FantasySavvy 2015: Week 8, 7UP 7Down

By: Kevin Lewis

7 UP

QB Teddy Bridgewater, Minnesota Vikings (FD $6,900, DK $5,100) Bridgewater picked it up last week with a 300 yard, two TD performance at Detroit last week. He gets another good matchup this week against Chicago who is 29th in sacks and is allowing a 108 QB rating to opposing QB’s.

RB Todd Gurley, St. Louis Rams (FD $8,100, DK $6,300) San Francisco is giving up 4.4 YPC on the road this year and we all know about Gurley’s exploits the last three weeks. Don’t try to be cute and fade him.

RB Justin Forsett, Baltimore Ravens (FD $6,900, DK $6,100) Opposing running backs have scored 10 touchdowns against the Chargers this year and the Chargers have allowed more fantasy points to running backs than every other team in the NFL. Forsett is still relatively cheap so he’s one of my very favorite plays this week.

RB Orleans Darkwa, New York Giants (FD $5,100, DK  $3,600) Darwka hits holes quickly, follows his blocks and finishes his runs with power. Steve DeAngelo discussed this on the radio show last night. The Saints are allowing 6 YPC, Darkwa is set for a bigger workload this week, this could be a sleeper play that pays dividends.

WR Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings (FD $6,700, DK $4,800) He’s emerged of late and the Bears can’t stop the pass. While he will be very popular it will be hard to fade him against a poor Bears secondary.

WR Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (FD $6,400, DK $5,500) Moncrief should see less of Josh Norman than Hilton, one would think. He’s scored a touchdown in four of the five games Andrew Luck has played this year and he’s still really cheap on both sites.

TE Greg Olsen, Carolina Panthers (FD $6,400, DK $6,500) Greg Olsen is Cam Newton’s go to guy and the Colts have allowed the ninth most points to the position in 2015. With the Colts run defense actually being pretty solid for a change, it’s fair to expect Cam Newton to have to put it up a bit. With that said, play Olsen.

7 Down

QB Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Panthers (FD $9,000, DK $7,500) It feels suggesting to fade Aaron Rodgers altogether but there are so many guys with better matchups and it’s not like Green Bay’s offense has been clicking on all cylinders recently either. I realize how dangerous it is to fade him altogether but that is exactly what I plan on doing.

WR Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (FD $7,600, DK $7,000) Denver has a boatload of elite CBs. I would just avoid the entire Packers passing game altogether. It feels weird as hell to type that but here we are.

RB Chris Ivory, New York Jets (FD $7,700, DK $6,000) The most yardage the Raiders have allowed to an RB this year is 91. Add in the uncertainty with Ivory’s wide array of lower body injuries and he’s an easy fade for me this week

RB Darren McFadden, Dallas Cowboys (FD $6,400, DK $3,800) Just think better of it. I beg you. Or if you’re going to start Darren McFadden make sure you have a bottle of Pepto Bismol nearby.

RB Charcandrick West, Kansas City Chiefs (FD $6,600, DK $4,700) The Lions are actually a pretty good run defense and there isn’t a lot to like about the Chiefs offense these days.

QB Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (FD $7,800, DK $6,300) The Seahawks offense is barely above functional these days. Their OL is an absolute mess and the Cowboys front four is probably the strongest unit on the team. I’m going to avoid Wilson until he gives me a reason not to do so.

QB Brian Hoyer, Cleveland Browns (FD $6,900, DK $5,300) The Titans pass defense isn’t bad and I just feel like Hoyer is due for a dud. I’d look elsewhere in that price range if you absolutely must.

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FantasySavvy 2015: Week 6 Waiver Selections

QB’s

Blake Bortles, Jax

Bortles is coming to fruition this season, making better decisions, looking more accurate and showing off his athleticism and big arm. Allen Robinson is a legit WR and Allen Hurns is coming into his own as well. Add in Julius Thomas and of all a sudden this Jaguars offense is somewhat legit. Their Defense is also going to have them playing catch up a plenty, so Bortles should be slinging it almost every game like we saw against the Bucs last week. Blake is looking like a safe start almost every week at this point.

Josh McCown, CLE

Shockingly, Josh McCown has 6 TD’s and nearly 1,000 yards in his last three games with the Browns. Playing bad defenses has helped, but McCown is making some big throws and now has some legit weapons with Travis Benjamin, Gary Barnridge and Duke Johnson. But tread lightly the next three weeks as McCown plays against the Broncos, Rams and Cardinals and his true colors may begin to show.

Brian Hoyer, HOU

After Mallet came out because of hit he took, Hoyer stepped in and didn’t relinquish the job back. Mallet was looking like an angry schoolboy, while Hoyer was throwing TD’s and moving the Texans offense. Hoyer finished with 300 yards passing and two TD’s. Hoyer is better than Mallet, but he isn’t very good. However, with good matchups against the Jaguars, Dolphins and Titans the next three weeks, he could but up some decent performances while throwing to DeAndre Hopkins and dropping it off to Arian Foster.

E.J. Manuel, BUF

Manuel stinks, he isn’t accurate and can’t really scramble all that well. Taylor will be out a few weeks with the MCL sprain, but please avoid Manuel at all costs. He is going to hurt the value of this whole offense.

RB’s

Charcandrick West & Knile Davis, KC

I lost Charles in 6 leagues yesterday, who was the #1 Fantasy RB on the year so far.  Overly invested? Maybe, but I would do the same thing again for a player like Charles. So as you can see, I am analyzing this pickup this week very studiously.

West was playing ahead of Davis the last couple weeks as Davis has taken a backseat and been subjected to Special teams. There isn’t much tape out there on West, just some highlight videos from him in High School and at Abilene Christian University which almost seemed like watching a High School game.

From what I can tell, West is a good athlete, has good speed can break tackles and can make people miss. But this was Division 2 Football and the athletes in the NFL are obviously way better. But Andy Reid seems to really believe in West, praising his work ethic, saying he’s more similar to Charles (which he is) and using him as Charles’ backup over Davis. West has also said in the past that “He will be better than Charles one day”, so the kid is clearly very confident in his ability and is an extremely hard worker. He is better than Davis in the pass game and reportedly has improved his pass blocking. He should be the main guy, but Davis could get the Goal Line work as he is the bigger back and more suited for that role.

Davis has looked impressive at times in Charles absence in the past, but surprisingly is just averaging about 3.5 YPC, which isn’t good. Davis with a heavy workload is better suited to do damage, but with West in the mix, he likely won’t have too much of an impact outside of most likely getting the GL work. Davis has 12 TD’s since the 2013 season.

Charcandrick is the the guy to own, as he seems like he’s has prepared mightily for this opportunity and has the coaches backing. There is a chance he could completely underwhelm, but if you are a Charles owner, like myself, then you need to invest a good amount in FAAB to grab him and put him #1 on your waivers this week. Davis should follow somewhere close behind.

Regardless, Alex Smith is looking pretty awful despite having two very good weapons in Jeremy Maclin and Travis Kelce, so this offense will likely struggle overall. West could be a nice play in PPR leagues, but in standard he could disappoint with Knile Davis taking GL and short yardage work. Grab West and/or Davis to add to your RB depth and hope that they can help win you some key games down the stretch here.

Lastly, the Chiefs were reportedly working out Pierre Thomas and Ben Tate so that could throw a wrench into everything. If I were the Chiefs I would sign Ahmad Bradshaw and make him the starter tomorrow. If they sign Tate, don’t even bother, he stinks. But Pierre Thomas could be decent.

Antonio Andrews, TEN

Bishop Sankey, Dexter McCluster, and Terrance West all aren’t very good, so Antonio Andrews has the chance to emerge here in a young offense led by Marcus Mariota. Andrews had 55 total yards and TD on Sunday, which isn’t anything mouth watering, but he did get the GL carries and was a factor in the passing game. He could be the next man up here, so give him a shot if you need RB help.

AVOID

Boobie Dixon, Dan Herron, Zach Zenner

Handcuffs

Forte Owners should own Jeremy Langford.

WR’s

Anquan Boldin & Andre Johnson

Both these guys could be on your wire after weeekssssssss of doing jack. Johnson, silenced some of the haters with two TD’s on Thursday night and there is a chance this could boost him back into relevancy. I would take the shot, I don’t think he’s fully done yet and playing with Luck in this offense, is still intriguing. Snatch him back up, there is a ton of reward here.

Same thing goes for Boldin, he revived this week after doing much of nothing to start the year. Boldin is coming off back to back 1,000 yard seasons with 12 TD’s combined, and looks like he’s got plenty of juice left. Kaepernick looked like he made a few improvements in that Giants game, so there is some hope there as well.

Willie Snead, NO

We have talked about him before, but will bring it up again. Snead is a good WR, has the trust of Drew Brees and is playing over Colston and Brandon Coleman. He is going to be heavily targeted by Brees, go snatch him up if he’s still available in your leagues.

Marquess Wilson, CHI

Wilson was a popular DFS play and pickup last week and he came through for owners with 6 catches for 85 yards and a TD. With Alshon Jeffrey OUT the last two weeks, Wilson has seen 17 targets. But even with the return of Alshon and Royal, Wilson could remain a factor. He is a talented player with good size at 6’4.

Brandon LaFell, NE

LaFell is set to return in Week 7 and should be owned in all leagues at this point, especially if you need WR help. We saw what LaFell did last year with Brady finishing with 950 yards, 7 TD’s in just 13 starts. No other WR has emerged with Edelman, so LaFell, already having a good rapport with Brady, should step in and see success once again.

Be ready to pounce

Dorial Green-Beckham, Jaelen Strong, Philip Dorsett, Stefon Diggs (10 targets in week 4)

TE’s

Gary Barnridge, CLE

3 Words. Go. Grab. Gary!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!    4th word, Beast!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Defensive Streamers

Vikings vs KC, Detroit vs CHI

*Check out our Radio show at BlogtalkRadio.com/FantasySavvy. It goes live late Friday night, but can be downloaded or listened to on demand at anytime. Also checback for our daily league selections and player rankings released Sat/Sun.

*Coming soon, Film Review returns!!

FantasySavvy 2015: Week 4 Daily League Lineups

By Kevin Lewis:

Fanduel Cash Game

QB Aaron Rodgers($9200), @San Francisco– The man is a machine. The Niners are dreadful. Run him out there with supreme confidence.

HB Latavius Murray($7500), @Chicago– The Raiders are playing the Bears. Do I really need to expound on why it’s a good idea to start a RB against that “defense”?

HB Karlos Williams($6300), vs New York Giants– The Giants have given up the fifth most fantasy points to RBs. Williams has no competition for touches in the Buffalo backfield and he should get a ton of them. He’s also probably the most chalk play of the week.

WR Randall Cobb($8200), @San Francisco– He’s off to a roaring start and once again, the Niners stink. Pair him with the best QB in the league and hope that this isn’t a trap game for Green Bay.

WR Donte Moncrief($6300), vs Jacksonville- I’m going to continue to write him in this space until he goes a week without a touchdown.

WR James Jones($6000), @San Francisco- The guy scores every week and the Niners haven’t stopped anything in two weeks. Don’t overthink this.

TE Travis Kelce($6400), @Cincinnati- Prepare for the sizzling hot narrative. Kelce went to school here and I think he’s due for a big game. Cincinnati’s linebackers struggle in coverage to boot. While I’m weary of Alex Smith, Kelce creates a lot of what he gets on his own anyway.

K Matt Bryant($4800), vs HOU

D Denver Broncos($4700), vs Minnesota- It’s going to be a long day for the Vikings.

Fanduel Tourny Lineup

QB Aaron Rodgers($9200), @San Francisco

HB Karlos Williams($6300), vs New York Giants

HB Latavius Murray($7500), @Chicago

WR Randall Cobb($8200), @San Francisco

WR Jordan Matthews($7000), @Washington– It’s gonna be difficult for the Eagles to run the ball against Washington’s stout run defense. Washington also has nobody even remotely equipped to deal with JMatt. 1+1=2. I’m well aware of what the weather may have in store but I’ll take my chances on Matthews vs those CBs regardless.

WR Anquan Boldin($6400), vs Green Bay- All hunch here. San Francisco should be trailing for the majority of the contest and Vernon Davis is also out. Who are they going to target? Torrey Smith? Exactly.

TE Martellus Bennett($5500), vs Oakland- The Raiders have hemorrhaged about a million catches and 10 million yards to tight ends in 2015. Martellus Bennett is the lone wolf with Alshon Jeffery likely to miss the game. I get that Jimmy Clausen sucks but you can probably do worse for $5,500 at TE

K Chandler Catanzaro($4800), vs STL

D Denver Broncos($4700), vs Minnesota
DraftKings Cash Games

QB Andy Dalton($5900), vs Kansas City Chiefs- The Chiefs have already given up 10 touchdown passes in three games, and Dalton has thrown nine. Their secondary is banged up as well. I expect Dalton to continue his strong start to the season.

HB Matt Forte($7100), vs Oakland Raiders– He plays almost every snap. He should be re-involved in the pass game this week against a far less intimidating Raiders defense. Really good, safe play

HB Karlos Williams($3600), vs New York Giants

WR AJ Green($7600), vs Kansas City Chiefs– Completely matchup proof

WR Amari Cooper($6300), at Chicago Bears– Cooper has 290 yards in his first three professional games and he’s barely old enough to drink. The Bears gainfully employ Alan Ball and Kyle Fuller. Plug and enjoy.

WR Anquan Boldin($4800), vs Green Bay Packers

TE Martellus Bennett($4500), vs Oakland

Flex  Latavius Murray @ Chicago ($6,300)

DST Seahawks($3700)- The Lions are a dumpster fire.

DraftKings Tournament

QB- Tyrod Taylor($5800), vs New York Giants– The Giants have given up 300+ yards passing in each of their first three games. For some reason Taylor is still $5800 on DK.. Take advantage

HB Matt Forte($7100), vs Oakland Raiders 

HB Jamaal Charles($7600), @ Cincinnati Bengals– The Bengals defense is quite strong but I’ll always take my chances with Charles in full point PPR due to his load, and the amount of passes he might catch from Checkdown Master.

WR Amari Cooper($6300), at Chicago Bears

WR James Jones($5300), @San Francisco

WR Jordan Matthews($7000), @Washington

TE Martellus Bennett($4500), vs Oakland

Flex Robert Woods vs NYG- Watkins out, Taylor completing 70% of his passes, Woods will get plenty of burn against a very weak Giants secondary and defense.

D Denver Broncos($3300),vs Minnesota

**  Editors Picks  (Steve D)

FanDuel

QB- Bortles ($6,800) HB Lacy ($7,800) HB L. Murray ($7,500) WR Cobb ($8,200) WR Julio Jones ($9,400) WR Robert Woods ($5,400) TE Jordan Reed ($5,600) K Gano ($4,700) D Chargers ($4,400)

Draftkings

QB- Andrew Luck ($7,800) HB L. Murray ($6,300) RB Karlos Williams ($3,400) WR Randall Cobb ($7,400) WR T.Y. Hilton ($6,700) WR Amari Cooper ($6,300) TE Greg Olsen ($5,400)  Flex Ladarius Green ($3,200) D Cardinals ($3,400)

2015 FantasySavvy: Waiver Wire Week 3

One note regarding pickups in this column. You won’t see me repeat the same guys twice over the course of a season unless I see a need. Also I won’t state obvious guys. This column is mostly for 12 team leagues and up. 10 team leagues can be in the discussion.

One quick strategy when it comes to pickups. Think a week or two or even three ahead. Depending on how your team is positioned in the standings and the whether you can afford to accommodate on your bench, you should be creative with your pickups. Ex: Beckham Jr. last season. He didn’t return til week 5 and was out there on many waiver wires until then. The talent was there all along and if you would have thought ahead, instead of say keeping two defenses, two QB’s or Brandon Bolden on your bench, you could have put a Dynamic talent like ODB on your bench and reaped the benefits.

Another example would be to stash a talented backup. Last year this was C.J. Anderson. I think I had Anderson from Week 2 last year, but when Hilllman took over and when Anderson got absolutely no burn, I was forced to cut him. In this case I suppose I had him too early. But Hillman’s injury led to Anderson’s domination down the stretch last season. So look for RB’s, TE’s, WR’s, even QB’s  that can step in case of injury, etc and showcase their talent. Trust your gut if you truly like a guy and stick with him on your bench for as long as you can.

Scope your leagues wire, it may look bare at first, but if you look again you may see some opportunities that won’t help you right away, but in a few weeks they could be gold.

QB’s

I listed Alex Smith, Dalton, Tyrod Taylor, Manziel, etc, last week, so there isn’t much to add. I will say that Tyrod Taylor could be in for a pretty nice season with the Bills. The running yards will be there and he should put up some decent numbers week to week. Same with Manziel, once the Browns realize he is their best option.

Derek Carr, Oak

Carr had a good rookie season using Rookie standards and added to that success this week against what was supposed to be a stingy Ravens secondary. Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree both went over 100 yards and Carr finished with three TD’s and 350 yards passing. The Raiders, dare I say it, are “Due” for a turnaround after so many miserable years. Maybe this is the start of it with Carr, Cooper, Crabtree and Murray on this offense.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, NYJ

I hate to ever recommend this guy, but this is probably the best offense he’s every played in with Eric Decker and Brandon Marshall at WR. 244 yards against the Colts last night, four TD’s in two games? As of now I would stay away unless you are forced to use him like I am in a 16 team league, because Gino Smith still looms and Fitzpatrick does this every year, starts out hot then fades like a silent fart in the wind.

RB’s

David Johnson, ARI

Johnson the rookie out of Northern Iowa, had two TD’s on Sunday, one on a kickoff return to start the game and another on a toss where he went untouched into the endzone. Three TD’s already this year. Please don’t bank on Chris Johnson, he is a shell of his former self and has had his time in this league. The back to own is David Johnson, despite him technically being the backup. The Cards have already stated they will give him more burn this week. He has a solid speed/power combo and could be effective the rest of the year. Ellington has been injury prone the last two seasons so he is no sure bet to maintain the job. In this explosive offense with a healthy Carson Palmer, Johnson is a must-add this week if he is available in your league.

Matt Jones, Skins

If somebody dropped him after last week, YOU NEED TO GRAB THIS GUY ASAP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I loved this guy coming into the year. The skins ran the ball 37 times last week, so there could be room for Jones and Morris here. Plus Jones has better hands and his blocking is fine, so he will most likely be the guy playing when they are trailing, which should be often.

Ronnie Hillman, Broncos

Anderson was the guy last year, but he doesn’t look like the same back thus far, while Hillman has looked better. We will see what happens here, but Hillman is a must-own playing in this Denver offense, with the potential to possibly take his job back. RB’s with Peyton Manning are almost automatic to produce nicely.

Devonta Freeman, ATL

Tevin Coleman looked like he had the strangle hold on the job, but it looks like he will be out a few weeks with a rib injury. Freeman steps in as the #1 and while I am not overly excited about him, he does have the body to take the punishment in this league. A Maurice Jones-Drew type build (not nearly as talented) Freeman has decent quickness, good agility and runs with a little bit of power. Good offense, great opportunity for Freeman to showcase his talents. I just don’t think he will show enough to keep the job when Coleman comes back, but I hope I’m wrong. Regardless, starting RB’s are a commodity in Fantasy Football and he should have the job for at least the next 2-4 weeks.

Backups to keep an Eye on

Jeremy Langford seems to have a secure hold as the backup to Matt Forte and is a solid handcuff for Owners. Karlos Williams also is another solid handcuff for McCoy, who has been somewhat iffy with injuries lately. Others that could step in and produce nicely with an injury. Josh Robinson, Indy……Damien Williams, Miami, ……Bobby Rainey, TB, …Khiry Robinson, NO……..Antonio Andrews, TEN

WR’s

Dorial Green-Beckham, TEN

Slow but steady wins the race. Beckham, 6’5, 225, could slowly creep up more and more each week and eventually take reigns as the top WR on this Titans team. Think A.J Green. A ton of upside here, he needs to be added after showing promise in his 2nd NFL game by beating Joe Haden for a TD last week.

Michael Crabtree, OAK

Crabtree is still young, talented and has been forgotten about. Over 100 yards last week, playing with Carr who could be on his way to a successful season, the reward heavily outweighs the risk here.

Doug Baldwin, SEA

Baldwin has always been a pretty talented WR. He fits somewhere along the lines of a fair mans Steve Smith, Hines Ward/Golden Tate type. The Hawks are playing more uptempo this year and Baldwin is seeing about 8 targets a game so far. I like the prospects of this. Also Seattle’s D doesn’t look to be as dominate as years past, so the Hawks could be throwing a lot more this season. I think Baldwin is going to have his best season to date.

Aaron Dobson, NE

Probably the Patriots lone true deep threat, Dobson had 87 yards on seven catches last week, after doing nothing in Week 1. Probably will remain inconsistent all year, but they did draft this kid expecting him to have an impact. You could do much worse, there is some promise here.

Ty Montgomery, GB

Davante Adams where are you? Davante Adams who I read last year was better than Randall Cobb, where are you? This guy has been so hyped, much like Jermichael Finley was and for no good reason. Adams could be a disappointment this year, although it’s still too early to really tell. Aaron Rodgers can work wonders for anyone. I like what I saw out of Montgomery last week and I don’t think it’s that bold to say he could out perform Adams this year.

Travis Benjamin, CLE

Super Speed. Similar to a Dante Hall type, but looks to be a better WR overall. Josh McCown would hurt him, but playing with Manziel I am willing to bank on it. Six catches this season, three for TD’s.

Soon it’s time to pickup

Breshad Perriman, BAL Perriman is sitting there, forgotten, while people scramble for the hottest thing from last week. You may be able to wait one more week, but after that I think you have to move. Reports will come out, he’s running full speed, etc, etc, . Ravens #1 draft pick this year, Legit QB in Flacco, limited weapons on offense, the ROI potential is crazy here.

TE’s

Crockett Gilmore, BAL

Kind of slow, but somewhat athletic, I think Gilmore’s performance was more of a result playing Oakland then anything. Rookie TE Max Williams still looms in the background, but I guess if want to take a shot on Gilmore, go hed, just don’t expect much.

Antonio Gates, SD

Time to stash, He will be back in 3 weeks and things should return to normal with him and Rivers.

Look out for our Radio Show Late Friday Night, listen anytime on demand at blogtalkradio.com/FantasySavvy. Follow on twitter @FantasySavvy. Rankings will be out Saturday afternoon along with DailyLeague suggestions.D

FantasySavvy 2015: TE Tiers

TE Tiers

Graham looked to have fairly good chemistry with Wilson in the preseason. Forget the blocking stats, it’s preseason, Graham will be running more routes once the season starts. That said Greg Olsen could be the safer option. Kelce’s talent is there, maybe with the emergence of a 2nd threat in Maclin, and more targets he fulfills his potential. I would bank on it.

Jordan Cameron has most upside of next group, I don’t trust Martellus Bennett. Gates is worth taking late and stashing for Week 5 arrival.

Take a shot on Eric Ebron, Jordan Reed, Josh Hill and Richard Rodgers in the later rounds.

Peyton Manning loves the tight end, but will it be Owen Daniels? Maybe, he has better shot than Virgil Green.

Max Williams has a lot of talent, and Flacco doesn’t have many options.

Tier 1

Rob Gronkowski

Tier 2

Jimmy Graham, Travis Kelce, Greg Olsen

Tier 3

Martellus Bennett, Jason Witten, Jordan Cameron, Antonio Gates

Tier 4

Coby Fleener, Zach Ertz, Dwayne Allen, Kyle Rudolph, Larry Donnell

Tier 5 

Heath Miller, Owen Daniels, Jordan Reed, Eric Ebron, Delanie Walker, Josh Hill, Richard Rodgers, Vernon Davis, Mychal Rivera,

Tier 6

Maxx Williams, Ladarius Green, Tyler Eifert, Charles Clay, Austin Seferaian-Jenkins, Virgil Green

Tier 7

Rob Housler, Jacob Tamme, Gavin Escobar, Luke Wilson, Garrett Graham, Tim Wright

FantasySavvy 2015: RB Tiers

RB Tiers

You may find Charles and Bell ranked lower on other sites, but these are my top 2 backs in Fantasy. I am targeting these guys first and foremost when I can. Peterson will have a chip on his shoulder and should come out firing in an improved Vikings Offense, but there should be some concerns about durability over the course of the season. Forte I am little down on with the absence of Brandon Marshall and rookie Kevin White now out for the year. But that said, Bears will be trailing a lot and Forte should keep up his PPR production.

I am a little weary of LeSean McCoy, but he could have something to prove after the Eagles let him loose.

You will notice I am high on Latavius Murray as well as Spiller. Going further down I like Matt Jones the rookie from the Skins. He is a Marion Barber clone, agility and power. Gurley is a beast, but his ACL injury might ruin his rookie year, don’t overspend. Abdullah could explode but is going high in drafts and auctions, if you want him be prepared to pay a lot.

Devonta Freeman’s talent is obvious, It’s just hard to bank on him, especially with Tevin Coleman there. But the offense is there to produce.

I like the prospects of TJ Yeldon and Duke Johnson, but the Cleveland backfield is crowded with talent and Dernard Robinson is still present in Jacksonville. Tough to say who will emerge, talent wise I like both the same.

It may take Melvin Gordon a few games, but eventually I think he will start to pick up the pace and could be in for an excellent rookie year. He’s at a decent value point right now.

If your not in the Top 5 or 6, don’t feel compelled to get RB’s in the first round. You could stack on WR’s and then swing back around and grab a Jeremy Hill, Ellington, Spiller, Gordon or L. Murray. Just make sure team is well rounded with talent and doesn’t have any lacking point power.

RB is no longer the premiere position it used to be with the arrival of PPR and the NFL passing game going off, but I think you still want to maintain 2 solid starting backs. Also you can never ever have enough talent at RB, so stack with solid production and upside in the later rounds.

Tier 1

Le’Veon Bell, Jamaal Charles

Tier 2

Eddie Lacy, Adrian Peterson, DeMarco Murray, Marshawn Lynch, Matt Forte

Tier 3

C.J. Anderson, Jeremy Hill, Arian Foster, LeSean McCoy

Tier 4

Andre Ellington, C.J. Spiller, Mark Ingram, Justin Forsett, Carlos Hyde, Lamar Miller, Latavius Murray

Tier 5

Frank Gore, Jonathan Stewart, Melvin Gordon, T.J. Yeldon, LeGarrette Blount, Ameer Abdullah

Tier 6

Shane Vereen, Rashad Jennings, Todd Gurley, Tre Mason, Isaiah Crowell, Joseph Randle, Chris Ivory, Alfred Morris, Doug Martin

Tier 7

Joique Bell, Duke Johnson, Devonta Freeman, Giovani Bernard, Matt Jones, Ronnie Hillman

Tier 8

Charles Sims, Bishop Sankey, Ryan Mathews, Danny Woodhead, David Cobb, Darren McFadden, Darren Sproles, Reggie Bush, David Johnson, Dernard Robinson, Jonas Gray, Dion Lewis, Roy Helu, Lance Dunbar, Christine Michael, Tevin Coleman

Tier 9

Knile Davis, Jerrick Mckinnon, Andre Williams, Dan Herron, Josh Robinson, Terrance West, Cameron Artis-Payne, Khiry Robinson, Jay Ajayi, Gus Johnson, Chris Polk, Alfred Blue

Tier 10

Ryan Williams, Montee Ball, James Starks, Theo Riddick, Buck Allen, Stevan Ridley, Bilal Powell, Zac Stacy, Fred Jackson, Trent Richardson, James White, Lorenzo Taliaferro, Branden Oliver

2014 FantasySavvy Football: Week 16 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em (SuperBowl Week)

Happy Championship Week! If you’ve made it here, I congratulate you. Now go get that title. Let’s get to it.

QB Tom Brady, @New York Jets ($9700) -Since 2010, Brady has averaged 275 yards and two touchdowns per game against the Jets. Running the ball against them is an exercise in futility and the Jets secondary is generally a mess. To boot, they’ve allowed the fifth most points to QBs this season. Feel free to fire up Brady with confidence on Sunday.

QB Alex Smith, @Pittsburgh Steelers ($7400) –Over the last month, Smith has averaged 16 points per game. The Steelers have allowed the fourth most points to QBs this season and their already poor secondary is without half of their starters.

RB Fred Jackson, @Oakland Raiders ($6700) –In the last month, no back has been targeted more than Fred Jackson, and in the last five weeks the Raiders are 20th against the run. Jonathan Stewart

RB Tre Mason, vs New York Giants ($6500) –The Giants let up the worst YPC in the league this season. They are favored by 6, and he is unchallenged for lead back duties. Mason can do some damage this week.

WR Kenny Stills, vs Atlanta Falcons ($6100) –Stills leads the Saints in catches since Brandin Cooks went down as he has been a top 20 WR in that time frame. The Falcons give up the third-most fantasy points to opposing WRs so Stills is a pretty good start this week.

WR Jarvis Landry, vs Minnesota Vikings ($7000) –Landry is the most targeted Dolphin WR on the season, and does most of his damage on short passes. The Vikings allow the highest completion percentage on passes 1-10 yards from the line of scrimmage.

TE Travis Kelce, @Pittsburgh Steelers ($5600) – We already know about his talent. Pittsburgh also gives up the eighth most fantasy points to the TE and has allowed 10 TDs to them. In a game that could feature a lot of points this week, Kelce may be a top 3-5 play at the position.

RB Matt Asiata, @Miami Dolphins($6100)- The Dolphins run defense has deteriorated and Asiata has seen plenty of carries the last few weeks. I see him being a decent RB2 play this week.

SIT

QB Joe Flacco, @Houston Texans( $8100)- Only one QB has scored more than 18 fantasy points against the Houston Texans(Luck). With that and potential game flow working against Flacco, I’d avoid him this week.

Every Jets WR this week-  Patriots secondary playing at an extremely high level and Geno Smith is still Geno Smith.

QB Philip Rivers, @San Francisco 49ers($8000)- Rivers is clearly not right as he has a back injury he’s dealing with and his play has slowed down as a result. San Francisco’s pass defense is still formidable so I’d look for alternatives wherever possible.

RB Isaiah Crowell, @Carolina Panthers($6300)- In the last five weeks, the Panthers have allowed the second least fantasy points to running backs. With that and the general ineptitude of the Browns offense last week, it’s hard to trust anyone on the Browns offense this week.

WR Josh Gordon, @Carolina Panthers($7500)- As I alluded to above there isn’t a single Cleveland Brown one can start with trust this week. Gordon has been held under 50 yards in each of the last two weeks. I know his talent is immense but in championship week it’s not the time to get cute.

WR Martavis Bryant, vs Kansas City Chiefs($6600)- Entirely too boom or bust for my tastes. If he doesn’t score a long touchdown you’re likely looking at five or fewer points.

TE Jordan Reed, vs Philadelphia Eagles($5200)- Reed has been completely silent in the games that RGIII has started and the Eagles have given up one TD to a tight end all season. I’d avoid him in every format that exists.