FantasySavvy 2012: Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em Week 10

As seen on FP911.com. Make sure to check there for a ton of great information.

 

You won’t see the obvious names on here, that would be pointless. Maybe occasionally to give you a reminder, but rather we are looking to identify some guys that you may be on the fence with and encourage you to either start or sit them. Matchups will be broken down, stats will be used, some projections will be provided and some “gut” feeling will be mixed in. But when it comes down to the come down, it’s your “gut” you need to roll with.

*Players listed in order of projected effectiveness in the start ‘em category and ineffectiveness in the sit ‘em category.

Quarterbacks

Start ‘Em

Phillip Rivers @ Tampa Bay

Rivers will get it done against Tampa Bay; this secondary has been horrendous all year and Rivers has the experience and tools to succeed against them. Rivers will step up for your fantasy squads.

Josh Freeman vs San Diego

I doubted Freeman this season, but he has proved me wrong with 11 TD’s in his last four games and overall has had a successful season. Freeman should stay hot against San Diego who are just average against Fantasy QB’s ranked 15th in points allowed to QB’s.

Joe Flacco vs Oakland

After early excitement with Flacco and the Ravens no huddle offense, Flacco is now playing like the QB most of us thought he was. With no multiple TD games in his last five games it’s hard to trust the guy. But Oakland presents a favorable matchup as they are ranked 23rd in points allowed to QB’s. Look for Flacco to finally get a two TD game and approach 300 yards passing.

Sit ‘Em

Sam Bradford @ San Francisco

Don’t even think about starting Bradford this week, even in two QB leagues.

Michael Vick vs Dallas

After failing to really produce against New Orleans it is almost impossible to trust Michael Vick from here on in. Vick hasn’t played well, but his offensive line needs to take a lot of the blame, they have been atrocious. Every week he is getting crushed play after play. With Dallas and their top secondary coming to town, don’t even think about putting Vick in your lineups.

Matt Schaub @ Chicago

Chicago is 2nd best in points allowed to Fantasy QB’s and will no doubt frustrate the Texans passing game. Keep Schaub reserved.

Running Backs

Start ‘Em

Michael Turner @ New Orleans

You know the drill, start any and all fantasy players against the Saints Defense. Turner excels in good matchups so expect him to score at least once in this game.

Willis McGahee @ Carolina

McGahee and the Broncos arguably have the most favorable schedule of any team in the weeks ahead. He didn’t come through last week in a solid matchup but you have to keep putting him out there because more times than not he will prosper in these types of matchups. Carolina has been 6th worst in points allowed to Fantasy RB’s.

Vick Ballard @ Jacksonville 

The Jags are allowing the 4th most points to Fantasy RB’s and got torched last week by Mikel LeShoure and Joique BellDonald Brown is most likely OUT for tonight’s game so Ballard will get a ton of burn. Great spot to start him.

Sit ‘Em

Steven Jackson @ San Francisco

You trade this guy yet? You know my feelings on this dude.

Shonn Greene @ Seattle

The Seahawks Run D has been vulnerable the last three weeks, but as a Jets fan I don’t trust Shonn Greene in these types of matchups. I foresee a 16 carry 50-yard scoreless game from Greene.

Jamaal Charles @ Pittsburgh

This is so hard for me to put Charles in this spot, this is my favorite player in the NFL. I will be starting him, because I don’t have better options, but if you have the luxury, think about it. The Steelers are giving up 2nd fewest points to Fantasy Backs and the Chiefs passing game and Defense have been killing Charles’ value. They are constantly playing from behind and Charles just doesn’t get enough chances to contribute. The coaching staff has also completely misused him. It’s really frustrating. Hopefully he proves me wrong this week and runs all over Pittsburgh.

Wide Receivers 

Start ‘Em

Torrey Smith vs Oakland

As Joe Flacco should get it going, look for Torrey Smith to get it flowing as well. Smith hasn’t played up to many owners expectations, but he should return provide a nice return of investment going against the Raiders and their average defense.

Brian Hartline vs Tennessee 

After a few quiet weeks from his 243-yard explosion, Hartline had himself another solid game against the Colts catching eight balls for 107 yards. The Titans are ranked 23rd in points allowed to Fantasy WR’s so Hartline has a great chance to succeed in this matchup.

Malcom Floyd @ Tampa Bay

Floyd has just two TD’s all season, but this is a spot you have to think about plugging him in. The Bucs secondary has been brutal giving up the 3rd most points to Fantasy WR’s and Rivers will be chucking. Look for Floyd to have a productive game.

Sit ‘Em

Jeremy Maclin vs Dallas

Maclin has been a disappointment all season, mostly due to Vick’s inability and the Eagles porous offensive line and he will continue the struggles this week against Dallas.

DeSean Jackson vs Dallas

Just like Maclin you can’t trust Jackson this week either. Dallas is giving up the 6th fewest points to Fantasy WR’s andMo Clairborne and Brandon Carr are one of the better CB tandems in the league.

Sidney Rice vs New York Jets

Just a bad matchup for the Seattle Seahawks and Sidney Rice against the Jets who are allowing the fewest points to Fantasy WR’s despite the loss of Darelle Revis. Antonio Cromartie has played better than I have ever seen him and has been routinely giving #1 WR’s fits.

Tight Ends

Start ‘Em

Vernon Davis vs St. Louis

Davis has been stagnant in his last two games with just five catches for 60 yards but should get it going against the Rams the week. St. Louis is giving up the 8th most points to Fantasy Tight Ends and the 49ers know they need to start finding more creative ways to get this stud the ball.

Brandon Myers @ Baltimore

Carson Palmer’s Brother, Oakland Raiders

Myers broke out with two TD’s last week prompting many owners to snatch him from the waiver wire this week. Myers had been fairly steady with 4 to 5 catches and around 40-50 yards every week until finally getting his first two TD’s of the year. Myers kind of looks like Carson Palmer’s fatter older brother maybe that is why Palmer has targeted him 23 times in his last three games.  Keep Myers in lineups against Baltimore who can’t defend Tight Ends, ranked 22nd overall.

Dwayne Allen @ Jacksonville

The Jags have been pretty good against Tight Ends ranked 4th best, but I like Allen’s talent and the fact that Coby Fleener is out for another week. Look for Luck to target Allen a good amount in this game and for Allen to finish with around 50-70 yards receiving. I will take that from a Tight End not named GronkowskiGates or Graham.

Sit ‘Em

Kyle Rudolph vs Detroit

Rudolph has been ice cold since a hot start, so keep him reserved until he proves he can produce again.

Scott Chandler @ New England

If Chandler doesn’t score he doesn’t produce. This is another guy that you really can’t trust. Stay away.

Brent Celek vs Dallas

As noted, the Eagles offense has been a huge disappointment. Celek is no exception. Dallas is 7th best at defending Tight Ends so you need to keep Celek reserved.

IDP’s

Start ‘Em

Aldon Smith vs St. Louis

Smith has been heating up in his last few games and now has 7.5 sacks on the year. The Rams are allowing the 7th most sacks and are giving up the 8th most points to Fantasy DE’s, so this is a juicy matchup for Smith.

Ed Reed vs Oakland

With Carson Palmer and his pass chucking, turnover prone ways coming to town, you need to get Reed in your lineups. I always envision a Reed pick six versus a QB like this.

Sit ‘Em

Greg Hardy vs Denver 

Peyton Manning has been the 2nd least sacked QB this year, mostly because of his doing. Therefore there will be limited sack opportunities for Hardy and this Carolina pass rush.

Jarius Byrd vs New England

Byrd is averaging just 3 tackles a game this season, but does have three interceptions. However, going against Brady and Gronkowski his interception opportunities will be limited. Keep him benched.

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FantasySavvy 2012: Week 4 Player Rankings

Updated as of 1:30 Sunday Morning. Have a great day everyone! God Bless.

Quarterbacks

  1. Aaron Rodgers vs NO
  2. Drew Brees @ GB
  3. Matt Ryan vs CAR
  4. Tom Brady at BUF
  5. Peyton Manning vs OAK
  6. RG3 @ TB
  7. Mike Vick vs NYG
  8. Eli Manning @ Philly
  9. Matthew Stafford vs MIN
  10. Matt Schaub vs TEN
  11. Tony Romo vs CHI
  12. Andy Dalton @ JAC
  13. Cam Newton @ ATL
  14. Phillip Rivers @ KC
  15. Christian Ponder @ DET
  16. Carson Palmer @ DEN
  17. Alex Smith @ NYJ
  18. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs NE
  19. Matt Cassel vs SD
  20. Josh Freeman vs WAS
  21. Jake Locker @ HOU
  22. Kevin Kolb vs MIA
  23. Russell Wilson @ STL
  24. Jay Cutler @ DAL
  25. Sam Bradford vs SEA
  26. Mark Sanchez vs SF
  27. Blaine Gabbert vs CIN
  28. Ryan Tannehill @ ARI

Running Backs

  1. Arian Foster vs TEN
  2. Jamaal Charles vs SD
  3. Maurice Jones-Drew vs CIN
  4. LeSean McCoy vs NYG
  5. Darren McFadden @ DEN
  6. Ryan Mathews @ KC
  7. Marshawn Lynch @ STL
  8. Adrian Peterson @ DET
  9. Frank Gore @ NYJ
  10. Doug Martin vs WAS
  11. Stevan Ridley @ BUF
  12. Cedric Benson vs NO
  13. BenJarvus Green-Ellis @ JAC
  14. Darren Sproles @ GB
  15. Reggie Bush @ ARI *questionable
  16. DeMarco Murray vs CHI
  17. Matt Forte @ DAL *questionable
  18. Willis McGahee vs OAK *probable
  19. Michael Turner vs CAR
  20. Mikel LeShoure @ MIN *questionable
  21. Alfred Morris @ TB
  22. C.J. Spiller vs NE *questionable
  23. Fred Jackson vs NE *questionable
  24. Andre Brown @ Philly
  25. Ahmad Bradshaw @ Philly *probable
  26. Ryan Williams vs MIA
  27. Ben Tate vs TEN
  28. DeAngelo Williams @ ATL
  29. Jonathan Stewart @ ATL
  30. Chris Johnson @ HOU
  31. Shonn Greene vs SF
  32. Pierre Thomas @ GB
  33. Jaquizz Rodgers vs CAR
  34. Danny Woodhead @ BUF
  35. Juran Bolden @ BUF
  36. Daniel Thomas @ ARI
  37. Mark Ingram @ GB
  38. Bilal Powell vs SF
  39. Mike Tolbert @ ATL
  40. Kendall Hunter @ NYJ
  41. Lamar Miller @ ARI
  42. Mike Goodson @ DEN

Wide Receivers

  1. Calvin Johnson vs MIN
  2. Andre Johnson vs TEN
  3. A.J. Green @ JAC
  4. Greg Jennings vs NO
  5. Larry Fitzgerald vs Miami
  6. Percy Harvin @ DET
  7. Vincent Jackson vs WAS
  8. Julio Jones vs CAR
  9. Roddy White vs CAR
  10. Demaryius Thomas vs OAK
  11. Victor Cruz @ Philly
  12. Brandon Lloyd @ BUF
  13. Jordy Nelson vs NO
  14. Wes Welker @ BUF
  15. Eric Decker vs OAK
  16. Steve Johnson vs NE
  17. Dwayne Bowe vs SD
  18. Steve Smith @ ATL
  19. Marques Colston @ GB
  20. Jeremy Maclin vs NYG *probable
  21. DeSean Jackson vs NYG
  22. Miles Austin vs CHI
  23. Dez Bryant vs CHI
  24. Lance Moore @ GB
  25. Danny Amendola vs SEA
  26. Malcolm Floyd @ KC
  27. Santonio Holmes vs SF
  28. Brandon Marshall @ DAL
  29. Denarius Moore @ DEN
  30. Andrew Hawkins @ JAC
  31. Nate Burleson vs MIN
  32. Michael Crabtree @ NYJ
  33. Nate Washington @ HOU
  34. Sidney Rice @ STL
  35. Randall Cobb vs NO
  36. Brandon LaFell @ ATL
  37. Kevin Ogletree vs CHI
  38. Andre Roberts vs MIA
  39. Ramses Barden @ PHI
  40. Domenik Hixon @ PHI
  41. James Jones vs NO
  42. Titus Young vs MIN
  43. Mike Williams vs WAS
  44. Brian Hartline @ ARI
  45. Brandon Stokley vs OAK
  46. Kenny Britt @ HOU
  47. Jeremy Kerley vs SF
  48. Justin Blackmon vs CIN
  49. Golden Tate @ STL
  50. Santana Moss @ TB
  51. Alshon Jeffery @ DAL
  52. Leonard Hankerson @ TB
  53. Pierre Garcon @ TB * Doubtful
  54. Randy Moss @ NYJ
  55. Julian Edelman @ BUF
  56. Jon Baldwin vs SD
  57. Donald Jones vs NE
  58. Brandon Gibson vs SEA
  59. Josh Morgan @ TB
  60. Cecil Shorts vs CIN * CECIL!!!!!!

Tight Ends

  1. Vernon Davis @ NYJ
  2. Jimmy Graham @ GB
  3. Tony Gonzalez vs CAR
  4. Antonio Gates @ KC
  5. Rob Gronkowski v@ BUF
  6. Owen Daniels vs TEN
  7. Kyle Rudolph @ DET
  8. Brent Celek vs NYG
  9. Martellus Bennett @ PHI
  10. Jermichael Finley vs NO
  11. Brandon Pettigrew vs MIN
  12. Greg Olsen @ ATL
  13. Jermaine Gresham @ JAC
  14. Jacob Tamme vs OAK
  15. Jason Witten vs CHI
  16. Fred Davis @ TB
  17. Jared Cook @ HOU
  18. Tony Moeaki vs SD
  19. Scott Chandler vs NE
  20. Brandon Myers @ DEN
  21. Marcedes Lewis vs CIN
  22. Dallas Clark vs WAS
  23. Anthony Fasano @ ARI
  24. Joel Dreessen vs OAK
  25. Lance Kendricks vs SEA

Fantasy Savvy Week 14 Playoff Rankings

As promised our rankings are here. It’s Playoff week, and there is no time for amateur rankings, so we have to release ours. So follow closely and I hope your team comes out on top this week. Please check out our radio show at Blogtalkradio.com/fantasysavvy and follow us on twitter @fantasysavvy. Go Dominate!

QB’s

1) Aaron Rodgers vs Oakland

2) Cam Newton vs Atlanta

3) Tom Brady at Washington

4) Drew Brees at Ten

5) Matthew Stafford vs Minnesota

6) Tony Romo vs NYG

7) Eli Manning @ Dallas

8) Matt Ryan @ Carolina

9) Phillip Rivers vs Buffalo

10) Michael Vick @ Miami

11) Tim Tebow vs Chicago

12) Matt Hasselbeck @ NO

13) Carson Palmer @ GB– Keep in mind, both Denarius Moore and Jacoby Ford are out

14) Rex Grossman vs NE

15) Joe Flacco vs Indy

16) Matt Moore vs Philly

17) Alex Smith @ Arizona

18) Josh Johnson/Josh Freeman @ Jacksonville

19) Andy Dalton vs Houston

20) Christian Ponder @ Det

21) Mark Sanchez @ KC

22) TJ Yates @ Cincy

23) Kevin Kolb vs SF

24) Tavaris Jackson vs St. Louis

25) Sam Bradford @ Seattle

26) Caleb Hanie @ Denver

27) Dan Orlovsky @ Balt

28) Blaine Gabbert vs TB

29) Tom Brandstater @ Seattle

30) Tyler Palko vs NYJ

RB’s

1) Ray Rice vs Indy

2) Maurice Jones-Drew vs TB

3) LeSean McCoy@ Miami

4) Arian Foster @ Cincy

5) Ryan Matthews vs Buffalo

5A) Adrian Peterson @ Detroit** Very Questionable

6) Michael Turner @ Carolina

7) Marshawn Lynch vs St. Louis

8) Chris Johnson vs NO

9) CJ Spiller @ San Diego

10) Frank Gore @ Arizona

11) DeMarco Murray vs NYG

12) Reggie Bush vs Philly

13) Roy Helu vs NE

14) Darren Sproles @ Ten

15) Shonn Greene @ KC

15A) LeGarrette Blount @ Jax

16) Willis McGahee vs Chicago** questionable with tough matchup

17) Ben Jarvus Green-Ellis @ Washington

18) Michael Bush @ GB

19) Ahmad Bradshaw @ Dallas

19A) Steven Jackson @ Seattle

20) Pierre Thomas @ Ten**- Ingram ruled out

20A) Beanie Wells vs SF

21) Marion Barber @ Denver

22) Cedric Benson vs Houston

23) Maurice Morris vs Minnesota** Kevin Smith expected to be OUT

23) Toby Gerhart @ Detroit *** Only if Peterson is out, if not doesn’t even make list

24) Jonathan Stewart vs Atlanta

25) Ryan Grant vs Oakland

26) DeAngelo Williams vs Atlanta

26) Brandon Jacobs @ Dallas

27) Donald Brown @ Baltimore

27) Brandon Saine vs Oakland- James Starks OUT

29) Joseph Addai @ Baltimore

30) Ben Tate @ Cincy

31) Daniel Thomas vs Philly

32) Dexter McCluster @ NYJ

32) Mike Tolbert vs Buffalo

33) LaDainian Tomlinson @ KC

33A) Ricky Williams vs Indy

34) Danny Woodhead vs Washington

35) Kendall Hunter @ Arizona

36) Felix Jones vs NYG

37) Steven Ridley @ Washington

38) Thomas Jones vs NYJ

39) Backup dude for the Bears @ Denver- Insert here

WR’s

1) Calvin Johnson vs Minnesota

2) Wes Welker @ Washington

3) Greg Jennings vs Oakland

4) Vincent Jackson vs Buffalo

5) Roddy White @ Carolina

6) Victor Cruz @ Dallas

7) Percy Harvin @ Detroit

8) AJ Green vs Houston

9) Hakeem Nicks @ Dallas

10) Steve Smith vs Atlanta

11) Jordy Nelson vs Oakland

12) Marques Colston @ Ten

13) Larry Fitzgerald vs SF

14) Dez Byrant vs NYG

15) Brandon Marshall vs Philly

16) Stevie Johnson @ SD

17) Mike Williams @ Jax

18) Laurent Robinson vs NYG

19) Michael Crabtree @ Arizona

20) Santana Moss vs NE

21) Julio Jones @ Carolina

22) Damien Williams vs NO

23) Jeremy Maclin @ Miami** Questionable

24) Anquan Boldin vs Indy

24A) Miles Austin vs NYG

25) Brandon Lloyd @ Seattle

26) Malcolm Floyd vs Buffalo

27) Plaxico Burress @ KC

28) Santonio Holmes @ KC

29) DeSean Jackson @ Miami

30) Pierre Garcon @ Baltimore

31) Reggie Wayne @ Baltimore

32) Lance Moore vs Ten

32A) Riley Cooper- **If Maclin is out

33) Dwayne Bowe vs NYJ

34) Eric Decker vs Chicago

35) Demaryius Thomas vs Chicago

36) Nate Burleson vs Minnesota

37) Deion Branch @ Washington

38) Nate Washington vs NO*** Questionable

39) Jabaar Gaffney @ NE

40) Golden Tate vs St. Louis

41) Donald Driver vs Oakland

42) Darrius Heyward Bey @ GB

43) Chaz Shitlens @ GB

44) Jerome Simpson vs Houston

45) Brad Smith @ SD

46) Torrey Smith vs Indy

47) Johnny Knox @ Denver

48) Steve Breaston @ NYJ

49) Doug Baldwin vs STL

50) Jason Avant @ Miami

51) Vincent Brown vs Buffalo

52) David Nelson @ SD

53) Earl Bennett @ Den

TE’s

1) Rob Gronkowski @ Washington

2) Jimmy Graham @ Ten

3) Antonio Gates vs Buffalo

4) Jason Witten vs NYG

5) Tony Gonzalez @ Carolina

6) Aaron Hernandez @ Washington

7) Jermichael Finley vs Oakland

8) Kellen Winslow @ Jax

9) Vernon Davis @ Arizona

10) Brent Celek @ Miami

11) Dustin Keller @ KC

12) Anthony Fasano vs Philly

13) Ed Dickson vs Indy

14) Greg Olsen vs Atl

15) Owen Daniels @ Cincy

16) Dallas Clark @ Baltimore

17) Jake Ballard @ Dallas

18) Jared Cook vs NO

19) Jermaine Gresham vs Houston

20) Brandon Pettigrew vs Minnesota

21) Tony Scheffler vs Minnesota

22) Visanthe Shiancoe @ Det

23) Mercedes Lewis vs TB

Fantasy Savvy Week 4 Start em Sit em

Start Em Sit Em’s loaded for week 4, check out my article on FantasyPros911.com, Weekend Preview is upcoming later tonight. If you didn’t check out our radio show on Tuesday check it out at Blogtalkradio.com/fantasysavvy. Thanks and go dominate this weekend!

 

http://www.fantasypros911.com/wk4/item/527-2011-fantasy-football-start-em-sit-em-week-4

Week 16 Start Em Sit Em

By Mike Cannici

 

Start Em

QB

Sam Bradford vs. SF- He’s got a great matchup and last week became just the fourth rookie in NFL history to throw for 3,000 yards. Only the Cowboys have allowed more fantasy points to Quarterbacks over the past four weeks and at home, in a game that could decide the division, Bradford will step up and have a big game to guide his Rams to the playoffs.

Matt Schaub @ DEN – The Broncos have been solid over the past few weeks against the pass, but overall have allowed the 3rd most points to opposing quarterbacks and haven’t faced a passing attack like the Texans over this recent good stretch. Schaub and Andre Johnson should hook up at least for two scores in this game so start both with confidence in your Super Bowl, you won’t be disappointed.

Josh Freeman vs. SEA- Freeman hasn’t been great but he’s been solid throughout the season and faces the 7th worst defense against QB’s and has allowed at least 20 points to QB’s in seven of the last eight weeks. He’s got big Mike Williams to throw too as well as fellow rookie Arrelious Benn who is starting to come into his own. This is going to be a nice offense to watch develop over the next few years with this young talent. He’s not a bad option to replace Big Ben for your championship week, trust me.

RB

BenJarvus Green-Ellis vs. BUF- BJGE has been great throughout most of this season and especially of late against some pretty good defenses. He has posted double digit points in 5 of his last 6 as well as scoring six touchdowns in that same span. The Bills allow the sixth most points to fantasy backs and BenJarvus is a solid RB2 this week.

LaGarette Blount vs. SEA- Blount had a solid game last week totaling 110 yards on 15 touches and a touchdown. This week he gets an equally bad rush defense as he did last week and who has also allowed at least 20 fantasy points in five of their last six games. Blount is a rock solid RB2 against the Seahawks.

Anthony Dixon/Brian Westbrook @ STL- Neither has been great since Frank Gore went down but both have solid matchups this week and are pretty good flex options. The Rams have allowed 80 fantasy points over the last three weeks to running backs and I can definitely see these two going for double digit points each. You could do worse at your flex spot than these two. I like Dixon a little better in TD heavy leagues and Westbrook in PPR leagues.

WR

Larry Fitzgerald vs. DAL- Fitzgerald is a legit option as a high end WR2 this week and has had at least 60 yards receiving in 7 of the last eight games. Nobody has allowed more fantasy points to wide receivers over the last three weeks, and that my friend’s has vaulted them to the WORST fantasy defense against wideouts over the Texans who have held that title for the previous 15 weeks, Congrats Cowboys. Start Fitz with confidence this week.

Dwayne Bowe vs. TEN- Bowe has struggled recently but the Titans have allowed 50 + points to receivers over the last two weeks and the Chiefs get this defense at home where Bowe and Cassel should thrive in a big game for them. Bowe is a solid WR2 who very easily could post WR1 numbers.

Brandon Lloyd vs. HOU- Lloyd had been quiet in weeks 13 and 14 but came back to life against the Raiders in week 15 with rookie Tim Tebow under center. Lloyd finished with 4 catches for 79 yards and a touchdown. He was the only receiver who held his value with the change at QB and Lloyd looks to be a solid WR2 at home against the league’s second worst pass defense. He’s a must start in your championship.

 

 

Sit Em

QB

Carson Palmer vs. SD- The Chargers are the best fantasy defense against opposing QB’s and Palmer will be without T.O. and OchoCinco reportedly will only play about half the snaps Sunday, so with all that stacked against him, Palmer is a guy you want nowhere near your starting lineup.

Ben Roethlisberger vs. CAR- The Panthers are just 2-12 on the season but their pass defense has been surprisingly good. They allow the 3rd lowest points to opposing QB’s and have allowed just 33 total over the past three weeks. Big Ben won’t have a horrific game, I just think that you can probably do a little better for your championship week as he hasn’t been great as of late anyway.

RB

Brandon Jackson vs. NYG- The Giants have been stout against the run over the first 15 weeks but just amazing over the past three. The last three weeks against LeSean McCoy, Adrian Peterson/Toby Gerhart and Keiland Wiliams/James Davis have allowed just 40 points combined to running backs. The Vikes and Skins’ aren’t the most prolific offenses but it does tell you something, plus with Aaron Rodgers coming back, I imagine the Pack will get back to being a pass first team.

LaDainian Tomlinson/Shonn Greene @ CHI- These guys got a little bit going on the ground last week against the league’s best run defense, but by basically splitting touches, they almost completely destroy each other’s value. The Bears are also very good against the run, especially at home so if your roster allows it, keep these guys on your bench.

WR

OchoCinco vs. SD- Not only are they facing the league’s best pass defense, but Ocho will also be limited to about 50% of snaps because of bone spurs in his ankle. So with all those issues, he’s a must sit for your fantasy super bowl.

Anquan Boldin @ CLE- Another guy who throughout his career was a must start week in and out, is now a must sit especially going against a Browns defense who allows the eight fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Boldin has also done little to nothing through most of the season and will likely be lined up against Rookie Joe Haden who is becoming a superstar before our eyes.

Miles Austin @ ARI- Austin is another guy who hasn’t done too much lately, especially for those of us in PPR league’s where early in the season as well as last, were basking in the glory that was Mr. Austin. He’s got just 12 catches for 132 yards and a touchdown over the last four weeks and the Cards surprisingly have allowed the 5th fewest fantasy points to wide receivers over the last three weeks and he is likely to be blanketed by Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, who has really stepped his game up as of late.

Player News 12/14

Chargers receiver Vincent Jackson is not on this weeks injury report and will be available in week 15. TE Antonio Gates (foot) didn’t practice Tuesday and his week 15 status is still unknown.

Bills receiver Lee Evans (ankle) has been placed on IR thus ending his season.

Vikings QB Tavaris Jackson suffered a turf toe injury and his week 15 status is not yet known. With Brett Favre also ailing, rookie Joe Webb would get the start Sunday unless they sign a veteran immediately. WR Percy Harvin (migraines) is expected to return to practice by Thursday but they haven’t quite committed to him playing this week just yet.

Steelers TE Heath Miller (Concussion) has passed all his neurological tests and is expected to play this week against the Jets.

Giants wideout Steve Smith injured his hamstring Monday in a win over the Vikings and the Giants believe it is very unlikely that he plays this week against the Eagles. Fellow receiver Mario Manningham (hip) is very unlikely to play as well this week against the Eagles in a game that could decide the division. Derek Hagan and Hakeem Nicks will start.

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers(concussion) is listed as day to day but he believes he’ll be able to go Sunday in a big game against the Patriots. If Rodgers were to miss another game that would be a severe blow to their playoff hopes with the Saints at 10-3 and the Giants at 9-4. If Rodgers can’t play then Matt Flynn would make his first career start.

Chiefs QB Matt Cassel (appendectomy) is listed as day to day but says he plans to play Sunday against the Rams in a game they must win with San Diego hot on their heels now. They need him back as coach Haley seems to have zero confidence in Brodie Croyle doing much of anything.

Browns QB Colt McCoy (ankle) is very optimistic he will be ready to go this week. It looks like Coach Mangini is feeling McCoy is ready to get back in their as well but we’ll have to see how he practices the rest of the week.

Jets RB Shonn Greene suffered a neck injury during Sunday’s loss to the Dolphins and his week 15 status is not yet known. We’ll monitor this throughout the week but even if he can go, he has to go up against the league’s best run defense in the Steelers.

Saints rookie RB Chris Ivory suffered a hamstring injury Sunday but it not considered serious. Luckily for the Saints Pierre Thomas returned but thats not good news for Ivory has he could start to lose carries to Thomas if this injury lingers. We’ll keep you updated on his status as the week goes along.

Promising Seahawks receiver Deon Butler suffered a devastating leg injury during Sunday’s loss to the 49ers and his season is over. He has been diagnosed with a leg fracture and he will need many months of offsesason rehab to hopefully be ready for the start of the 2011 season.

 

 

4 O’clock Breakdowns + Sunday and Monday Night

By: Steve DeAngelo

Oakland @ San Diego  4:05 Est

Watching San Diego last week against the Colts last night I came away extremely impressed. They flat-out dominated the Colts. Coming in I was already impressed by their offense, but their defense really showed to me that they are pretty worthy of that #1 ranking. Phillip Rivers is the MVP in my mind . Without Vincent Jackson all year, Antonio Gates, Malcolm Floyd and Patrick Crayton in and out of the lineup Rivers still gets it done. Despite the Chargers trouncing the Colts last week, Rivers did not throw a TD, expect that to change this week.  The Raiders are 5th in pass defense only allowing 186 yards a game but they have let up 21 passing TD’s. Last week Chad Henne picked on corner Walter Mcfadden and he got exposed all day. Expect Rivers to do the same. Malcolm Floyd is still banged up, but should play along with Antonio Gates. Floyd is a decent flex this week. Seyi Arjirotutu could have a nice day as he is the healthiest of the wideouts, I like him much more than Legedu Naanee who returned last week after weeks of being out.

Ryan Matthews looks like he will return this week, but Mike Tolbert will still get more carries after producing back 2 back 100 yd games, Tolbert will also remain the goal-line back. Tolbert has a nice matchup vs the Oakland defense that is struggling against the run ranked 28th overall. Darren Sproles could prove to be a decent low-end flex play in this game due to the injury factor at wideout for San Diego. I would reserve him for PPR leagues only.

The Raiders have been struggling lately with back 2 back losses and it looks like their season is pretty much over. Due to another Bruce Gradkowski injury, Jason Campbell will take the reins back this week against the #1 secondary in the league. Jacoby Ford has had two monster games in the past 3 weeks but I would avoid him this week, because Campbell will probably not have too much time to throw against the Chargers who lead the league in sacks. Darren Mcfadden has been slowing down lately, he is still getting the receiving yards but his rushing numbers have been way down the past 2 weeks with only 16 yards rushing. San Diego is ranked #3 against the run so it doesn’t get much easier. Also the Raiders offensive line has been wearing down, not providing the holes they were earlier in the year. Zach Miller is playing hurt and it shows, he has 17 yards in his past 3 games. Don’t rely on him this week.

St. Louis @ Arizona 4:05 Est

The Cardinals are quite possibly the worst team in the NFL. They aren’t getting it done in any facet of the game right now. Derek Anderson blew up on the media last week after the 49ers loss last week, so it will be interesting to see how he plays this week. I wouldn’t bet on anything special. Anderson is only completing 52% of his passes and has only 7 TD’s to 9 Int’s. Larry Fitzgerald is an extremely risky start because of this, despite his talent. The Cardinals cannot get the ground game going at all either as Beanie Wells has been an absolute bust in Fantasy Football this year. Stay away from all Cardinals in this game.

Watching Sam Bradford he doesn’t look anything like a rookie QB. He is poised under center while delivering the ball with solid accuracy. He will get it done this week against Arizona. After getting his first road win of his career last week in Denver, I expect him to have similar success this week. Danario Alexander had a solid game last week finishing with 95 yards receiving despite only playing 20 snaps. You have to think the Rams would want to get him more involved with his talent. Danny Amendola is the Wes Welker of the Mid-west. He runs excellent routes and is a great ppr play in this matchup. I expect the Rams to be playing with the lead most of the game so that means plenty of Steven Jackson against this 31st ranked Arizona Run D. Expect Jackson to go over 100 yards with at least one score. Bradford is worth a look at QB this week in this matchup, I am expecting 240 yards with 2 TD’s.

Dallas @ Indianapolis 4:15 Est

I give a lot of props to the Cowboys and the comeback they almost pulled off last week against the New Orleans Saints. They came up just a bit short after Malcolm Jenkins stripped Roy Williams clean. Jon Kitna has filled in fairly nicely for Tony Romo with 6 Td’s in his last 3 games also throwing for over 300 yards twice. The Colts have been fairly good against the pass ranked 6th overall with only 13 Passing TD’s allowed. At home Dwight Freeney and Mathis could really disrupt the immobile Kitna. However Kitna should see some success but is a good bet for a couple of turnovers. Dez Bryant refused to talk to the media last week after being held catchless so you can be sure that Kitna will look to get him more involved this week. Miles Austin has been spotty with Kitna at QB and last week wouldn’t have done much without the Reverse run he had for a TD. Bryant and Austin are flex plays to me. Roy Williams got back in the mix last week and I think he is worth a flex start once again. Kitna will probably be playing catch up most of the day so there will be a lot of throwing for him. Jason Witten has been one of the most productive tight ends since Kitna arrived and despite the Colts being top 3 in least points allowed to Tight Ends, he’s a must start.

 

Peyton Manning might have been in the film room for 80 hours this week after the brutal loss to San Diego. Manning should have an easier time against the Cowboys secondary who hasn’t played well all year. Still, without a proper run game it’s hard for Manning to be as effective as we’ve seen him in the past. The Absence of Austin Collie has also hurt. Blair White is worth a flex start again this week as he will be matched up with Orlando Scandrick and that’s a matchup Manning will look to exploit. Reggie Wayne is questionable but should play and probably will be matched up with Terrance Newman who hasn’t looked himself all season. Garcon and Manning still can’t seem to connect with consistency but I think Garcon makes for a decent #2 WR this week and could find the endzone while being matched up with Mike Jenkins. Jacob Tamme has been a fantasy monster since he stepped in for Dallas Clark and that won’t stop this week, it will never stop as long as Manning is throwing him the ball.

People doubted the effectiveness of Joseph Addai but we are truly seeing it right now as Donald Brown has failed to fill his role averaging only 3.3 YPC. Donald Brown is not worth a start because he isn’t racking up yards and Javarris James is taking away the goal-line carries.

 

Carolina @ Seattle 4:15 Est

This is probably the worst game of the week with two lowly teams battling it out. Seattle actually is still in the division race in the NFC west because that division is brutal and it will be a shame if they are hosting a playoff game. Matt Hasselback is a shell of his former self and is not worth starting this week at all against an underrated Carolina secondary. Marshawn Lynch stinks he has had good matchup after good matchup and still can’t do anything. The only player worth starting for Seattle is Mike Williams as a flex, because Hasselback will probably target him 10+ times.

The Panthers finally got the ground game going last week, as Jonathan Stewart returned from his concussion and had 12 carries for 98 yards averaging 8.2 YPC. I expect him to keep it up this week against a struggling Seattle run D now ranked 21st overall after once being ranked in the top 3. That Panthers are going to be running early and often in this game, Stewart could see 20 carries, he’s a #2 back this week and should go over 100 yards with a TD. Mike Goodson will be relegated to passing downs and he’s a decent flex in PPR leagues only, he did see 10 targets last week. It’s a shame Steve Smith is being wasted in Carolina playing with an inept rookie QB, but he might be able to make some noise this week against a terrible Seattle secondary ranked 30th in the league. Still Smith hasn’t had a 100 yard game all year and hasn’t scored since week 2 so you probably want to avoid him if you can.

 

Atlanta @ Tampa Bay 4:15 Est

Huge matchup here as both teams need to win this game. Atlanta took the first matchup and now the Bucs will try to avoid the sweep while playing in their backyard. Matt Ryan didn’t have a great game last week with only 1 TD but he should improve on that a bit this week. I expect 2 TD’s and around 220 yards from Ryan against T.B’s 9th ranked Pass D. Tony Gonzalez had a nice game last time vs Tampa Bay ( 8-72) and should enjoy similar success this time around. Roddy White in all lineups of course while no other Falcons wideout is consistent enough to rely on. Michael Turner should get his 20+ carries again this week and should go over 100 with a TD. He impressed me last week going over a 100 against an underrated Packers Run D.

 

Josh Freeman hasn’t been putting up big fantasy numbers but they have been decent. I expect him to bode fairly well this week against the Falcons secondary ranked 27th. Look for 230 yards and 2 TD’s with some bonus rushing yards. Mike Williams will match up with Dunta Robinson and last time out he burnt Robinson on a slant route that went for a 50 yard TD. If Atlanta continues to play cover o (no safety help) look for Freeman to exploit that matchup again with Williams. Williams is a solid #2 WR this week. Kellen Winslow was quiet last time vs Atlanta so don’t expect much from him, although he will be targeted in the redzone. LeGarrette Blount is running with force but the Bucs need to feed him the ball more, he had 1 carry in the 2nd half last week.  This isn’t a great matchup vs an Atlanta run D ranked 6th overall and only having allowed 4 Rushing TD’s all year. He could sneak a TD but don’t expect many yards. He’s a decent flex this week.

 

Pittsburgh @ Baltimore 8:20 Sunday Night

Another huge divisional matchup as the Steelers look to avenge their early season loss where they didn’t have Big Ben. Big  Ben will play in this matchup despite a messed up ankle and you have to wonder how mobile is he gonna be in this matchup. Will he be able to extend plays like he usually does? I think the Ravens get the best of him, but Ben should still finish with over 220 yards and a couple of TD’s, but probably a couple of turnovers as well. Mike Wallace should be able to exploit CB’s Josh Wilson or Chris Carr whoever ends up matching up with him. The Steelers will be able to throw against this Ravens secondary and both Wallace and Hines Ward should see some nice success, despite Ben’s bum ankle. Heath Miller should be on benches this week as the Ravens are #1 in defending tight ends.  With Ben hurting Rashad Mendenhall will be called upon to take some pressure of the pass game. Mendenhall is running hard, but the Steelers offensive line really isn’t opening up too many holes. The Ravens should be able to contain Mendenhall and hold him under 90 yards. The Ravens have only let up 5 TD’s on the ground so odds are Mendenhall won’t see the endzone.

 

Joe Flacco has been rock solid in his 3rd year with 18 TD’s to only 8 picks while completing 63% of his passes. He threw for 256 and 1 TD last time out against Pittsburgh, but I think he will improve on that this week. Look for 2 TD’s and about 250 for Flacco. Derrick Mason started real slow, but has come on and now has 4 TD’s on the year and is a reliable flex play every week. Anquan Boldin hasn’t produced to his draft spot with only 2 100 Yd games all year and he hasn’t had one since week 3. Also he only has 6 TD’s and 3 of them came in one game. Remain patient with him, he will produce and is due for a big game, it may come this week. Fred Jackson ran for over 100 last week vs Pittsburgh so why can’t Ray Rice? Rice historically has been pretty good against Pittsburgh and even though he might not see 100 yards rushing, I think he will have over 100 total yards and will be a nice play in PPR leagues. Almost forgot to mention Todd Heap who has been hot lately with 4 TD’s in his last 6 games. Pittsburgh is middle of the pack in defending tight ends but have been exploited by Ben Watson and Rob Gronkowski. Expect Heap to have a nice day with over 50 yards and a possible score.

 

Jets @ Patriots 8:30 Monday Night

Easily the best game of the week goes down on Monday Night Football. Rex Ryan wants to kick Bill Belichick’s ass and so does Belichick and he probably has game-planned more intensely for this game than any other game this season. How will the Jets defend Tom Brady and this Patriots offense. Ben Jarvus Green-Ellis shouldn’t find many holes against the #4 run d in the league so don’t expect much from him. I am expecting Darrelle Revis to cover Deion Branch most of the day so Branch should be left out of lineups. Wes Welker could be double teamed or the Jets might roll zone coverage at him to prevent him from getting over the middle. The fact is the Jets match up well with these wideouts so I wouldn’t expect big things from either Branch or Welker. The matchup the Patriots will probably look to exploit is Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez who went over 100 yards last time against the Jets. The Jets safeties aren’t good at covering tight ends and it doesn’t help that they lost their signal caller Safety Jim Leonhard for the year. Look for Hernandez to get back in the mix this week. One of these tight ends will probably do some damage. Danny Woodhead makes for a decent flex play in PPR leagues as he will probably be sneak some catches on this Jets defense. I expect the Jets to contain this Pats offense for the most part, look for Brady to finish with around 200 yards and maybe 1 or 2 TD’s.

 

On the other side, I expect Mark Sanchez and Co. to find some success throwing the football. Jerricho Cotchery returns this week which should help the offense but not your fantasy lineups. Look for Santonio Holmes to get open against Rookie Devin McCourty. Holmes should finish with around 6 catches for 80 yards and a possible score. Braylon Edwards has been inconsistent so it’s hard to guess what he will do. He’s still worth a flex play. Dustin Keller abused this Patriots secondary in week 2, so expect Belichick to try to take that away from Sanchez, but I still think Keller will have a big game as the Jets know they need to get Keller involved more.

Shonn Greene and Ladainian Tomlinson are kind of canceling each other out right now as neither has seen a 100 yard game in weeks. Both are low-end flex plays this week as I think the Jets will really try to pass the ball on this 32nd ranked Patriots Secondary.