2014 FantasySavvy Football: Fantasy Playoffs Week 14 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em.

By: Kevin Lewis

Shout out to Jimmy Graham for scoring as many points as I did last week. That said, time for start em/sit em.  For both daily and seasonal leagues. *Fanduel Prices.

START:

TE Kyle Rudolph, vs Jets($5200)- The Jets let up a TD per game to tight ends and let up the third most points to the position. Running the ball against the Jets for the most part is a grand waste of time and they can’t defend the pass. I like Rudolph this week especially if you want a cap relief alternative to Gronk and Jimmy Graham on Fanduel.

TE Antonio Gates, vs New England($5600)- Gates is another Gronk/Graham pivot in Fanduel. This isn’t really about any fancy numbers even though the Patriots have allowed the second most yards to tight ends. With Revis and Browner holding down the outside against the Chargers wide receivers I think Gates will be targeted a lot out of opportunity and necessity. I think a 5/75/1 line isn’t farfetched for Gates on Sunday night.

WR Kenny Stills, vs Carolina($6700)-Kenny Stills has been targeted 15 times in the two games since Brandin Cooks went down with a season ending injury. In those two games, Stills has 13 catches for 260 yards and a touchdown. The Panthers have given up the second most touchdowns to wide receivers in the NFL. I fully expect Stills to pile up the points this week.

WR Charles Johnson, vs Jets($6000)- He’s played 97% of the snaps the last three weeks and is going against a team that has allowed the most passing TDs in the league. This might be the week where Johnson cashes in for you.

WR Jarvis Landry, vs Baltimore($6900)- Mike Wallace could also fit in this space as I think he’s a decent play this week as well. I do like Landry more however and I think his floor is a little safer than Wallace. He’s been the molst heavily targeted WR on the team the last five weeks and has caught a whopping 76% of his targets. Tannehill has been really good at home and the Ravens secondary is a mash unit.

RB Jonathan Stewart, vs New Orleans($5200)- The Saints run defense has let up at least 80 yards in two of the past three weeks. He’s dirt cheap on Fanduel and DeAngelo Williams isn’t playing.

RB Daniel Herron, @Cleveland($6400) – The Browns are 18th against the run this season and Herron is the Colts primary back at this stage of the game. I like his chances against them this week.

TE Delanie Walker, vs Giants($5400)- Justin Hunter is out and the Giants are the worst team in the NFL in relation to YPC from the TE. TE is a relative wild card outside of Gronkowski and Graham but Walker feels like a pretty safe play this week.

 

SIT:

QB Colin Kaepernick, @Oakland($7200)- Once he did what he did against the Washington Redskins, he shouldn’t be on the radar to start in all honesty. The guy looks like he’s regressed as a QB and he hasn’t thrown more than one TD in a game in a month. Kaepernick is basically waiver fodder at this point in my estimation.

QB Mark Sanchez, vs Seattle($7700)- I know the narratives surrounding Sanchez and his improvement and all. Some of them are based in reality as Sanchez has been solid since taking Foles place. He still has eight turnovers in four games and him against the Seattle Seahawks defense is a mismatch.

RB Lamar Miller, vs Baltimore($6700)- The Ravens currently have street free agents playing CB. The way to beat them is through the air as Philip Rivers spotlighted last week. Even without Ngata, the Ravens should have enough talent up front to stop the run. This strikes me as a game for Ryan Tannehill to try and exploit a relatively uninspiring secondary.

RB Ryan Mathews, vs New England($7100)- The Patriots are seventh against the run this season and have allowed the second fewest rushing touchdowns in the league. Behind a line that generally struggles in run blocking, I think you can do better than Ryan Mathews this week.

TE Vernon Davis, @Oakland($4900)- It’s in my contract to list him here every week. If you made the playoffs with this guy on your roster, I just want to salute you as he’s been practically useless all year in fantasy and real life.

TE Owen Daniels, @Miami($5300)- He’s averaged 19 yards per game the last three weeks, and the Dolphins are amongst the best in the league at eliminating the tight end.  Easy pass here.

RB Entire Vikings backfield, vs Jets- Just don’t. Don’t get cute. Don’t do it to yourself

RB Denard Robinson($6700)- I think the party is basically over with Robinson as he has been quiet the last two weeks and sees a bad matchup this week against a Texans defense that’s allowed 3.6 YPC the last month. He couldn’t hack it against the Giants pathetic run defense and that’s not a good sign going forward for him

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FantasySavvy: Week 2 Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em

As seen on FP911.com. Make sure to check there for tons of incredible information!

Good start to the season as we hit on a good amount guys in Week 1, suggesting to start RG3Reggie WayneMike BushKevin SmithCoby FleenerShonn GreenePeyton Manning and a few others. But a few mistakes in suggesting to sit Matt Ryan andJoe Flacco while suggesting to start Santana Moss, but overall a pretty solid Week 1 performance.

I didn’t have DeAngelo Williams out there like most “experts” who was supposedly was a must-start against the Tampa D. You can’t always go by the matchup, you have to look at the player and their production as well. Turrible (as Charles Barkley would say) job by them. Plus, I was early on the RG3 train, while a lot of other sites are just now getting him out there for this week. One week late fellas, one week late. On to Week 2.

If you didn’t check our Google+ Hangout Show from Tuesday Night you can check it out here.

You won’t see the obvious names on here, that would be pointless. Maybe occasionally to give you a reminder, but rather we are looking to identify some guys that you may be on the fence with and encourage you to either start or sit them. Matchups will be broken down, stats will be used, some projections will be provided and some “gut” feeling will be mixed in. But when it comes down to the come down, it’s your “gut” you need to roll with. 

*Players listed in order of projected effectiveness in the start ‘em category and ineffectiveness in the sit ‘em category.

Quarterbacks

Start ‘Em

Peyton Manning @ Atlanta

This is probably the last time I will put Manning in my Start ‘Em category because  he should be a “No Brainer” from here on out. But just in case you still have some doubts about this guy, let me try to put that to rest. Manning came out against the No.1 pass defense last season in the Steelers and looked like he had not just missed an entire season. Peyton was making his usual audibles at the line, most notably the audible to the theDemaryius Thomas screen pass which Thomas took to the house. He was his usual accurate self and displayed his terrific pocket presence.

This Monday Night, Manning heads to the Atlanta, playing in a dome where he is most comfortable. It also helps that the Falcons top CB Brent Grimes is on the I.R.  Manning is back and here to stay, so get him in your lineups and give yourself a pat on the back because you made a great investment.

Andrew Luck vs Minnesota

Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts

Facing the Bears at Solider Field, Luck had a little bit of a rough start to his career throwing three interceptions, completing just 51% of his passes and throwing for just one TD. But things will improve this week against Minnesota in the Colts home opener. The Vikings allowed Blaine Gabbertto throw for 239 yards and two TD’s, so it’s reasonable to believe that Luck will match that effort; but I expect him to exceed it.  Luck showed a nice rapport with his Stanford teammate Coby Fleener as well with the talented Colts veteran Reggie Wayne in Week 1, and it now looks likeAustin Collie will suit up Sunday, coming back from one of his several concussions. The weapons will be in full force, the matchup is right and Luck will be in the friendly confines of Lucas Oil Stadium. Luck won’t need noluck this week.

Matt Cassel @ Buffalo

It’s hard to trust Cassel in most spots and he stunk like your Uncle Marty’s feet last week with a couple awful throws, but this is a matchup where he can succeed.  The Bills ranked 29th in defending Fantasy QB’s in 2011 and they did not get off to great start in Week 1 allowing Mark Sanchez to throw 3 TD’s. The Bills also ranked 30th in defending the run, which indicates the Chiefs should be able to get their ground game going, helping the play-action passing game. The Chiefs should be in the redzone often and I look for Cassel to have an efficient day,  throwing for 2-3 TD’s with around 250 yards passing.

Sit ‘Em

Mark Sanchez @ Pittsburgh

Sanchez threw for 3 TD’s and 266 yards against Buffalo in Week 1, silencing the haters. But things won’t be as pretty in Heinz Field against Pittsburgh and their top-ranked defense. I expect this to be a defensive battle with a limited amount of points from both sides. Sanchez will probably be in for a better year than we all expected, but this a week to keep him reserved.

Ben Roethlisberger vs New York Jets

Don’t like this spot for Ben against the Jets and their revamped D. Revis and Cromartie match up well with the smaller Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown and even Jets nickel back Kyle Wilson looks improved and should stay with Emmanuel Sanders. Again, I like this to be a low-scoring affair with both offenses being limited.

Michael Vick vs Baltimore

Tough start to the season for Vick as last week he matched up against one of the best secondaries in the league in Cleveland and it doesn’t get any easier against Baltimore in Week 2. The Baltimore secondary will keep Vick and his receivers under wrap for the most part, so keep Vick on your bench.

Running Backs

Start ‘Em

CJ Spiller, Buffalo Bills

C.J. Spiller vs Kansas City Chiefs

Spiller once again displayed his dynamic talents by rolling over the the New York Jets with 169 rushing yards and a TD on just 14 carries, good for 12.1 yards per carry. Fred Jackson is going to be out for the next 4-to-6 weeks so get ready to start C.J. every single week while Jackson remains sidelined. I don’t care who this guy plays he has to be in your lineup. He is going to receive a huge role and should be productive every time he gets the chance to start. I think Spiller will show that he is one of the best backs in the league in the coming weeks. If you grabbed Spiller in your drafts or auctions, props to you.

Stevan Ridley vs Arizona

The Pats offense gets even more lethal with the emergence of Stevan Ridley. This guy looks like he’s ready to have a big season in 2012, starting it off in Week 1 with 21 carries for 125 yards and a TD. Excellent matchup here against Arizona and Ridley should be able to find the endzone at least once. Regardless if Belichick starts tinkering with Shane VereenDanny Woodhead or Brandon Bolden, Ridley will maintain his role as the goal line back and should once again lead the team in carries.

Reggie Bush vs Oakland

Bush went  for over 100 total yards against the stout Texans Defense last week, so his production should remain the same, if not improve against the inferior Raiders Defense which ranked 26th against Fantasy backs in 2011. Daniel Thomas is now battling a concussion, so Bush will carry an even bigger load this week. I said it in my preseason article, if Bush can stay healthy he will have the best season of his career.

Sit ‘Em

Cedric Benson vs Chicago

If you can move Benson before tonight’s game do it. I just don’t think Benson is set up for success playing in this offense. He is a high volume guy who needs a lot of carries in order to produce and get into a flow. Also the Packers just pass the ball so often that they really don’t even need Benson. Benson might have a few nice games when the Packers are in the lead, but with the way their defense has been playing it looks like they are going to be playing in a fast paced mode the majority of the time. Whatever you decide to do with Benson, you need to sit him against Chicago, as I expect a ton of passing here and very little running coming from the Pack.

Shonn Greene @ Pittsburgh

Greene is probably going to get a good amount of carries come Sunday, but I expect little production. Pittsburgh’s Run D was 3rd best in defending Fantasy RB’s last season and are stout every single year. Keep Greene reserved as he will fail to reach the endzone and be held under 80 yards rushing.

Kevin Smith @ San Francisco

Last week was a great spot to start Smith against the Rams, but this week against the 49ers and their No.1 Run D, fugehedaboutit! Smith is not going to reach the endzone, will not gain many yards, but he will go to directly to jail, not pass go and not collect $200.

Wide Receivers

Start ‘Em

Randall Cobb vs Chicago 

Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers

Cobb was on a lot of people’s sleeper list, but not many expected him to have such a big role so early in the season. I expected a Donald Driver, James Jones injury to thrust Cobb into the lineup. But since Cedric Benson really can’t catch the ball out of the backfield and the Packers don’t have any other viable options, they made Cobb their third-down back. This was simply an excellent move by Mike McCarthy and his staff in order to take advantage of Cobb’s talent. The move paid early dividends in Week 1 with Cobb catching nine passes for 77 yards.

The Packers will continue to use Cobb in the slot as well out of the backfield and he could be in for a extremely productive season in points per reception leagues. I would start Cobb regardless of what happens with Greg Jennings, who is questionable with a groin injury, but if Jennings doesn’t play Cobb is a must-start.

James Jones vs Chicago

Jones looked a little more sound then usual in Week 1 catching four balls for 81 yards and TD. I noticed a little more crisp route running from him, better hands and a little more speed. However, going forward I like Cobb a little bit more because of his unique role. I am putting Jones here with the expectation that Jennings doesn’t play in which case Jones needs to be in your lineups.

Brandon LaFell vs New Orleans

Last week New Orleans matched up with RG3, this week it will be 2011 Rookie of the Year, Cam Newton. Expect a shootout and while the Saints roll coverage at Steve Smith, Newton will hook up with LaFell like he did last week when Lafell finished with three catches for 65 yards and a score.

Sit ‘Em

Sidney Rice vs Dallas

Russell Wilson and Rice hooked up for a score in Week 1, but things will get difficult against the Cowboys and their much improved secondary. Morris Claiborne did a great job on Hakeem Nicks on opening night and I do not expect any different when he matches up with Sidney Rice. Rice will be slowed by the impressive Rookie, keep him reserved.

DeSean Jackson vs Baltimore

Jackson had a decent day against Joe Haden and the Cleveland secondary catching four balls for 77 yards, but I don’t like him this week against Baltimore. I’ve already stated I don’t like Vick in this matchup and Baltimore is going to get physical with Jackson taking him out of his comfort zone. Jackson also didn’t practice today and is questionable for this week.

Mike Wallace vs New York Jets

Here comes Revis Island, but if Revis sticks Antonio BrownAntonio Cromartie has the speed, physicality and length to disrupt Wallace.  Wallace is a candidate for your Bench, unless you do not have better options.

Tight Ends

Start ‘Em

Jacob Tamme @ Atlanta Falcons

Tamme and Manning rekindled some of that old fire last Sunday Night as the two hooked up for 43 yards and a score. The connection should thrive again against Atlanta as Manning will once again be on his “A” game in what should be a shootout in the Georgia Dome on Monday Night.

Tony Moeaki @ Buffalo

Tony Moeaki, Kansas City Chiefs

Moeaki led the Chiefs with six targets in Week 1, tying Dwayne Bowe, but he had a poor game finishing with just three catches for 37 yards. But expect those targets to pay off this week against Buffalo who ranked dead last in defending the Tight End last year.

Coby Fleener vs Minnesota

I rocked with it last week,  and I’m going with the Fleener/Luck combo again. Luck is still getting comfortable in the NFL and while he does he’s going to lean on a familiar face. Fleener had an excellent game in Week 1 grabbing six balls for 82 yards while getting 10 targets and I expect the production to continue against Minnesota.

Sit ‘Em

Marcedes Lewis vs Houston

Many fantasy owners are snatching Lewis up, in hopes that he has a repeat of the 10 touchdown season he had in 2010. But I remain bearish on this guy, especially in this matchup against Houston who ranked 4th best in defending the Tight End in 2011. Keep Lewis reserved and temper your expectations for him this season.

Fred Davis @ St. Louis

There is no denying Davis’ talent, but I wonder how much RG3 will look his way this season. He didn’t really use his Tight End in college, then again he didn’t have a player as talented as Davis. The jury is still out on Davis this season, but for this week I would reserve him against the Rams who ranked No.1 in defending the Tight End last year.

Brent Celek vs Baltimore

The Celek, Vick connection continued last week, just as it did towards the end of last season as Celek finished as one of the top Tight Ends in Fantasy. But difficult matchup here against Baltimore and Ray Lewis who ranked No.3 in defending the position last year. Not of a lot of upside this week for Celek.

IDP’s

Start ‘Em

DE, DT- Randy Starks vs Oakland

Starks enjoyed a nice game against Houston in Week 1 sacking Matt Schaub twice while finishing with five tackles, two that went for a loss. He should stay hot against the slow footed Carson Palmer who was sacked three times against the Chargers on Monday Night.

Donald Butler, San Diego Chargers

LB- Donald Butler vs Tennessee

Butler was impressive on Monday Night against the Raiders finishing with a sack and 7 solo tackles, two for a loss. He could be a breakout defensive player in 2012 and he should fare well against Jake Lockerand the Titans.

Sit ‘Em

DE, Chris Clemons vs Dallas

Surprisingly Romo was only sacked and hit twice against the Giants and their ferocious Defensive Line, this was mostly due to Romo’s remarkable pocket presence and ability to get outside the pocket. Don’t like the matchup for Clemons here going against Romo, who will once again put that pocket presence on display.

DT Israel Idonije @ Green Bay

The talented Idonije won’t be seeing much of rushing game from the Packers as they will be throwing early and often, preventing Idonije from having a big impact fantasy wise.

Fantasy Savvy Week 1 Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em

Posted on FP911.com as well. Make sure to head there for tons of great info. 

Ok, it’s finally time for Football, no more drafts, no more auctions, although I know there are some leagues still drafting into this week. Thank god I’m all done because if I saw Coby Fleener or Benard Scott’s name anymore I was going to blackout! But were ready to rock and we get you set with the Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em’s. You won’t see the obvious names on here, that would be pointless. Maybe occasionally to give you a reminder, but rather we are looking to identify some guys that you may be on the fence with and encourage you to either start or sit them. Matchups will be broken down, stats will be used, some projections will be provided and some “gut” feeling will be mixed in. But at the end of the day, it’s your “gut” you need to roll with.

Quarterbacks- Start ‘Em

Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins

Robert Griffin III @ New Orleans

Griffin gets a great matchup to start the season against New Orleans and regardless of whether he plays great or not, he will put up productive numbers. Three reasons to start RG3 in this game. First, the Skins will most likely be playing catchup to the Saints powerful offense. Second, the Skins backfield is still a hot mess, so the Shahanan’s will most likely be putting the ball in RG3′s hands the majority of the game. Lastly, the Saints secondary allowed the 24th most points to Fantasy QB’s last year by giving up an average of 21 points per game. Simply throw RG3 out there and enjoy the show.

Matt Schaub vs Miami

Schaub has been very undervalued in drafts and auctions this year. Owners no doubt were concerned about his injury potential as well as Andre Johnson’s, while taking into account that this offense now runs through Arian Foster. But this is still a guy who threw for a combined 9,000 yards with 53 TD’s in 2009 and 2010 and last year was on his way to another successful season with 15 TD’s and 2,500 yards before he got hurt in Week 10.

For week 1 at least, Andre Johnson, Owen Daniels and Schaub himself are all healthy and ready to go. The weapons are there, the matchup is there (Miami allowed the 23rd most points to Fantasy QB’s last year) and the Texans are at home on the turf. Schaub also might have a nice little second option this season in second year WR, Lestar Jean. I look for 250 to 300 yards passing with 2-3 TD’s from Schaub.

Peyton Manning vs Pittsburgh

The stats and logic will tell you to sit Manning in this matchup. First game back in over a year, new team, new offense and matched up with the Steelers who will be looking for revenge for their Wildcard loss to the Broncos. Pittsburgh was also number one in pass defense and were the best against Fantasy QB’s last season, allowing just 13 points per game.

Maybe we should just wait and see how he does? Give him a week?  Many fantasy “experts” think Manning will be a bust this season, but I disagree. I think he has a very successful season and starts the year off with a bang on Sunday night. This is still Peyton Manning we are talking about, arguably the best QB in the league two seasons ago. In Denver, he’s got the weapons in Eric Decker, Demaryius Thomas and Willis McGahee. Then Sprinkle in a little Jacob Tamme and Brandon Stokley to make him feel at home. All systems a go as I look for Manning to approach 300 yards passing with 2-3 TD’s.

Sit ‘Em

Ryan Fitzpatrick @ New York Jets

If Fitzpatrick is your starter in Week 1, you are either are in a two Quarterback league, a 16-team league, really waited long to take a QB or just love the Buffalo Bills. Fitzpatrick has started hot the last two seasons, but he’s going to have a slow week 1 facing the Jets and Darrelle Revis. Stay away.

Matt Ryan @ Kansas City

Obviously Ryan is expected to have the best season of his career with all the glorious weapons he has. I don’t doubt it, I just think this is a spot you might want to consider benching him. Arrowhead Stadium is going to be extremely loud for Week 1 and I expect the Falcons to struggle on offense a bit. The Chiefs are going to using their “ground and pound” strategy with the tandem of Jamaal Charles and Peyton Hillis and play ball control offense. The K.C. defense is also a young, and talented group who were very stout against Fantasy QB’s last year, ranking 7th best, allowing just 16 points per game.

Joe Flacco vs Baltimore

Like Matt Ryan, Flacco should improve on last season’s numbers, but he needs to be benched against the Bengals. In his last four games against Cincy, Flacco has thrown just four TD’s compared to five Int’s and is averaging a horrific 119 yards per game.  The Bengals were also the 5th stingiest in defending Fantasy QB’s in 2011. Cornerbacks Leon Hall, Nate Clements and newly added Terrence Newman will limit Anquan Boldin and Torrey Smith, capping Joe Flacco’s performance in Week 1.

Running Backs- Start ‘Em

Kevin Smith vs St. Louis

Pretty easy here, Lions will score a ton of points at home in this one and Smith will be a contributor. Mikel LeShoure is out two games with the suspension, Jahvid Best is still on the PUP list,  and so this is Kevin Smith’s job right now. When he’s healthy he produces and this is a great matchup against the Rams who allowed more than 150 yards rushing per game last season.

Shonn Greene vs Buffalo

In two games against Buffalo last season, Greene carried the ball 32 times for 154 yards, averaging five yards per carry. With L.T. gone, Greene could approach 20 carries in this game, reach 100 yards and possibly find the endzone against a Buffalo defense that gave up the third most points to Fantasy RB’s last season.

Michael Bush vs Indianapolis

Bush should make for a fairly solid flex play this week matching up with the Colts who allowed an average of 27 points per game to Fantasy RB’s last season, good for 4th most in the league. Matt Forte is still the main cog, but Bush should get a lot of the short yardage and goal-line carries. 40-50 yards rushing with a score is likely.

Sit ‘Em

Maurice Jones-Drew @ Minnesota

Jaguars Head Coach Mike Mularkey has already announced Rashad Jennings will draw the start with MJD being mixed in, maybe getting 7-12 touches. Jones-Drew even stated this week that “he has to get his job back”.  Week 2 or Week 3 he should fully regain the reigns, but in the meantime keep him benched while he gets back into the groove of things.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis @ Baltimore

Bernard Scott has ruled himself out for Sunday and the “Lawfirm” will be ready for a big workload, but don’t expect much production against the Ravens. Baltimore was 4th best in defending the RB position last year.

Cedric Benson vs San Francisco

The 49ers had the number one run defense last season and allowed the fewest points to Fantasy RB’s so steer far and clear from Benson this week. Even if they do punch it in from the one yard-line, we could be hearing the Kuhnnnnnnnnn as John Kuhn scores a TD. This could be a frustrating season overall for Benson owners.

Wide Receivers Start ‘Em

Santana Moss, Washington Redskins

Santana Moss @ New Orleans

Moss will be in the slot this year for the Skins, a role I think he can excel in. If you guys have been following me, you know I have been bullish on Moss this year as a nice little sleeper pick. He should get things going in this high scoring affair with the Saints.

Reggie Wayne @ Chicago

Wayne and Rookie QB Andrew Luck showed a nice rapport in the preseason and I expect that continue all year. Wayne is no longer catching passes from Curtis Painter or Kerry Collins, he now has a legit, accurate QB tossing him the rock. Expect Luck to lean on Wayne early and often, in this matchup with the Bears secondary.

Justin Blackmon @ Minnesota

If Blaine Gabbert wants to keep his job, he will need to deliver the ball consistently to the vastly talented Blackmon. We saw it in the preseason with Blackmon and Gabbert hooking up for 136 yards and a TD in about 6 quarters. The Minnesota Defense should make it easy on the duo as they allowed the 2nd most to Fantasy WR’s last year. Blackmon was limited in Wednesday’s practice with an ankle injury, but should be fine for Sunday.

Sit ‘Em

Steve Johnson @ New York Jets

Recommending to sit Johnson here, even though Stevie J (don’t confuse with the producer) actually had his way with Revis last year finishing with 11 catches for 159 yards and a TD in two games. But I wouldn’t bank on Johnson this week, as he is still working his way back from groin surgery. Keep him reserved.

Brandon Lloyd @ Tennessee

We heard tons of hype about the Brady, Lloyd connection in training camp, but we didn’t see much of it in the preseason. This connection could take a few games to fully develop. In the meantime, Brady will be throwing to the usual suspects in Gronk, Hernandez and Welker. With Brady and Lloyd still working out some kinks and the the Titans ranking 5th best in points allowed to Fantasy WR’s last year, I am sitting Lloyd in Week 1.

DeSean Jackson @ Cleveland

No suspension as of yet for Browns CB Joe Haden, as he has appealed, so that means the Browns and their stout secondary should be in full force for the opener. Jackson may be in for a rebound season (I don’t see it), but either way, it would be wise to sit him against the Browns who ranked number one in defending Fantasy WR’s last year.

Tight Ends- Start ‘Em

Coby Fleener @ Chicago

Luck and Fleener (there’s that name again!!) have the Stanford connection working for them and it could show itself early  as both get accustomed to the NFL. It also helps that Brian Urlacher isn’t fully healthy and Chicago allowed the 26th most points to Tight Ends last season. If I had to pick between “Fantasy Sleepers” Kyle Rudolph and Coby Fleener in Week 1, I’m going with Fleener. I might just pick Fleener solely on the name. Fleeeeener!!!! To bad Gus Johnson left CBS.

Brent Celek @ Cleveland

Why no love for Celek? Brent finished the season strong last year finishing with 811 yards on 62 catches with 5 TD’s, but still was being under appreciated by Fantasy Owners in drafts this year. Vick loves to go to him and while the Browns are great against Fantasy WR’s, they can’t defend Tight Ends nearly as well, allowing the 16th most points to the position.

Vernon Davis @ Green Bay

After the 49ers kept Davis into block much of year last season which hurt his overall regular season numbers, they finally got the ball in Davis’ hands in the postseason. Davis exploded in his two postseason games finishing with 10 catches for 292 yards and 4 TD’s. I know that Jim Harbaugh is a smart man, so he should be looking Davis’ way even more this season. Davis should pop off in Week 1 against Green Bay who allowed the 2nd most points to Fantasy TE’s last year. Davis also has 308 yards and 13 catches in three career games against the Pack. Start with confidence.

Sit ‘Em

Jared Cook vs New England

Cook is a beast in size at 6’5 250 and could very well have a breakout season, but this a matchup to consider reserving him in. The Pats allowed the 2nd fewest points to Tight Ends last season with just around 10 points per game. Maybe give Locker and Cook a little more time to develop before fully trusting this connection.

Brandon Pettigrew vs St. Louis

Pettigrew should enjoy a nice season playing in this high-powered offense, but the Rams won’t make it easy on him in Week 1. St. Louis ranked numero uno in defending the Tight End last year, allowing a measly 8 points per game.

Jermaine Gresham @ Baltimore

Gresham is still questionable for Sunday, but even if he plays he should be on your bench going against the Ravens Defense. Ray Lewis has also reportedly dropped 20 pounds in order to keep up with the quicker Tight Ends. Gresham’s injury, Ravens Defense, not a good combo, stay away.

IDP Start ‘Em

Cliff Avril, Detroit Lions

DE, Cliff Avril vs St. Louis

Avril broke out for the Lions last year with 11 sacks. He should continue that surge this season and punish Sam Bradford who is being protected by one of the worst pass blocking offensive lines in the NFL. The Rams allowed a league-high 55 sacks last season.

DE, J.J. Watt vs Miami

Watt was one of leaders on Wade Phillips’ top ranked Texans defense last year and will enjoy playing against Miami who allowed 52 sacks in 2011.

Sit ‘Em

CB, DeAngelo Hall @ New Orleans

Don’t like this matchup for Hall who is better in Fantasy than he is in the NFL. Drew Brees will be throwing darts, leaving few chances for Hall to get deflections or an interception.

Cameron Wake @ Houston

The Texans will be running effectively and moving the chains all night. Their offense will be efficient and wear down this Miami defense. Keep Wake benched this week.