FantasySavvy 2017: Super Bowl 51 Analysis & Prediction

Super Bowl Sunday, an American staple and unofficial National Holiday. It will be official once they make Monday a day off. Everybody is mostly shot out anyway after drinking tons of beer, wine, vodka, coke, Dr. Pepper or whatever. Then add in all the wings, chips, dips, etc. and most people feel like their name is Gorky Tuckens come Monday Morning. Might as well just give everybody the day off. But the Super Bowl is something everybody and their Mother will watch. Well while you are stuffing your face and talking to some guy who you never met before you may miss a big play or two. Or if you’re talking to your Friends Wife’s sisters friend, nevermind just try to have some good laughs with your buddies or close family and watch as much as you can! Also some guy named Tucker Beencorse will leave during halftime because he has a long ride home, has an early flight somewhere or an early meeting. Or another guy will start telling a story about how he grew up in Delaware and be loud as hell about it. Some other young chic might be too drunk and loud. Kids will be running around screaming. Point is the Super Bowl is usually a game you can’t fully focus on because of so many different people being around. For me it’s a time to meet up with my friends I haven’t seen in a while and have a good time, but I def miss a lot of things and can’t fully focus in like I usually do. End of the day it is what it is, enjoy the game and make sure to fully tune in when it matters! Enjoy the orange pasted guacomole roasted pepper bean dip that your Friends wife made from some random internet recipe.  On to the game at hand……………….

ATLANTA

I liked Matt Ryan early in his career, but over the last few seasons it looked like he was starting to regress. He would start out hot but flop in the 2nd half the season and in the Playoffs. This year you could notice there was something different when you watched Ryan. His arm looked stronger, he looked much more decisive and was making deep, accurate throws with consistency. Ryan must have taken an off-season approach to really improve his body, arm and mind. Also Kyle Shanahan helped tremendously with his play calling and offensive design. Ryan looks like he has mastered this offense and it has shown all season.

Julio Jones, not much to say other than the play vs the Packers last week where he stiff armed and out ran the defense on his way to a TD shows how gifted and talented he is. The trade the Falcons made for him by giving up all those draft picks was for made for this reason, to win them a Super Bowl. I remember agreeing with the trade at the time, because how many times can you get a sure-fire player like that in the draft. Jones was an animal in College and his game has translated perfectly. We will see if that trade fully pays off today. It will be very interesting to see how the Pats go about covering him.

The Falcons running game is obviously another huge concern for Pats. Freeman and Coleman are both young, fresh, dynamic and extremely talented RB’s. Both are effective out of the backfield and Shanahan uses them in the passing game wisely. Many times throughout the season he had these guys lined up against guys who had no business covering them. Freeman has the ability to make guys miss and is one of the more agile backs in the league. Coleman is more of a one cut straight away runner but he hits holes hard and has good speed.

The Falcons main role players Sanu, Gabriel and Austin Hooper also are solid players. Sanu may have a big game if the Pats really go all out on stopping Julio. Hooper I think has a future in this league and he could have a nice game today, the Pats aren’t great at defending Tight Ends. Gabriel hasn’t done much in recent weeks with a fully healthy Julio, but is still a threat because of his explosive speed.

The Falcons Defense isn’t great statistically but is young, talented and I trust Dan Quinn will have his guys fully prepared. Vic Beasley led the NFL in sacks and obviously creating pressure on Brady will be a huge factor. Normally when you see Brady struggle it’s early and often and that happens consistently throughout the game. Brady just looks uncomfortable all game. I have seen it many times,  the Jets historically have always done a good job at disrupting Brady every now and then. We’ve seen the Giants do it to him twice in the Super Bowl. This is usually when Brady and the Pats lose, when defense create consistent pressure on him. However, I don’t think this will be the case in this game, but the Alanta defense may be able to make a big play or two to swing this game in their favor. Sometimes it just takes one big play.

NEW ENGLAND

Tom Brady wins this game and the talks begin for the next two weeks about him being the best of all-time. It is amazing what he has done throughout his career. Brady has perfected a few things. Accuracy, pocket presence and mastery of this offense. Ryan has mastered his offense this year, but Brady has mastered his offense long ago because he has been in the same system forever. That is why you get all these new guys in the offense over the years and Brady just keeps rolling along with success. The Pats also do a great job of just keeping that continuity within the team, bringing in the same type of players to just plug-in. It’s like a Plug n Play offense. Brady knows his offense like the back of the house he grew up in. This can not be overlooked, this is truly one of the main reasons why Brady is so great. It’s like a book he has read 200 times.

The popular narrative in this game seems to be that LeGarrette Blount having a big role in this game. It makes a ton of sense, since the Falcons haven’t been great at defending the run this year and it will also help keep the Falcons offense off the field. Also Dion Lewis fumbled twice in their Divisional Round matchup vs Houston leading to decreased snaps in the AFC Championship game vs the Steelers. Maybe Bill doesn’t fully trust Dion in this game? No doubt Dion will be used, but maybe Bill is a little more reluctant to rely on Dion. Maybe we see more James White. Either way, the Pats backs will be used in the offense, as they have done historically. Will we see a lot of Blount? The logic says yes. Certainly Dion Lewis is a very talented back and he should be utilized often in this game. But you just never know what the Pats may do.

Julian Edelman is a staple in this offense and he will likely lead the Pats in receiving in this game. The Falcons play mostly man defense and the Pats will be ready for that with a lot of man beaters running rubs, pick plays and using Edelman in motion to free him up. Chris Hogan has emerged recently as a Brady favorite, exploding in the AFC Championship game. He is a good player and should have a nice game as well. I like Malcolm Mitchell as a player and he was coming on towards the end of the season but now with Hogan back healthy and also Danny Amendola he has been phased out again. I think they should utilize him more in this game. Amendola who knows what he will do. Bennett is playing hurt and hasn’t been that effective of late, but maybe he just goes all out in this game. Regardless Brady has a lot of weapons at his disposal and all of these guys seem to be on the same page with Tom.

The Pats Defense has allowed the fewest points in the league, but if  you look at their schedule, they have faced some awful offenses and QB’s. Brock Osweiler, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Charlie Whitehurst, Landry Jones, etc. The best two QB’s they faced in the Regular season were Andy Dalton and Russell Wilson and both guys had good success with QB ratings over 100. Yes they did a good job on Ben last week, but Ben was horrible on the road all season, just not the same player he was at home. I don’t think this defense will do much to disrupt the Falcons offense.

PREDICTION

I think this is going to be another great Super Bowl coming down to the very end. The Pats have been in some very good Super Bowls and I think it continues today. I also think this game is going to be very high scoring. This is the highest total ever in a Super Bowl at 58 points and I think the score exceeds that. I believe this could be the highest scoring SB ever. The highest ever to date was Super Bowl 29 when the 49ers and Steve Young, Jerry Rice, Ricky Watters, destroyed the San Diego Chargers led by Stan Humphries, Junior Seau and Natrone Means Business. The 49ers won 49-26 for a total of 75 points. I really think this game could exceed that. The reason I believe this is because the mastery of the offenses by both of these QB’s, combined with a lack of a truly elite defense on either side. Both of these offenses are models of consistency and it may come down to whoever has the ball last.

I believe the Pats will be to get mostly anything they want on offense whether it’s LeGarrette Blount or a whole lot of Julian Edelman/Chris Hogan. I also believe the Falcons will be able get what they want with Matt Ryan having an excellent game and the RB’s producing a good amount of combined yards in the running and passing game. This game is going to be a high-powered offensive shootout led by two excellent QB’s.

As I am writing this, I still don’t have a good feel for who will win this game. My logic tells me the Patriots, but my heart tells me the Falcons, although there is some logic thrown in there as well. The majority are picking the Patriots and rightly so. Part of me wants to say Brady and Belichick have one more in them or maybe even two more. They would really be the greatest ever breaking all records. Records are made to be broken. Another part of me says the Falcons and owner Arthur Blank will get a championship that has been a long time coming for their organization and city. The Braves in 1995 were the last time this city won anything. I could see such a quality coach in Dan Quinn hoisting the Lombardi trophy, with Julio Jones or Matt Ryan being the MVP. But Tom Brady may want this Super Bowl more than any other, since his Mom has not been to one of his games all year as she has been sick with some kind of ailment. She will be there today to watch her son. I could see Tom dedicating this win to his mom at the end of the game.

How will Alex Mack’s broken fibula effect the Falcons offense and running game? Will the Patriots be able to control the game and keep the Falcons offense off the field with LeGarrette Blount? Will Julio be contained? Will it matter? So many questions. But I have decided.

I am picking the Atlanta Falcons to win this game. Matt Ryan, Devonta Freeman, Julio Jones, are just too dynamic for me to pick against. Yes the Pats have Brady and Belichick, but I think the Falcons are the better team. I see Vic Beasley making one huge play in this game that will swing the game. But even with that big play, this game will not be won by defense it will be won by offense. I think the Falcons offense is a well oiled machine even more so than the Pats. This game will be high scoring and exciting. Their will be a lot of lead changes. So let’s go with this, Falcons 41, Patriots 38.

Enjoy the games be safe and have a blessed Sunday. Please follow me on twitter @FantasySavvy. Next season we will have our podcast every week along with our weekly film review, NFL Picks and daily and seasonal league info. In the meantime it’s College Hoops with some NBA here and there. March Madness is almost here!

 

 

FantasySavvy 2016: Week 1 Player Rankings

QB’s

  1. Blake Bortles vs GB
  2. Russell Wilson @ MIA
  3. Aaron Rodgers @ JAC
  4. Derek Carr @ NO
  5. Drew Brees vs OAK
  6. Jameis Winston @ ATL
  7. Kirk Cousins vs PIT
  8. Ben Roethlisberger @ Was
  9. Eli Manning @ DAL
  10. Dak Prescott vs NYG
  11. Carson Palmer vs NE
  12. Tyrod Taylor @ BAL
  13. Matthew Stafford @ IND
  14. Joe Flacco vs BUF
  15. Phillip Rivers @ KC
  16. Matt Ryan vs TB
  17. Alex Smith vs SD
  18. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs CIN
  19. Brock Osweiler vs CHI
  20. Jay Cutler @ HOU
  21. Andy Dalton @ NYJ
  22. RG3 @ Philly
  23. Ryan Tannehill @ SEA
  24. Jimmy Garropolo @ ARZ
  25. Carson Wentz vs CLE
  26. Case Keenum @ SF
  27. Blaine Gabbert vs LAR
  28. Shaun Hill @ TEN

RB’s

  1. David Johnson vs NE
  2. Todd Gurley @ SF
  3. Devonta Freeman vs TB
  4. Doug Martin @ ATL
  5. Lamar Miller vs CHI
  6. Mark Ingram vs Oak
  7. DeAngelo Williams @ WAS
  8. Eddie Lacy @ JAC
  9. LeSean McCoy @ BAL
  10. Ezekiel Elliot vs NYG
  11. Adrian Peterson @ TEN
  12. Latavius Murray @ NO
  13. Ryan Mathews vs CLE
  14. Derrick Henry vs MIN
  15. Frank Gore vs DET
  16. Spencer Ware vs SD
  17. T.J. Yeldon vs GB
  18. Giovani Bernard @ NYJ
  19. Carlos Hyde vs LAR
  20. Matt Forte vs CIN
  21. Danny Woodhead @ KC
  22. DeMarco Murray vs MIN
  23. Rob Kelley vs PIT
  24. Duke Johnson @ PHI
  25. Jeremy Langford @ HOU
  26. James White @ ARZ
  27. Arian Foster @ SEA
  28. Justin Forsett vs BUF
  29. Rashad Jennings @ DAL
  30. Chris Ivory vs GB
  31. Charles Sims @ ATL
  32. Bilal Powell vs CIN
  33. Ameer Abdullah @ IND
  34. Theo Riddick @ IND
  35. Matt Jones vs PIT
  36. Melvin Gordon @ KC
  37. Thomas Rawls vs MIA
  38. Christine Michael vs MIA
  39. Darren Sproles vs CLE
  40. James Starks @ JAC
  41. Alfred Morris vs NYG
  42. Jeremy Hill vs NYJ
  43. LeGarrette Blount @ARZ
  44. Isaiah Crowell @ PHI
  45. Shaun Draughn vs LAR
  46. DeAndre Washington @ NO
  47. Charcandrick West vs SD
  48. Tevin Coleman vs TB
  49. Chris Thompson vs PIT
  50. Shane Vereen @ DAL

WR’s

  1. Antonio Brown @ WAS
  2. Allen Robinson vs GB
  3. Odell Beckham @ DAL
  4. Julio Jones vs TB
  5. Sammy Watkins @ BAL
  6. Mike Evans @ ATL
  7. DeAndre Hopkins vs CHI
  8. Dez Bryant vs NYG
  9. Brandon Marshall vs CIN
  10. T,Y, Hilton vs DET
  11. Brandin Cooks vs OAK
  12. Randall Cobb @ JAC
  13. A.J. Green @ NYJ
  14. Doug Baldwin vs MIA
  15. Michael Crabtree @ NO
  16. Amari Cooper @ NO
  17. Alshon Jeffrey @ HOU
  18. Keenan Allen @ KC
  19. Golden Tate @ IND
  20. Allen Hurns vs GB
  21. Jeremy Maclin vs SD
  22. DeSean Jackson vs PIT
  23. Terrelle Pryor vs PHI
  24. Jarvis Landry @ SEA
  25. Larry Fitzgerald vs NE
  26. Eric Decker vs CIN
  27. Julian Edelman @ AZ
  28. Willie Snead vs OAK
  29. Michael Floyd vs NE
  30. Marvin Jones vs IND
  31. Donte Moncrief vs DET
  32. Tyler Lockett vs MIA
  33. Jordan Matthews vs CLE
  34. Sammie Coates @ WAS
  35. John Brown vs NE
  36. Travis Benjamin @ KC
  37. Tajae Sharpe vs MIN
  38. Tavon Austin @ SF
  39. Vincent Jackson @ ATL
  40. Kamar Aiken vs BUF
  41. Torrey Smith vs LAR
  42. Kenny Stills @ SEA
  43. Stefon Diggs @ TEN
  44. Rishard Matthews vs MIN
  45. Phillip Dorsett vs DET
  46. Kevin White @ HOU
  47. Eli Rogers @ WAS
  48. Will Fuller vs CHI
  49. Sterling Sheppard vs DAL
  50. Victor Cruz vs DAL
  51. Corey Coleman @ PHI
  52. Steve Smith Sr. vs BUF
  53. Mike Wallace vs BUF
  54. Michael Thomas vs OAK
  55. Jamison Crowder vs PIT
  56. Tyler Boyd @ NYJ
  57. Dorial Green-Beckham vs CLE
  58. Robert Woods @ BAL
  59. Chris Hogan @ AZ
  60. Danny Amendola @ AZ

TE’s

  1. Jordan Reed vs PIT
  2. Delanie Walker vs MIN
  3. Travis Kelce vs SD
  4. Jason Witten vs NYG
  5. Antonio Gates @ KC
  6. Jesse James @ WAS
  7. Dwyane Allen vs DET
  8. Gary Barnidge @ PHI
  9. Zach Ertz vs CLE
  10. Jared Cook @ JAC
  11. Coby Fleener vs OAK
  12. Zach Miller @ HOU
  13. Julius Thomas vs GB
  14. Martellus Bennett @ AZ
  15. Jacob Tamme vs TB
  16. Eric Ebron @ IND
  17. Clive Walford @ NO
  18. Charles Clay @ BAL
  19. Vance McDonald vs LAR
  20. Kyle Rudolph @ TEN
  21. Luke Wilson vs MIA
  22. Jimmy Graham vs MIA
  23. Cameron Brate @ TB
  24. Crockett Gilmore vs BUF
  25. A.J. Derby @ AZ

 

FantasySavvy 2016: TE Tiers

Reed and Olsen join Gronk in the 1st Tier because of Gronk’s injury history. Delanie will keep it up and Kelce should only continue to get better. Ertz came on last year and I think he continues the production.

People are underrating Jason Witten, even with the Romo news, I like Witten again this year. Barnridge is talented but will Griffin get him the ball? Jessie James looks like the new Heath Miller, big target and Ben targeted him often in yesterdays preseason game.

The 4th Tier all consists of guys who are big question marks with big upside.

Watch out for Pats TE A.J. Derby, he’s talented and I think he produces at some point this year.

Does Dennis Pitta return this season? Stay tuned.

1st Tier

Rob Gronkowski, Jordan Reed, Greg Olsen

2nd Tier

Delanie Walker, Travis Kelce,

3rd Tier

Zach Ertz, Antonio Gates, Gary Barnridge, Jessie James, Jason Witten.

4th Tier

Tyler Eifert, Martellus Bennett, Jimmy Graham, Coby Fleener, Dwayne Allen

5th Tier

Austin Seferian Jenkins, Eric Ebron, Jared Cook, Will Tye, A.J. Derby, Julius Thomas

6th Tier

Charles Clay, Jace Amaro, Virgil Green, Zach Miller, Jordan Cameron

7th Tier

Dennis Pitta, Richard Rodgers, Clive Walford, Vance McDonald

FantasySavvy 2016: WR Tiers

Pretty much any of these WR’s in the first two tiers are ultra safe. Antonio Brown is pretty much the overall conensus #1 WR in PPR leagues. Julio and Beckham will be beasts almost every week. I favor Beckham a bit more because of Matt Ryan. The 3rd  & 4th tier are solid as well, with Mike Evans and Watkins having tremendous upside. But you could argue after the 4th tier questions start to arise. Thomas regressing? Can Baldwin keep up that TD production? Jeffrey stay healthy? Cobb rebound? Jordy healthy in his return?

RG3 or McCown whoever emerges as the QB when Gordon returns can just toss the ball up to that man and he will shine, we have seen it in the past and this preseason. Gordon will be a value pick.

I like the prospects of 2nd year WR’s Phillip Dorsett, Tyler Lockett, Kevin White and Sammie Coates. Quite even possibly Breshard Perriman if he can get back healthy soon. I also like Travis Benjamin’s situation in San Diego

My Favorite rookies are Michael Thomas, Josh Doctson, Will Fuller and Sterling Sheppard.

1st Tier

Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Odell Beckham Jr.

2nd Tier

DeAndre Hokpins, Dez Bryant, A.J. Green, Allen Robinson

3rd Tier

Brandon Marshall, Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans

4th Tier

Brandin Cooks, Keenan Allen,  Jarvis Landry

5th Tier

Doug Baldwin, Demaryius Thomas, T.Y. Hilton, Amari Cooper, Alshon Jeffrey, Randall Cobb, Jordy Nelson, Julian Edelman

6th Tier

Eric Decker, Jeremy Maclin, Kelvin Benjamin, Golden Tate, Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Crabtree

7th Tier

Tyler Lockett, DeSean Jackson, Michael Floyd, Emmanuel Sanders, Josh Gordon, Allen Hurns,

Tier 8

John Brown, Tavon Austin, Steve Smith, Jordan Matthews, Travis Benjamin, Donte Moncrief

Tier 9 

Marvin Jones, Phillip Dorsett, Kevin White, Willie Snead, Michael Thomas, Devin Funchess, Devante Parker, Kenny Stills, Kamar Aiken, Vincent Jackson, Chris Hogan, Mike Wallace, Chris Conley, Ted Ginn Jr

Tier 10

Sammie Coates, Stefon Diggs, Tyler Boyd, Tajae Sharpe, Sterling Sheppard, Victor Cruz, Wil Fuller, Dorial Green-Beckham, Terrance Williams, Cole Beasley, Mohamed Sanu, Anquan Boldin, Josh Doctson, Terrelle Pryor, Pierre Garcon, Marquise Lee, Kendall Wright, Malcolm Mitchell, Nelson Agholor

Tier 11

Markus Wheaton, Eli Rogers, Torrey Smith, Bruce Ellington, Corey Coleman, Laquon Treadwell, Jaelen Strong, Charles Johnson, Jeff Janis, Davante Adams, Breshard Perriman, Jamison Crowder, Ty Montgomery, Quinton Patton, Robert Woods, Paul Richardson

Tier 12

Kenny Britt, Brandon LaFell, Jermaine Kearse, Brian Quick, Devin Smith, Danny Amendola, Andrew Hawkins, Seth Roberts, Aaron Dobson

FantasySavvy 2016: RB Tiers

I have Jamaal Charles and Le’Veon Bell in my 1st tier. Why not? Charles was on his way to becoming the best overall Fantasy RB last year before the injury and I think he will be fine despite coming back from his 2nd ACL surgery. Yes, Peterson, Gurley and Johnson may be safer, but Charles could match or outperform all of them. Same with Bell, when he returns in Week 4 he will start performing right away. The guy is still one of the most talented backs in the league and is a PPR machine.

The 2nd tier carries some question marks. This is why I am trying to get 2 of the backs in the 1st tier in most of my drafts. The RB pool is slim compared to the WR’s. How will Lacy bounce back after last season while sharing more of the carries with James Starks. Elliot is an unproven rookie, but he is running behind arguably the best offensive line in Football. This is Miller’s first time being the main back, can he handle it? Freeman has Coleman back in his shadow again and Martin has flopped before. Rawls is coming back from Injury and is only a 2nd year RB while McCoy has struggled with injuries as well. Some of these guys will hit tremendously, but some will flop. I think the safest are Ingram, Freeman, Martin and McCoy.

Danny Woodhead is a PPR staple year in and year out. But with Keenan Allen back he will catch less passes. Also Melvin Gordon possibly takes on a bigger role. Hyde is very talented, but Blaine Gabbert is his starting QB. Foster will be solid while healthy, but an injury is likely. C.J. Anderson I like to have a bounce back season.

I love Derrick Henry, I made my case in my Rookie RB report which you can read here. I think he becomes a Tier 1 RB at some point in his career. Langford is the starter, but I am not impressed with his talent.

I lost faith in Matt Jones and now he has some talented backs behind him with Rob Kelley and Keith Marshall. One of these guys I predict will take his job. Right now it looks like Kelley. Dion Lewis you can get late, stash on the IR and he could reap huge benefits if he returns by Week 8. Kenyon Drake’s talent is unquestionable and with Foster’s injury history he is a solid late pick or cheap auction purchase. Kenneth Dixon could be  Baltimore starter before years end.

1st Tier

Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, David Johnson, Jamaal Charles, Le’Veon Bell

2nd Tier

Lamar Miller, Ezekiel Elliot, Eddie Lacy, Mark Ingram, Devonta Freeman, Doug Martin, LeSean McCoy, Thomas Rawls,

3rd Tier

Danny Woodhead, C.J. Anderson, Matt Forte, Carlos Hyde, Giovani Bernard, Arian Foster

4th Tier

Ryan Mathews, Jonathan Stewart, Derrick Henry, DeMarco Murray, Jeremy Langford, Jeremy Hill, T.J. Yeldon

5th Tier

Chris Ivory, Melvin Gordon, Frank Gore, Rashad Jennings, Ameer Abdullah, Duke Johnson, James White, LeGarrette Blount, Justin Forsett

6th Tier

Matt Jones, Bilal Powell, Alfred Morris, James Starks, DeAngelo Williams, Theo Riddick, Charles Sims, Darren Sproles

7th Tier

Kenyon Drake, Devontae Booker, Kenneth Dixon, Christine Michael, C.J. Prosise, Spencer Ware, Andre Ellington, Josh Ferguson,  Keith Marshall, Dion Lewis, Rob Kelley, C.J. Spiller

8th Tier

Chris Johnson, Shane Vereen, Tim Hightower, Shaun Draughn, Benny Cunningham, Chris Thompson, Tevin Coleman, Javorius Allen, Terrance West, Paul Perkins, Jerrick Mckinnon, Alex Collins, Jonathan Williams, Darren McFadden, Charcandrick West

9th Tier

DeAndre Washington, Jay Ayaji, Cameron Artis-Payne, Wendall Smallwood, Jordan Howard, D.J. Foster, Andre Williams,

FantasySavvy 2016: QB Tiers

Rodgers had a rough year by his standards last season but with Jordy Nelson back, Randall Cobb back in his true role and Eddie Lacy back in shape, he should return to his normal self. Russell Wilson continues to get better and still has lots of talent around him. Last year he developed more with Doug Baldwin and has a emerging young WR with Tyler Lockett. Jimmy Graham will return soon and he also has talent with WR Paul Richardson and Jermaine Kearse. Cam is Cam, and gets Benjamin back this year.

Luck needs to stay healthy but also make less mistakes and play better than he did last year. He drops to tier 2 for me. Brady is in Tier 2 because when he returns he will instantly put up big numbers. Brees and Palmer will be great values in your auctions/drafts.

Bortles takes the biggest jump here coming of his high performing Sophomore season. Many experts say bust, but I don’t see it. Allen Robinson is a true #1 WR and Hurns gets the job done with Bortles. Marquis Lee also looks healthy this year and could be a nice weapon for them. This Jacksonville offense is emerging and I think Bortles has another solid season. He will be on a good amount of my teams.

Big Ben is still great but is getting older and hurt more often, so have some caution. Rivers will continue to be steady.

Tyrod Taylor had a lot of inconsistent performances last year with some big games. But I like consistency game in and game out and he didn’t really provide that. Romo drops to Tier 4 because he is such an injury risk and is aging. Kirk Cousins has Jordan Reed, Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson along with a good offensive mind in Jay Gruden. He should repeat last years performance.

Matt Ryan is underwhelming but still can put up decent numbers. As you can see I am not an RG3 believer. I could see him being benched or injured around Week 4 or 5. In the 5th tier, Mariota, Tannehill or Carr could make a big jump this season.

1st Tier

Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, Cam Newton

2nd Tier

Andrew Luck, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Carson Palmer

3rd Tier

Big Ben, Eli Manning, Blake Bortles, Phil Rivers

4th Tier

Matt Stafford, Tyrod Taylor, Tony Romo, Kirk Cousins, Jameis Winston,

5th Tier

Derek Carr, Jay Cutler, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Ryan Tannehill, Marcus Mariota, Matt Ryan

6th Tier

Joe Flacco, Alex Smith,

7th Tier

RG3, Brock Osweiler, Sam Bradford, Teddy Bridgewater, Trevor Siemian, Blaine Gabbert, Paxton Lynch

8th Tier

Jared Goff, Jimmy Garapulo, Case Keenum, Dak Prescott, Josh McCown

FantasySavvy 2015: WR Tiers

WR Tiers

Calvin could easily be the #1 Fantasy WR again, but it’s doubtful because he is usually missing a few games a year and Matt Stafford is just too erratic. Jeremy Maclin is being undervalued to me. I think he gets a ton of catches with Smith. Edelman is also being undervalued, especially now with Brady reportedly back for Week 1, I think he could be in for a career year. Edelman continues  to get better and better.

Jordan Matthews may be going a little high, will see, Agholor could be the go to guy in the offense. Amari Cooper could be the next big thing in Oakland. He is a pure receiver.

Perriman, Parker are two rookies who are going late and still could have big impacts this year. Stevie Johnson will revive his career with Philip Rivers, the best QB he’s ever played with.

I like Ty Montgomery to emerge as the #3 in Green Bay, Green-Beckham, Funchess and Dorsett could all have instant impact. I like Dorsett the most, since he should take that 3 spot in Indy.

Don’t sleep on Sammie Coates, reports are terrible on him coming out of training camp, but he arguably is better than Markus Wheaton. He reminds me of Randy Moss a bit. Can Cordarrelle Patterson revive his hype? Probably not, but for your last pick, there is a whole lot of potential still there.

Kenny Bell ,Tampa Bay is an ultra sleeper, so much talent, just needs some burn and I think he will succeed. It may take him 2 to 3 years though. Also watch out for Tyler Lockett, he could be Green Bay’s version of Randall Cobb in a few years.

Tier 1

Antonio Brown, Dez Bryant, Demaryious Thomas, Odell Beckham Jr., Julio Jones

Tier 2

Calvin Johnson, A.J Green, Randall Cobb, T.Y. Hilton

Tier 3

Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Emmanuel Sanders, Julian Edelman, DeAndre Hopkins, Alshon Jeffrey

Tier 4

Jordan Matthews, Andre Johnson, Jeremy Maclin, Sammy Watkins, Brandon Marshall,

Tier 5

Amari Cooper, Charles Johnson, Golden Tate, Nelson Agholor, Jarvis Landry, Martavis Bryant, Davante Adams

Tier 6

Allen Robinson, Vincent Jackson, Mike Wallace, Roddy White, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, John Brown, Kendall Wright, Larry Fitzgerald, DeSean Jackson, Keenan Allen, Markus Wheaton

Tier 7

Marques Colston, Eric Decker, Michael Floyd, Torrey Smith, Brandon LaFell, Reggie Wayne, Stevie Johnson, Davante Parker, Terrance Williams, Breshard Perriman, Marquess Wilson

Tier 8

Victor Cruz, Dorial Green-Beckham, Doug Baldwin, Ty Montgomery, Brian Quick, Devin Funchess, Phillip Dorsett, Pierre Garcon, Cole Beasley, Brandon Coleman, Percy Harvin, Philly Brown,

Tier 9

Cody Latimer, Donte Moncrief, Malcom Floyd, Marvin Jones, Mohammad Sanu, Allen Hurns, Cecil Shorts, Michael Crabtree, Kenny Bell, Cordarrelle Patterson, Albert Wilson, Ruben Randle, James Jones, Sammie Coates, Tyler Lockett

Tier 10

Justin Hunter, Andrew Hawkins, Stedman Bailey, Jermaine Kearse, Brian Hartline, Robert Woods, Eddie Royal, Dwayne Bowe, Brandon Gibson, Danny Amendola, Devin Hester, Jerricho Cotchery, Jeff Janis, Andre Holmes

Tier 11

Kenny Britt, Jalen Strong, Justin Hardy, Marlon Brown, Kamar Aiken, Ace Sanders, Rod Streater, Quinton Patton