FantasySavvy 2016: Rookie RB Report

Rookie RB’s are not easy to predict, many times these guys come in extremely talented but it ends up taking them some time to adjust to the NFL game. Or sometimes they just completely flop. The list is vast of talented Rookie RB’s that were expected to do much, but did extremely little in the NFL. But at the same time, many find success from the jump. Colts RB Edgerrin  James led the league in rushing his rookie season back in 1999. Adrian Peterson jumped out the box right away and had a terrific year back in 2007. Also Clinton Portis in 2002, Mike Anderson in 2000 and Alfred Morris in 2012 all had excellent rookie seasons. Last year we had Todd Gurley, David Johnson and Thomas Rawls have productive years. There are many different factors that contribute to a Rookie RB’s success. Opportunity in a great offense, speed, power, agility, patience, etc. A successful Rookie Runner usually has a couple of these attributes going for him. Below are the backs I think have the best chance to be successful this season and as they move forward in their NFL career.

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans

Derrick Henry is my favorite RB of this rookie class. I feel he is going to be a very special player in this league. He does not have the opportunity that Ezekiel Elliot has playing behind that Dallas Offensive line and being what looks like the #1 RB, but I think Henry is the more talented runner. At 6’3 244 pounds, Henry, who I call “Orc” who were those monster beings in the Lord of the Rings series,  has a rare combination of Size and Speed. Yes he only ran a 4.5, but watch his game tape, he runs away from defenders because he has excellent burst and acceleration. He makes great cuts, can stiff arm defenders to the ground and break tackles with consistency. In Dynasty Leagues this guy is a must own player. Currently he is sharing time with/playing behind  DeMarco Murray and that obviously will hurt his value for the start of the season. But for where he is going, currently 7th Round ADP, I am willing to draft this guy all day long. I will probably own him in every one of my leagues. He is a special and truly unique talent. I can only draft on talent and hope the situation fully presents itself later. I want the most talented players on my team no matter what the case, and Henry fits the bill.

Ezekiel Elliot, Dallas Cowboys

This is everybody’s fantasy darling this year. In Early drafts, Elliot was going top 3, then top 5, but has consistently been a 1st round draft pick in most drafts. That is a lot to bank on a rookie. Playing behind that Dallas offensive line could he produce an enormous rookie year? Sure, but I am hesitant to take Elliott this high. There have been many backs who weren’t the most talented, but had excellent offensive lines and they in turn had excellent seasons. Elliot does run with some power, is patient, and knows how to hit holes. He is a pretty good receiving back, but his game tape doesn’t overly impress me.  Elliot was the beneficiary of some unbelievable blocking while at Ohio State, a lot of his runs were just straight breakaways, or just running through some gigantic holes. But Elliot definitely took advantage of those holes and now is running behind arguably the best offensive line in the NFL. There is no doubt he has great burst, but I am not impressed with tackle breaking ability or his agility.

I am just not willing to invest a 1st round pick on this Rookie RB. Elliot supposedly showed up to camp overweight and then had a hamstring injury that kept him from practicing, but he did play in last nights preseason game, looked pretty good and has another 2 weeks n change to get ready for Week 1. Alfred Morris has also played well running behind this line and is it possible he takes some Goal Line carries or maybe if Elliot has a slow start, Morris takes advantage. Darren McFadden is also looming. Everybody is so sure that Elliott is going to be the complete workhorse early and often, but I am not so sure. I am also not so sure he is going to produce at a high level early on. If Elliot was going in the 4th, 5th rounds I would likely be happy to take him, but because he’s going in the 1st round, I just can’t do it. You have to really wow me as a Rookie for me to take you in the 1st round of a Fantasy Draft and Elliott doesn’t truly wow me at all. Against I draft on talent first, not on situation. Elliot’s talent alone doesn’t justify a 1st round pick for me, despite the opportunity.

Josh Ferguson, Indianapolis Colts

Watch Ferguson play and he stands out on tape immediately. Incredibly fast and agile, this Kid has a chance to perform at a high level. He has struggled through two preseason games so far and also missed a block which is never a good sign, but the talent and situation both equate here. Frank Gore is 33 years old and everybody keeps talking Robert Turbin, but I’m not having it. For where Ferguson is going in drafts he’s worth a pick based on his extreme talent.

CJ Prosise and Alex Williams, Seattle Seahawks

How important is the running game to the Seattle Seahawks? Important enough that they drafted two Rookie Rb’s to go along with Thomas Rawls and Christine Michael. I like both of these guys, Prosise is the shifty agile receiving back while Williams is the power guy like Marshawn Lynch was. Problem here is a very crowded backfield with the talented Rawls coming back soon and Christine Michael unexpectedly producing the way he is this preseason. If you are looking for a guy to draft first it would be Prosise because he could earn a 3rd down role right away. But this backfield is so crowded at the moment and the talent doesn’t justify it enough to get so crazy about these two.

Rob Kelley and Keith Marshall, Washington Redskins

Both of these guys are talented in their own right. Marshall ran a 4.3 40 and is extremely quick. Kelley, the undrafted rookie from Tulane, runs with both power and burst. Both stood out immediately to me on tape. Matt Jones flopped as the starter last year, so please believe that his job is not very secure, plus he’s already hurt right now. Kelley and Marshall were supposed to split carries in last nights preseason game, but Marshall got hurt early in the game, providing an opportunity for Kelley. He produced with 12 carries for over 50 yards and even had a nice block which is a great sign. Kelley is definitely a guy you can get with your last pick in your drafts at this point. Right now he would be ahead of Marshall, but that could change. Either way both of these guys are talented and deserve to be watched. Then again I was all over Matt Jones last year and he failed to produce so maybe I am a sucker for these talented Skins backs. But the Skins offense has vastly improved and chances are that ones of these guys is going to be a factor this season whether it be Jones, Kelley or Marshall.

Kenyan Drake, Miami Dolphins

Do you remember his 95-yard kickoff return TD against Clemson in the National Championship game last year? Drake is a undeniably remarkable talent. He is Reggie Bush with a little less agility and speed but with more power and strength. Drake’s biggest knock is that he is often injured and is currently injured now for the Phins. Arian Foster did look good the other night and is the clear starter, but he has a lot of wear and tear and is very injury prone himself. Jay Ayjaji, Miami’s current backup has failed to impress. I am taking Drake, in an emerging young offense led by Ryan Tannehill, as a late round pick. I love this Kids talent and after all the heartache and injuries he’s experienced, you can’t help but root for him.

Jonathan Williams, Buffalo Bills

Williams runs with solid balance, power and a fair amount of speed. He has good vision and overall just looks like a solid RB. I think he becomes the clear handcuff to LeSean McCoy, especially after the nice TD run he had last night in the Bills 3rd preseason game. Reggie Bush is a shell of his former self and Mike Gillislee isn’t impressive. One note, he did get a DWI back in June, so how that affects him at one point this year is unknown. If you grab McCoy keep Williams in mind as last round handcuff or Week 1 or 2 pickup.

Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens

Dixon has been praised by teammates like Joe Flacco this preseason as he has flashed his talents. Dixon is a shifty, ferocious, well-rounded RB who is also excellent  at catching passes. The Ravens backfield is very crowded with Justin Forsett, Javorious Allen and Terrance West, but you can argue Dixon is the most talented of the bunch. Forsett is aging, Allen is OK, nothing special and West has failed to perform previously in Cleveland. Dixon is another solid late round pick or early FA pickup. The talent once again warrants heavy consideration, especially playing with an established QB like Joe Flacco.

Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos

Booker reminds me of Arian Foster with his one-cut gliding running style. He even does that little bow thing that Foster does. He doesn’t have the best speed but has good vision and runs with good balance. Booker can break tackles and catch passes out of the backfield. He is currently behind C.J. Anderson but has moved ahead of Ronnie Hillman. The Broncos Defense is going to keep this offense in a lot of games so gameflow projects well for the Broncos Running Backs. Booker is a talented runner who deserves late round consideration and is a solid handcuff to C.J. Anderson.

 

Any other Rookies not listed here such as DeAndre Washington, Jordan Howard, Wendall Smallwood I am not thrilled with and will not be drafting.

Stay Tuned for our WR Report.

 

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FantasySavvy 2015: TE Tiers

TE Tiers

Graham looked to have fairly good chemistry with Wilson in the preseason. Forget the blocking stats, it’s preseason, Graham will be running more routes once the season starts. That said Greg Olsen could be the safer option. Kelce’s talent is there, maybe with the emergence of a 2nd threat in Maclin, and more targets he fulfills his potential. I would bank on it.

Jordan Cameron has most upside of next group, I don’t trust Martellus Bennett. Gates is worth taking late and stashing for Week 5 arrival.

Take a shot on Eric Ebron, Jordan Reed, Josh Hill and Richard Rodgers in the later rounds.

Peyton Manning loves the tight end, but will it be Owen Daniels? Maybe, he has better shot than Virgil Green.

Max Williams has a lot of talent, and Flacco doesn’t have many options.

Tier 1

Rob Gronkowski

Tier 2

Jimmy Graham, Travis Kelce, Greg Olsen

Tier 3

Martellus Bennett, Jason Witten, Jordan Cameron, Antonio Gates

Tier 4

Coby Fleener, Zach Ertz, Dwayne Allen, Kyle Rudolph, Larry Donnell

Tier 5 

Heath Miller, Owen Daniels, Jordan Reed, Eric Ebron, Delanie Walker, Josh Hill, Richard Rodgers, Vernon Davis, Mychal Rivera,

Tier 6

Maxx Williams, Ladarius Green, Tyler Eifert, Charles Clay, Austin Seferaian-Jenkins, Virgil Green

Tier 7

Rob Housler, Jacob Tamme, Gavin Escobar, Luke Wilson, Garrett Graham, Tim Wright

FantasySavvy 2015: WR Tiers

WR Tiers

Calvin could easily be the #1 Fantasy WR again, but it’s doubtful because he is usually missing a few games a year and Matt Stafford is just too erratic. Jeremy Maclin is being undervalued to me. I think he gets a ton of catches with Smith. Edelman is also being undervalued, especially now with Brady reportedly back for Week 1, I think he could be in for a career year. Edelman continues  to get better and better.

Jordan Matthews may be going a little high, will see, Agholor could be the go to guy in the offense. Amari Cooper could be the next big thing in Oakland. He is a pure receiver.

Perriman, Parker are two rookies who are going late and still could have big impacts this year. Stevie Johnson will revive his career with Philip Rivers, the best QB he’s ever played with.

I like Ty Montgomery to emerge as the #3 in Green Bay, Green-Beckham, Funchess and Dorsett could all have instant impact. I like Dorsett the most, since he should take that 3 spot in Indy.

Don’t sleep on Sammie Coates, reports are terrible on him coming out of training camp, but he arguably is better than Markus Wheaton. He reminds me of Randy Moss a bit. Can Cordarrelle Patterson revive his hype? Probably not, but for your last pick, there is a whole lot of potential still there.

Kenny Bell ,Tampa Bay is an ultra sleeper, so much talent, just needs some burn and I think he will succeed. It may take him 2 to 3 years though. Also watch out for Tyler Lockett, he could be Green Bay’s version of Randall Cobb in a few years.

Tier 1

Antonio Brown, Dez Bryant, Demaryious Thomas, Odell Beckham Jr., Julio Jones

Tier 2

Calvin Johnson, A.J Green, Randall Cobb, T.Y. Hilton

Tier 3

Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Emmanuel Sanders, Julian Edelman, DeAndre Hopkins, Alshon Jeffrey

Tier 4

Jordan Matthews, Andre Johnson, Jeremy Maclin, Sammy Watkins, Brandon Marshall,

Tier 5

Amari Cooper, Charles Johnson, Golden Tate, Nelson Agholor, Jarvis Landry, Martavis Bryant, Davante Adams

Tier 6

Allen Robinson, Vincent Jackson, Mike Wallace, Roddy White, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, John Brown, Kendall Wright, Larry Fitzgerald, DeSean Jackson, Keenan Allen, Markus Wheaton

Tier 7

Marques Colston, Eric Decker, Michael Floyd, Torrey Smith, Brandon LaFell, Reggie Wayne, Stevie Johnson, Davante Parker, Terrance Williams, Breshard Perriman, Marquess Wilson

Tier 8

Victor Cruz, Dorial Green-Beckham, Doug Baldwin, Ty Montgomery, Brian Quick, Devin Funchess, Phillip Dorsett, Pierre Garcon, Cole Beasley, Brandon Coleman, Percy Harvin, Philly Brown,

Tier 9

Cody Latimer, Donte Moncrief, Malcom Floyd, Marvin Jones, Mohammad Sanu, Allen Hurns, Cecil Shorts, Michael Crabtree, Kenny Bell, Cordarrelle Patterson, Albert Wilson, Ruben Randle, James Jones, Sammie Coates, Tyler Lockett

Tier 10

Justin Hunter, Andrew Hawkins, Stedman Bailey, Jermaine Kearse, Brian Hartline, Robert Woods, Eddie Royal, Dwayne Bowe, Brandon Gibson, Danny Amendola, Devin Hester, Jerricho Cotchery, Jeff Janis, Andre Holmes

Tier 11

Kenny Britt, Jalen Strong, Justin Hardy, Marlon Brown, Kamar Aiken, Ace Sanders, Rod Streater, Quinton Patton

FantasySavvy 2015: RB Tiers

RB Tiers

You may find Charles and Bell ranked lower on other sites, but these are my top 2 backs in Fantasy. I am targeting these guys first and foremost when I can. Peterson will have a chip on his shoulder and should come out firing in an improved Vikings Offense, but there should be some concerns about durability over the course of the season. Forte I am little down on with the absence of Brandon Marshall and rookie Kevin White now out for the year. But that said, Bears will be trailing a lot and Forte should keep up his PPR production.

I am a little weary of LeSean McCoy, but he could have something to prove after the Eagles let him loose.

You will notice I am high on Latavius Murray as well as Spiller. Going further down I like Matt Jones the rookie from the Skins. He is a Marion Barber clone, agility and power. Gurley is a beast, but his ACL injury might ruin his rookie year, don’t overspend. Abdullah could explode but is going high in drafts and auctions, if you want him be prepared to pay a lot.

Devonta Freeman’s talent is obvious, It’s just hard to bank on him, especially with Tevin Coleman there. But the offense is there to produce.

I like the prospects of TJ Yeldon and Duke Johnson, but the Cleveland backfield is crowded with talent and Dernard Robinson is still present in Jacksonville. Tough to say who will emerge, talent wise I like both the same.

It may take Melvin Gordon a few games, but eventually I think he will start to pick up the pace and could be in for an excellent rookie year. He’s at a decent value point right now.

If your not in the Top 5 or 6, don’t feel compelled to get RB’s in the first round. You could stack on WR’s and then swing back around and grab a Jeremy Hill, Ellington, Spiller, Gordon or L. Murray. Just make sure team is well rounded with talent and doesn’t have any lacking point power.

RB is no longer the premiere position it used to be with the arrival of PPR and the NFL passing game going off, but I think you still want to maintain 2 solid starting backs. Also you can never ever have enough talent at RB, so stack with solid production and upside in the later rounds.

Tier 1

Le’Veon Bell, Jamaal Charles

Tier 2

Eddie Lacy, Adrian Peterson, DeMarco Murray, Marshawn Lynch, Matt Forte

Tier 3

C.J. Anderson, Jeremy Hill, Arian Foster, LeSean McCoy

Tier 4

Andre Ellington, C.J. Spiller, Mark Ingram, Justin Forsett, Carlos Hyde, Lamar Miller, Latavius Murray

Tier 5

Frank Gore, Jonathan Stewart, Melvin Gordon, T.J. Yeldon, LeGarrette Blount, Ameer Abdullah

Tier 6

Shane Vereen, Rashad Jennings, Todd Gurley, Tre Mason, Isaiah Crowell, Joseph Randle, Chris Ivory, Alfred Morris, Doug Martin

Tier 7

Joique Bell, Duke Johnson, Devonta Freeman, Giovani Bernard, Matt Jones, Ronnie Hillman

Tier 8

Charles Sims, Bishop Sankey, Ryan Mathews, Danny Woodhead, David Cobb, Darren McFadden, Darren Sproles, Reggie Bush, David Johnson, Dernard Robinson, Jonas Gray, Dion Lewis, Roy Helu, Lance Dunbar, Christine Michael, Tevin Coleman

Tier 9

Knile Davis, Jerrick Mckinnon, Andre Williams, Dan Herron, Josh Robinson, Terrance West, Cameron Artis-Payne, Khiry Robinson, Jay Ajayi, Gus Johnson, Chris Polk, Alfred Blue

Tier 10

Ryan Williams, Montee Ball, James Starks, Theo Riddick, Buck Allen, Stevan Ridley, Bilal Powell, Zac Stacy, Fred Jackson, Trent Richardson, James White, Lorenzo Taliaferro, Branden Oliver

FantasySavvy 2015: QB Tiers

QB’s 

Besides Luck & Rodgers, the rest of these guys are going later in drafts and cheaper in Auctions. I I like Wilson a lot this year with the arrival of Graham and Brees as well as Manning are going as cheap as ever. Romo and Rivers are usually the last of the bunch to go and are great options. You can even wait on Brady supplement him with a plethora of streamers and be good to go by Week 5.

The point is, I don’t think it’s necessarily worth going that extra inch for Rodgers and Luck, because there is so much value behind them, although these guys will certainly provide that extra bonus. Even Tier 4 is intriguing, although there are more question marks in that group. My strategy is to be patient at QB, get them for cheaper or in the later initial rounds and still wind up with a rock solid option.

Tier 1

Andrew Luck, Aaron Rodgers

Tier 2

Peyton Manning, Russell Wilson, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger, Tony Romo

Tier 3

Philip Rivers, Tom Brady

Tier 4

Ryan Tannehill, Matt Stafford, Eli Manning, Cam Newton, Sam Bradford, Matt Ryan

Tier 5

Joe Flacco, Carson Palmer, Alex Smith

Tier 6

Jay Cutler, Colin Kaepernick, Jamis Winston, Teddy Bridgewater, Derek Carr, Andy Dalton

Tier 7

Marcus Mariota, Nick Foles, Blake Bortles, Johnny Manziel

Tier 8

Brian Hoyer, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Kirk Cousins, Josh McCown, Tyrod Taylor, Matt Cassel, Zach Mettenberger, Gino Smith

Fantasy Savvy Player Tiers

This is primetime drafting week. The preseason is complete, all cuts have been made and all roles have been pretty much been identified. Remember to stay confident and get the players you want, just be smart about it. Create solid depth, beware of injury prone players and don’t pick a guy just because everybody and their mother says he’s in for a big year, usually the opposite happens. Stay tuned to FantasySavvy.com all season for players rankings, waiver wire help, radio shows, NFL picks and more. Follow us on twitter @FantasySavvy. Now for the best Player Tiers in the Bidness.

* You may notice sometimes starters are tiered below their backups, this is because the starter is probably a fantasy bum who will lose his job at some point. *Subject to Change before Thursday

 

QB’s

Tier 1

Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers

Tier 2

Matthew Stafford, Tom Brady, Andrew Luck, Colin Kaepernick

Tier 3

Cam Newton, Russell Wilson, Phillip Rivers, Tony Romo, Matt Ryan

Tier 4

Ben Roethlisberger, Nick Foles, Robert Griffin III, Jay Cutler, Andy Dalton

Tier 5

Eli Manning, Alex Smith, Joe Flacco, Carson Palmer, Ryan Tannehill

Tier 6

Matt Cassel, Blake Bortles, Teddy Bridgewater, Johnny Manziel, Michael Vick

Tier 7

Matt Schaub, Jake Locker, Derek Carr, Gino Smith, E.J. Manuel, Ryan Fitzpatrick

Tier 8

Brian Hoyer, Chad Henne, Shaun Hill

RB’s

Tier 1

Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Adrian Peterson

Tier 2

Eddie Lacy, Matt Forte, Marshawn Lynch

Tier 3

Le’Veon Bell, Andre Ellington, Montee Ball, DeMarco Murray

Tier 4

Zac Stacy, Giovani Bernard, Shane Vereen

Tier 5

Ben Tate, Rashad Jennings, Alfred Morris, Arian Foster, Reggie Bush, C.J. Spiller, Doug Martin, Ryan Mathews, Frank Gore

Tier 6

Joique Bell, Chris Johnson, Stevan Ridley

Tier 7

Maurice Jones-Drew, Knoshon Moreno, Toby Gerhart, Pierre Thomas, Bernard Pierce, Andre Williams,

Tier 8

Jeremy Hill, Trent Richardson, Danny Woodhead, Bishop Sankey, Fred Jackson, DeAngelo Williams, Darren Sproles, Carlos Hyde, Lamar Miller, Ahmad Bradshaw, Ray Rice, Steven Jackson, Roy Helu

Tier 9

Chris Ivory, Jonathan Stewart, Donald Brown, Mark Ingram, LeGarrette Blount, Darren McFadden,

Tier 10

Knile Davis, Lance Dunbar, Khiry Robinson, Mike Tolbert, Dexter McCluster, James White, Bryce Brown, Devonta Freeman, Robert Turbin, Shonn Greene, Tre Mason, Jordan Todman, Jonathan Grimes, Isiah Crowell, James Starks, Ronnie Hillman

Tier 11

Terrance West, Chris Polk, Storm Johnson, Stepfan Taylor, Jonathan Dwyer, DuJuan Harris, Mike Tolbert, C.J. Anderson, Jaquizz Rodgers, Joseph Randle, Ka’Deem Carey, Marcel Reese, Charles Sims, Tavaris Cadet, Marcus Lattimore, Bilal Powell

WR’s

Tier 1 

Calvin Johnson, Demaryius Thomas, Dez Byrant, A.J Green, Brandon Marshall, Julio Jones

Tier 2

Keenan Allen, Jordy Nelson, Alshon Jeffrey, Vincent Jackson ,

Tier 3

Antonio Brown, Larry Fitzgerald, Randall Cobb, Cordarrelle Patterson, Andre Johnson

Tier 4

Pierre Garcon, DeSean Jackson, Michael Crabtree, Victor Cruz, Michael Floyd, Torrey Smith, Mike Wallace, T.Y. Hilton,

Tier 5

Roddy White, Marques Colston, Jeremy Maclin, Percy Harvin,

Tier 6

Golden Tate, Emmanuel Sanders,

Tier 8

Terrance Williams, Eric Decker, Kendall Wright, Julian Edelman, Reggie Wayne, Anquan Boldin,

Tier 9

Hakeem Nicks, Brandon Cooks, Sammy Watkins, Dwayne Bowe, Cecil Shorts, Mike Evans, Riley Cooper, Kelvin Benjamin, Doug Baldwin, Steve Smith, Wes Welker

Tier 10

Ruben Randle, Marquise Lee, Mohammed Sanu, Markus Wheaton, Kenny Britt, Jordan Matthews, Justin Hunter, DeAndre Hopkins, Brian Hartline, Danny Amendola, Greg Jennings,

Tier 11

Jarret Boykin, Aaron Dobson, O’Dell Beckham JR., Robert Woods, Harry Douglas, Kenny Stills, Stevie Johnson, Miles Austin, Lance Moore, Brandon LaFell, Jermaine Kearse, Andre Caldwell

Tier 12

Cody Latimer, Allen Hurns, Denarius Moore, Mike Willams, Brian Quick, Marvin Jones, Malcolm Floyd, Brandon Gibson, Marlon Brown, Jeremy Kerley, Donnie Avery, Nate Washington, Martavius Byrant

Tier 13

Andrew Hawkins, Andre Roberts, Kenbrell Thompkins, Paul Richardson, Chris Givens, Jernel Jerrigan, Vincent Brown, Eddie Royal, Santonio Holmes

 

TE

Tier 1

Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas

Tier 2

Vernon Davis, Rob Gronkoswski

Tier 3

Jason Witten, Jordan Cameron, Jordan Reed

Tier 4

Greg Olsen, Tim Wright, Dennis Pitta,

Tier 5

Charles Clay, Kyle Rudolph, Eric Ebron, Antonio Gates, Heath Miller,

Tier 6

LaDarius Green, Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, Tyler Eifert,

Tier 7

Martellus Bennett, Dwayne Allen, Brandon Pettigrew, Delanie Walker, Jace Amaro,

 

 

Fantasy Savvy Auction Guide

By: Steve DeAngelo

I prefer Auctions because they allow you to target whatever player you like. If you are in an Auction keeper league then you won’t be able to target certain players because they will be under contract on another team, but in either case you have to act like a real GM and keep all these players under a certain budget. I have been doing these auction leagues since I started playing Fantasy Football back in 97 and I have always enjoyed it more than a regular draft. More and more leagues are starting to switch to the Auction style and some are combining it with the Keeper format. This league style may be new to you, so I am going to provide you with some tips that I have learned over the years.

Confidence and Clarity

Two very important things to attack your auction with. You know football, you’ve been watching it most of your life and you have a knack for what players are going to be effective and what players aren’t. This has to be your attitude. If you want a certain player, buy him, don’t be outbid by another owner, go get him and don’t be passive. Have a plan on what players in particular you definitely want and go get em. If this isn’t a keeper league, then you will have your choice of whatever player you like, or if it is a keeper league then target the best free agents and make sure you get some of the best ones available, granted you have enough money to spend.

Value

Always look for value in Auctions. You may not want a particular player, but if he is going cheap and you have a the money to spend go get him. If Tim Hightower is going for $7-9 bucks that is solid value. He’s not the sexiest pick, but he has looked great this preseason and looks like he will be the starter this year. Throughout your auction there will be value, it could come at the start when owners don’t know how much money to spend on their players yet; It could come in the middle after all the top guys have gone or it could come at the end when people have run out of money. I have been noticing that most of the value comes during the middle of the auction, but it really could vary from league to league depending on if it’s keeper or not and how many keepers are allowed. The key is to identify this value, pay attention and take advantage when the opportunity presents itself.

Don’t get trapped

A lot of times there will be one really good player at a certain position left. You waited to long, passed on value and now are forced to bid on this player. This happens most often in keeper leagues when the market is lacking a lot of talent. What usually happens is that this last good player ends up getting bid up way too much and since you really need the player you are forced to pay for him. Don’t get caught in this trap, if this is a player you want, then throw him out when it’s your turn to call out a player before he becomes the last really good player at his position. An example of this was last year in one of my Auctions when Running Backs were getting slim and Maurice Jones-Drew was the last stud back left. I was forced to pay $73 dollars for him and severely overpaid, while other more talented backs like Adrian Peterson only went for around $60 earlier on.  Again all about timing and gauging value.

Organization

Make sure you are crossing players off as they go, if it’s a keeper league please have all players that are protected crossed off prior to the Auction!!! Don’t think you can just wing it. Make sure you always keep track of how much money you have left as well as keeping a good idea of what your fellow owners have. You can get real serious and keep it all in your own form on a spreadsheet or you could just simply write down how much money they have. Every league usually does a money check periodically, or if you are doing it online then you can see it all right from your computer. Just make sure you are crossing all players off that are taken, you don’t want to be the guy that is calling out a player that is taken already and you want to know exactly how much depth at each position is left. As the Auction goes on write down what players you want to target on a sheet a paper, and cross them out as they get selected. Again if you’re doing this online, then it will keep track of everything for you.

Bidding and Calling out Players

Usually each league has their owners take turns calling out players as they go around in a circle. When it’s your turn to call out a player you can do a couple different things depending on how far you are into the auction and how much money you have. In the beginning what I usually like to do is make owners spend as much money as possible, so I call out high-priced players I want no part of. Steven Jackson is a RB I have always stayed away from because of his team and his lack of TD’s over the past few years. He will definitely go for more than $20 and that is much more than I am willing to spend for him, so good riddance that he limits another owners pockets. Now if it’s early in the Auction and there is a talented player I really want then I want to make sure he gets called out before he becomes one of the top players at his position left, I don’t want to get trapped. So I will call out this player before this happens, like I mentioned earlier.

We all want those sleepers and a lot of the times we want to wait until the end of the draft when nobody has any money to spend. But a lot of times other owners have been saving their money for him as well. So there is really no good time to call out a sleeper, you could wait, but if other owners really want him then they will have money saved to get that player, just like you did. Sometimes it’s a good strategy to call this player real early in the Auction, before anybody knows how much to spend on him, because their teams haven’t really shaped out yet.

Again looking for value, if you see a player is going for cheap, bid on him and even if you don’t get him at least you are driving up to what his actual market price should be. Also if you sense a certain owner wants a player real bad, you could drive his price up, while watching that owner continue to bid higher and higher, but be careful you could get burnt and end up with a player you don’t want or can’t really afford!

Be Bold, Stay Focused

Auctions tend to last longer than drafts, so be prepared for that. Stay focused and if you’re doing this offline always make sure your list has all players that have been taken crossed out. Know the depth at each position. Don’t get trapped into taking that last great player at his position. If you want a player, go get him, don’t get pushed around. You want to feel confident when you are done, you don’t want to leave the auction knowing that you really didn’t get what you wanted. Don’t be afraid to spend a little extra if you really want that player. Remember to always look for value. But out of all things, be confident, be bold and be poised. This has to be in your mindset, I always see a few owners who look tentative, look flustered and their team looks terrible at the end of the Auction. If your draft is offline, then make sure to bring a CPU or a good magazine to check on key things such as last years stats, career averages, schedules, bye weeks and game logs.  That’s really it, if you guys have any other questions feel free to email me at SteveDeAngelo@gmail.com and make sure to listen to our radio show at Blogtalkradio.com/FantasySavvy during the season.