FantasySavvy 2012: Week 15 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em (Playoff Edition)

As seen on FP911.com. Make sure to check there for tons of great information to get you prepared for the Fantasy Playoffs. If you are knocked out you can still play in our daily leagues at FP911challenge.com

If your team(s) have made it this far, they are most likely stacked with talent so some tough decisions will have to be made. As always I try to leave the obvious selections out and focus on those tough decisions. Feel free to hit me up @FantasySavvy on twitter with any questions you may have. Congratulations on a terrific season thus far and I hope all of you finish the season off strong.

You won’t see the obvious names on here, that would be pointless. Maybe occasionally to give you a reminder, but rather we are looking to identify some guys that you may be on the fence with and encourage you to either start or sit them. Matchups will be broken down, stats will be used, some projections will be provided and some “gut” feeling will be mixed in. But when it comes down to the come down, it’s your “gut” you need to roll with.

*Players listed in order of projected effectiveness in the start ‘em category and ineffectiveness in the sit ‘em category.

Quarterbacks

Start ‘Em

Colin Kaepernick @ New England

Kaepernick hasn’t thrown a TD the last two weeks, but he’s rushed for 130 yards including a TD. While the rushing stats should be expected once again, the passing numbers should increase as well. There is no doubt the 49ers will be passing more than usual as they line up against the Patriots, trying to keep pace with their offense and looking to exploit their pass defense. I expect Kaep to deliver for Fantasy Owners and finish with over 300 total yards with at least 2 TD’s.

Josh Freeman @ New Orleans

Freeman has cooled off after his mid-season surge and really hasn’t played all that well, but the matchup this week is too good to pass up. The Saints are still allowing the most points to QB’s and Freeman still has Vincent Jackson. Look for Freeman to put up close to 300 yards passing with at least two TD’s.

Carson Palmer vs Kansas City

If Palmer can throw for 273 and 2 TD’s against Denver, then he can do the same if not better vs Kansas City. Palmer can hurt you by throwing terrible interceptions, but he still seems to get the numbers every week. Brandon Myers, Denarius Moore  and Darrius Heyward-Bey should all get into the mix and Palmer will finish with a fairly solid day.

Sit ‘Em

Nick Foles vs Cincinnati

Foles played pretty well last week, leading the Eagles to a come behind victory against Tampa, but the matchup is extremely rough this week. The Bengals defensive line vs the Eagles offensive line? The Bengals haven’t allowed a Fantasy QB to score over 20 points for five straight weeks now, so leave Foles out of consideration.

Joe Flacco vs Denver

Ravens offensive coordinator Cam Cameron is now gone, but this is still the same Joe Flacco. The only thing that might change now is that Ray Rice will get the ball more often. Yes, Flacco did throw for 3 TD’s last week, but that was against the Skins and their horrid secondary. Flacco hasn’t been over 200 yards passing the last two weeks however and most definitely can not be trusted against Denver and Champ Bailey.

Tony Romo vs Pittsburgh

Romo gets another tough matchup against the Steelers and might have to face them without Dez Bryant. The jury is still out on whether or not Bryant will play, but regardless you have to think about benching Romo this week. Romo is not going to pass for over 300 yards and will have a hard time getting multiple TD’s.

Running Backs

Start ‘Em

C.J. Spiller vs Seattle

To me Spiller is one of the five most talented backs in the league, so it’s really a shame how much Chan Gailey has under utilized him this season. But now with Fred Jackson OUT for the rest of the season, it will be all Spiller. Gailey has already stated that Spiller will get a lot of work. Don’t let the Seattle Defense scare you, Spiller easily has the talent to overcome any defense. He is a must-start for the remainder of the Fantasy Playoffs.

Reggie Bush vs Jacksonville

Miami Head Coach Joe Philbin stated that he would start to get Reggie more involved in the passing game and did so against the 49ers as Reggie caught five passes for 38 yards. He also rushed for 65 yards on 14 carries and ran hard against San Fran. Bush has been playing well the last few weeks and now with him getting more involved into the passing game he can be trusted again. Look for Bush to have over 100 total yards with four to five catches and a possible score.

Montell Owens @ Miami

This two-time Special Teams Pro-Bowler played fairly well last week in his first start at RB rushing for 91 yards and a TD against the Jets. With Rashad Jennings and MJD OUT once again it will be all Owens. He’s going to get at least 15-20 touches and should approach close to 100 total yards.

Sit ‘Em

Ryan Mathews vs Carolina

I don’t care how good the matchup is, Mathews can’t be trusted. He hasn’t rushed for 100 yards all season and has one rushing TD. Why does this guy continue to be started?

Mikel Leshoure @ Arizona

Leshoure is not very explosive and doesn’t do anything to really impress. With Joique Bell starting to take a lot of time away from him now, Leshoure needs to be on your benches.

Ahmad Bradshaw @ Atlanta

Bradshaw plays every week, but he is never fully healthy and after last weeks performance by David Wilson, Bradshaw is going to lose time to the Rookie. Bradshaw could even miss this weeks game with a sprained knee. It’s time to start thinking about other options.

Wide Receivers

Start ‘Em

Danario Alexander vs Carolina

Alexander has always been talented, he just has never been healthy. He is really making Phillip Rivers look good and has 5 TD’s in his last five games. He is Rivers go-to-guy and his best red zone threat. Carolina’s secondary is nothing special providing Alexander a great chance to find the endzone again this week.

Michael Crabtree @ New England

Crabtree is easily Kaepernick’s favorite target with 22 targets and over 200 yards receiving in his last two games. Keep him going against the Pats.

Josh Gordon vs Washington

Gordon has been on fire of late, and should be able to burn DeAngelo Hall and the Washington Redskins porous secondary. Expect close to 100 yards receiving.

Sit ‘Em

Donnie Avery @ Houston

The Houston secondary has been getting torched of late, but Avery has just been way too inconsistent to be relied upon. He had a great matchup last week and disappointed. Luck also isn’t great on the road and prefers Reggie Wayne and T.Y. Hilton over Avery.

Kenny Britt vs NYJ

Britt broke out from the doldrums last week with 8 catches and 143 yards, but has to face Antonio Cromartie this week who has been excellent against No.1 WR’s all season. Tough matchup for Britt, look for other options if possible.

Torrey Smith vs Denver

Smith has a pending matchup with Champ Bailey, but has failed in lesser matchups. In his last four games Smith has been held under 40 yards receiving three times. Stay away.

Tight Ends

Start ‘Em

Greg Olsen @ San Diego

Cam Newton has finally started to play at a high level again and Greg Olsen has been benefiting as a result with 4 TD’s in his last five games including scoring in back to back weeks.

Vernon Davis @ New England

How can I recommend a guy who has a combined 19 yards in his last three games? Yes it’s very hard for me to do so, but you have to throw him out there in this matchup against the Pats.  New England is second worst against Tight Ends. I hope Vernon does nothing once again because I am facing him this week, but with all the passing the 49ers will be doing, Davis has to get involved. If he doesn’t go over 50 yards receiving this week, I will be very surprised, but maybe I shouldn’t be.

Martellus Bennett @ Atlanta

Eli has been picking up the pace as the Giants go on another one of their late season runs and Bennett will continue to be targeted in the redzone. Bennett has seen 15 targets and scored twice the last two weeks so get him in your lineups.

Sit ‘Em

Tony Scheffler @ Arizona

There is a good chance Brandon Pettigrew will not play in this game and Scheffler will get the starting nod. Scheffler has been playing well, but the Cards are the best when it comes to covering the Tight End, allowing the fewest fantasy points.

Jermichael Finley @ Chicago

Finley has been just a pure disappointment all year and he can not be trusted in the Fantasy Playoffs, despite his “talent” and the QB tossing him the rock. Steer clear.

Kyle Rudolph @ St. Louis

Rudolph had scored in three straight games but killed Fantasy Owners last week by doing absolutely nothing, literally. I don’t know about you, but after a player scores zero points for my team, they become very hard to trust.

IDP’s

Start ‘Em

Jarod Mayo vs San Francisco

Mayo has had a fine season with 74 tackles and now faces a run-heavy 49ers team that is giving up the 7th most points to Fantasy Linebackers.

Cliff Avril @ Arizona

We saw what the Seahawks defense did to the Arizona offense last week, and Avril who has 9.5 sacks this year will have plenty of opportunities to wreak havoc on Ryan Lindley.

Sit ‘Em

Michael Bennett @ New Orleans

Not a good matchup for Bennett facing the Saints and Drew Brees who rarely gets sacked.

Jarius Byrd vs Seattle

I’ll keep it simple. The Seahawks are giving up the fewest points to Safeties this year.

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FantasySavvy 2012: Week 14 Player Rankings (Playoff Edition)

Quarterbacks

  1. Aaron Rodgers vs DET
  2. Drew Brees @ NYG
  3. Eli Manning vs NO
  4. RG3 vs BAL
  5. Tom Brady vs HOU
  6. Andrew Luck vs TEN
  7. Cam Newton vs ATL
  8. Matt Ryan @ CAR
  9. Matthew Stafford @ GB
  10. Josh Freeman vs PHI
  11. Tony Romo @ CIN
  12. Colin Kaepernick vs MIA
  13. Matt Schaub @ NE
  14. Ben Roethlisberger vs SD
  15. Andy Dalton vs DAL
  16. Joe Flacco @ WAS
  17. Phillip Rivers @ PIT
  18. Jay Cutler @ MIN
  19. Sam Bradford @ BUF
  20. Russell Wilson vs AZ
  21. Jake Locker @ IND
  22. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs STL
  23. Brandon Weeden vs KC
  24. Nick Foles @ TB
  25. Chad Henne vs NYJ
  26. Mark Sanchez @ JAC
  27. Christian Ponder vs CHI
  28. John Skelton @ SEA
  29. Ryan Tannehill @ SF
  30. Brady Quinn @ CLE

Running Backs

  1. Adrian Peterson vs CHI
  2. Jamaal Charles @ CLE
  3. Doug Martin vs PHI
  4. Arian Foster @ NE
  5. Trent Richardson vs KC
  6. Ray Rice @ WAS
  7. C.J. Spiller vs STL
  8. Marshawn Lynch vs AZ
  9. Bryce Brown @ TB
  10. Alfred Morris vs BAL
  11. Ahmad Bradshaw vs NO
  12. Chris Johnson @ IND
  13. Frank Gore vs MIA
  14. Matt Forte @ MIN
  15. DeMarco Murray @ CIN
  16. BenJarvus Green-Ellis vs DAL
  17. Steven Jackson @ BUF
  18. Stevan Ridley vs HOU
  19. Fred Jackson vs STL
  20. Vick Ballard vs TEN
  21. Shonn Greene @ JAC
  22. Jonathan Dwyer vs SD
  23. Michael Turner @ CAR
  24. Mikel Leshoure @ GB
  25. Montell Owens vs NYJ
  26. Darren Sproles @ NYG
  27. Reggie Bush @ SF
  28. DeAngelo Williams vs ATL
  29. Pierre Thomas @ NYG
  30. Ryan Mathews @ PIT
  31. Alex Green vs DET
  32. Beanie Wells @ SEA
  33. Joique Bell @ GB
  34. Jaquizz Rodgers @ CAR
  35. Mark Ingram @ NYG
  36. Bilal Powell @ JAC
  37. Danny Woodhead vs HOU
  38. Shane Vereen vs HOU
  39. Ben Tate @ NE
  40. Issac Redman vs SD
  41. Felix Jones @ CIN
  42. Daryl Richardson @ BUF
  43. Daniel Thomas @ SF
  44. Chris Ivory @ NYG
  45. Peyton Hillis @ CLE
  46. Delonte Carter vs TEN
  47. Benard Pierce @ WAS

Wide Receivers 

  1. Calvin Johnson @ GB
  2. Brandon Marshall @ MIN
  3. Andre Johnson @ NE
  4. A.J. Green vs DAL
  5. Vincent Jackson vs PHI
  6. Dez Bryant @ CIN
  7. Marques Colston @ NYG
  8. Victor Cruz vs NO
  9. Wes Welker vs HOU
  10. Roddy White @ CAR
  11. Reggie Wayne vs TEN
  12. Julio Jones @ CAR
  13. Randall Cobb vs DET
  14. Hakeem Nicks vs NO *questionable
  15. Pierre Garcon vs BAL
  16. Greg Jennings vs DET
  17. Steve Smith vs ATL
  18. James Jones vs DET
  19. Mike Wallace vs SD
  20. Danario Alexander @ PIT
  21. Torrey Smith @ WAS
  22. Stevie Johnson vs STL
  23. Lance Moore @ NYG
  24. Miles Austin @ CIN
  25. Sidney Rice vs AZ
  26. Danny Amendola @ BUF * Gametime decision
  27. T.Y. Hilton vs TEN
  28. Mike Williams vs PHI
  29. Jeremy Maclin @ TB
  30. Michael Crabtree vs MIA
  31. Kenny Britt @ IND
  32. Antonio Brown vs SD
  33. Donnie Avery vs TEN
  34. Chris Givens @ BUF
  35. Brandon Lloyd vs HOU
  36. Dwayne Bowe @ CLE
  37. Josh Gordon vs KC
  38. Golden Tate vs AZ
  39. Anquan Boldin @ WAS
  40. Justin Blackmon vs NYJ
  41. Brian Hartline @ SF
  42. Mike Thomas @ GB
  43. Malcom Floyd @ PIT
  44. Santana Moss vs BAL
  45. Jeremy Kerley @ JAC
  46. Jason Avant @ TB
  47. Kendall Wright @ IND
  48. Kevin Elliot vs NYJ
  49. Davone Bess @ SF
  50. Nate Washington @ IND
  51. Louis Murphy vs ATL
  52. Brandon Gibson @ BUF
  53. Riley Cooper @ TB
  54. Greg Little vs KC
  55. Emannuel Sanders vs SD
  56. Donald Jones vs STL
  57. Randy Moss vs MIA
  58. Stephen Hill @ JAC
  59. Jarius Wright vs CHI
  60. Aldrick Robinson vs BAL

Tight Ends 

  1. Jimmy Graham @ NYG
  2. Aaron Hernandez vs HOU
  3. Jason Witten @ CIN
  4. Owen Daniels vs NE
  5. Tony Gonzalez @ CAR
  6. Jermaine Gresham vs DAL
  7. Heath Miller vs SD
  8. Greg Olsen vs ATL
  9. Kyle Rudolph vs CHI
  10. Brandon Pettigrew @ GB
  11. Vernon Davis vs MIA
  12. Martellus Bennett @ NO
  13. Dennis Pitta @ WAS
  14. Antonio Gates @ PIT
  15. Dallas Clark vs PHI
  16. Jermichael Finley vs DET
  17. Jared Cook @ IND
  18. Tony Moeaki @ CLE
  19. Brent Celek @ TB
  20. Tony Scheffler @ GB
  21. Dwayne Allen vs TEN
  22. Marcedes Lewis vs NYJ
  23. Scott Chandler vs STL
  24. Coby Fleener vs TEN
  25. Jeff Cumberland @ JAC
  26. Logan Paulsen vs BAL
  27. Rob Housler @ SEA
  28. Ben Watson vs KC