won’t help his cause however.
  • Dez Bryant’s catch to seal the game. That is all.
  • Arian Foster when healthy has looked like one of the best backs in the league. Last week was a great week to target him, but his owners still may be in doubt about him. Keep trying to trade for this guy. The injury risk is there, but I believe the reward outweighs the risk and you may not have to give up an arm and a leg for him.
  • Andre Johnson still has it, he’s just playing with a very average QB.

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans

  • Khiry Robinson, Pierre Thomas and even Tavaris Cadet all played well. That is the problem however as this is a very crowded backfield. And coming off their bye this week, Mark Ingram may return for Week 7. Robinson has ran well in Ingram’s absence, but no doubt Ingram will get looks again once he returns. Pierre Thomas caught a ton of his infamous screen passes and ran hard and broke tackles like he usually does. Cadet ran a great in and out ” Gates” route for a TD. Robinson is truly the only one worth starting with Ingram out. When Ingram returns both are worth owning and using as decent flex plays. Pierre Thomas will probably remain the odd man out along with Tavaris Cadet. All 4 backs have talent it’s just so crowded and the Saints spread it around more than any other team.
  • Brandin Cooks continues to be a factor in the offense. Screens, fake reverse screens, quick slants, etc. He still hasn’t broken many big plays however, but I am sure they are coming soon. Interested to see if they start targeting him deep a bit more. Expect some new wrinkles after the bye.
  • Marques Colston seems to start slow every single year. Slow, but still has the big body and if you own him you might as well just keep him on your bench until he starts to heat up. He has heated up every year and this one should be no different. He’s a low-end WR2 at best however.
  • Jimmy Graham shoulder sprain is not considered serious and he should be back for Week 7. Expect the Saints to return to form after the bye. Brees doesn’t look as sharp as he usually does, but that should change. He’s due for a 4 TD game.
  • Thank God for Mike Glennon, because the Bucs were doing nothing with Josh McCown. Makes you question how the GM and Coaches evaluate talent. Glennon keeps Vincent Jackson relevant. Mike Evans also might make his return this week. Louis Murphy played admirably filling in for Evan with two TD’s, but that will come to an end now. Austin Seferian-Jenkins might take a little while to get going but by the end of the year could be worth using. Big Body, athletic Tight End who should only get better. Just not really usable at the moment.
  • Doug Martin I thought ran decent in this game, but still only averaged around 3 YPC and his longest carry came on a 16 yard run came when the Bucs ran the clock out before overtime. Bobby Rainey I believe is better, although not by that much. He still deserves more playing time and seems to always to do more with his touches than Martin. Both backs will continue to kill each other’s value. If Rainey got the looks Martin got, he would be usable, but the Coaches seem to think Martin is way better than Rainey just like they thought Josh McCown was better than Mike Glennon.

Buffalo @ Detroit

  • First, Was Alex Henery trying to throw this game? Every one of his kicks wasn’t close and wobbled in the air. I don’t think I have ever seen so many bad kicks by a kicker in one game. It looked like they hired somebody of the street to kick for them.
  • George Winn looked OK to me. He hit holes hard but doesn’t possess any legit explosiveness, and is not really a threat in the passing game. I picked him up in one or two leagues and after watching the game tape I am not too ecstatic. Also that Lions offensive line does not seem to be creating many holes.
  • Reggie Bush is going to be average this season, leave him on your bench. Unfortunately and I hate to say it because I used to love Reggie Bush, but the decline is on it’s way. He can still be a threat in the passing game, but will not get enough carries and the Lions O-line will not create the holes Reggie will need for success.
  • Matthew Stafford just doesn’t impress me. Without a healthy Calvin I would never start him. Calvin is his crutch and the key to his success. Golden Tate will benefit from Calvin’s Injury and must stay in lineups. Tate is just a gritty player who has always been good after the catch. Targets have been up and he has taken advantage.
  • Eric Ebron had a TD called back, and with Calvin banged up, they need to start utilizing his talents more. He did however say he felt like a ” Zombie” trying to learn this offense. May take time and may not happen for him at all this year. It’s tough to assess, but the talent is obviously there.  End of the day I don’t trust Stafford to get Ebron the football consistently at this point.
  • Sammy Watkins benefits a lot with having Kyle Orton at quarterback, because unlike Manuel, Orton can actually throw comebacks, outs and slants with some consistent accuracy. Although, Watkins saved Orton at least 3 times on passes that were thrown either behind or over his head. Especially on the last drive of the game Watkins snapped back his hands to catch a pass that was thrown behind him to put the Bills in FG range. Watkins is going to be excellent in PPR leagues. Hopefully the TD’s follow.
  • I still blame Doug Marrone for the way he uses C.J. Spiller. They ran one stretch play in this game and Spiller had absolutely nowhere to go. The rest of the runs were handoffs right up the middle. Spiller could have been a little more patient on some of them, but Marrone needs to be way more creative with how he uses him. It’s really pathetic. Fred Jackson is a power runner who can move bodies and hit the hole hard, Spiller could hit the hole a bit harder himself , but Marrone can’t use Spiller like he uses Jackson. Spiller had just 10 carries for 8 yards. Just awful and it’s really frustrating. He came into this game with 10 targets and got 4 in this game. One was an awful throw by Orton, another they threw to the short side of the field and there was defender right when he caught it. The other two Spiller had space and got a first down on both. Marrone needs to get Spiller in space more often and get him matched up with LB’s in the passing game. He has no idea how to use him, Chan Gailey did. Spiller can not be trusted at all right now and should be on your bench until the Bills coaches come to their senses. Fred Jackson is the play in this backfield, since they throw him more screen passes and he is better suited for Marrone’s up the middle runs. Seriously the run play is the same almost every time.