FantasySavvy Football: Week 5 Waiver Wire Advice

By Kevin Lewis

QUARTERBACK

Eli Manning, Giants- Fresh off the thrashing of the Redskins defense, Eli has quietly put together three straight solid performances. In the last three weeks, Manning has completed 70% of his passes for 811 yards with eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Who knows if this is a sign of things to come for Eli, but it seems like the new system in place is reviving his career. In the short term, Manning gets to deal with the defenseless Falcons in week 5. Going forward he has five games with the Eagles, Cowboys and Redskins. Maybe, just maybe, Eli is a QB1 this season.

Teddy Bridgewater, Vikings- I suggested to start Bridgewater in a pinch in the “Start Em, Sit Em” column and he made me look smart with his exploits against the aforementioned defenseless Falcons. He threw for 317 yards, ran for 27 and a TD and committed 0 turnovers. I’m not suggesting to start him on a short week against the Packers but long term he is a QB2 with some upside.

Blake Bortles, Jaguars- Bortles also made his first career start on Sunday and didn’t fare as well as Bridgewater did on Sunday. Bortles faced a far tougher assignment and it showed in his play and in the Jaguars game plan as he only threw three passes further than 15 yards down the field all game. He threw two INTs but also threw for 253 yards and a TD. This week, Bortles is a good play against a weak Steelers defense that made Mike Glennon look like 1996 Drew Bledsoe. Long term, his running ability combined with his throwing ability and the garbage time appeal in Jacksonville make him an intriguing prospect.

RUNNINGBACK

Jerick McKinnon, Vikings- Jerick McKinnon is one of the most physically gifted RBs in all of football. He showed this on Sunday on some of his long runs against the Falcons. He has struggled in pass protection and in the passing game and that’s kept his playing time curbed. He did manage 135 yards on 18 carries on Sunday however. As long as he keeps flashing that kind of talent, he will be harder to keep off the field. He won’t get the goalline touches in lieu of Matt Asiata but 10-15 touches a game isn’t out of the question. Against the weak Green Bay Packers run defense, McKinnon could be a nice flex play.

Lorenzo Taliaferro, Ravens- It’s really difficult to figure out the Baltimore Ravens RB situation right now. The only consistent theme at the moment is that Justin Forsett is slated to get the majority of the touches between the run and pass game. Bernard Pierce was healthy and didn’t manage to collect a single snap on Sunday, which can’t possibly bode well for his chances going forward. That aside, despite a pretty spotty performance outside of garbage time, I remain convinced Taliaferro is the best runner on the team and will be treated as such at some point relatively soon. In the meanwhile, just stash him.

Isaiah Crowell, Browns- Ben Tate is expected to return for the Browns in week 5. With Ben Tate’s decorated injury history and Crowell having passed Terrance West on the depth chart, there is a pretty decent shot Crowell offers RB2/flex value in many weeks going forward. He might also get goalline carries and is perhaps the most gifted back on the team. Saving a spot for him on the bench might pay off big time in the near future.

WIDE RECEIVER

Brian Quick, Rams- Although St. Louis’ QB situation is largely unsettled, Quick has managed to put together a 16/235/1 line through three games. Given that he has seen 10 more targets than Kenny Britt, Quick could provide WR2 value some weeks depending on matchups. He is a physical specimen who seems to be coming into his own in his third year.

Andrew Hawkins, Browns- With the injury to Jordan Cameron, the Browns have become reliant on Andrew Hawkins to be a safety blanket of sorts for QB Brian Hoyer. Hawkins has been targeted 33(!!) times in the first three games and has posted a 21-244-0 line. Although Jordan Cameron coming back caps his upside a bit, the Browns next three games are against the Titans, Jaguars and the Steelers. Andrew Hawkins has some flex appeal in PPR leagues.

Marvin Jones, Bengals- The Bengals under Jay Gruden were a pass heavy team, and Jones took advantage of that to the tune of 51-712-10 despite only playing half the team’s snaps. While Sanu has a pretty good hold on the #2 job in Cincy for right now, I think Jones will take the position back from him in due time. If you have the space to stash him, do so.

TIGHT END

Jordan Reed, Redskins- I know Jordan Reed is injury prone but his physical talents are worth marveling over. Reed might return to the lineup and Niles Paul’s concussion gives him a shot at the majority of the team’s snaps. This is a case of stashing and betting on the player’s talent in hopes that he avoids getting hurt.

Austin Sefarian-Jenkins, Buccaneers- Sefarian-Jenkins played 71 out of 71 snaps against the Steelers. He posted a relatively pedestrian 3-44-0 on 7 targets but his upside is about more than what he actually did on Sunday. WR Mike Evans is injured and Mike Glennon took over the QB job for the moment which means there is a good possibility that the extremely athletic TE gets a high volume of targets.

Owen Daniels, Ravens-Owen Daniels is the main benefactor of Dennis Pitta’s injury. He saw four catches for 43 yards on six targets. He’s a low ceiling but high-floor option at the current juncture.

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FantasySavvy Football: Week 4 Daily League Recommendations

Daily Fantasy Leagues are getting more and more and popular. Sites like Fanduel, Draftstreet and others are growing in users. Kevin Lewis will be providing his value picks each week to help you fill out your roster.

WR Jeremy Kerley(vs DET)- Eric Decker will likely be limited on Sunday afternoon with his hamstring issues. Kerley has seen 17 targets in the last two weeks and is the clear cut #1 target whenever Decker is on the sideline. With Decker being limited, and Detroit going through nickel backs like Derek Jeter goes through girlfriends(they are on their third in week 4), Kerley is a good bet for double digit targets.

WR Allen Robinson(@SD)- He looks like he’s gaining a rapport with new starter Blake Bortles and he is an athletic freak. The Jaguars likely will be trailing the majority of the day so there is plenty of appeal here as he’s a low cost/high upside play.

RB Khiry Robinson(@DAL)- Robinson was an underwhelming play last week as he had a pedestrian evening punctuated with him not scoring a TD. That said, this game should feature a ton of points and Robinson is likely going to be the goalline back. The Cowboys run defense is 20th in the NFL, so there should be ample opportunity for Robinson to leave his mark on this game.

WR Golden Tate(@NYJ)- Calvin Johnson is hobbled and should see a ton of bracket coverage, and the Jets let up a league low 2.9 YPC. Golden Tate hasn’t blown anyone away yet but he’s quietly on pace for 1070 yards. I think this is the week he finally gets in the endzone, and he should see a lot of Kyle Wilson who isn’t very good. This is has all the makings of a big game for Golden Tate.

QB Ben Roethlisberger(vs TB)- Look at the Buccaneers play football. That’s all that needs to be said here. Roethlisberger will put up nice numbers in this glorified scrimmage

QB Tony Romo(vs NO)- Romo hasn’t had to do much thus far in the young season as he has relied on the legs of DeMarco Murray who leads the NFL in carries. With that game shaping up as one that will feature a lot of points, Romo will probably have to drop back quite often on Sunday. As much as his physical decline and/or him playing hurt worries me, he has a lot of appeal in what could be a Sunday night shootout.

RB DeAngelo Williams(@BAL)- Baltimore defends the run pretty well but Williams is basically the lone soldier in the Carolina backfield at the moment. Jonathan Stewart is out and so is Mike Tolbert. It’s Williams’ backfield and there is a lot of appeal in the volume of touches he’s likely to get on Sunday.

 

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FantasySavvy Football: Start Em’ Sit Em’ Week 4

By Kevin Lewis

Start Em

Lorenzo Taliaferro(vs CAR)- He went for 18 carries for 91 yards last Sunday. I feel like this is the game he will establish himself as the team’s best back and he won’t look back from here. As evidenced by the gashings by Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh, Carolina struggles against the run. If you have bye week issues to deal with or are looking for a potential spark, start him.

Allen Robinson(@SD)- Blake Bortles is the newly minted starter in Jacksonville. He is a big armed aggressive QB who likes to take shots down the field and Robinson is a big, athletic WR who could be the best the Jaguars have to offer. There is a lot of garbage time appeal here.

Eli Manning(vs WAS)- The Redskins held LeSean McCoy to 23 yards on 20 carries last week. Their run defense is legitimate thus far so I don’t expect much from Rashad Jennings tonight. The Redskins secondary is hurting as they lost Hall for the season. Chances are, the onus will be on Eli and the Giants receivers to move the ball. If you are in a two QB league or are desperate, trot Eli out there.

Ben Roethlisberger(vs WAS)- Have you watched the Tampa Bay Buccaneers play defense?

Teddy Bridgewater(vs ATL)- Lots of garbage time and ‘pass because our run game stinks’ appeal here. The Falcons are going to put up a lot of points and it will be up to Bridgewater and his receivers to keep them within shouting distance. I could see him having a nice afternoon.

Travis Kelce(vs NE)- The breakout is coming. Kelce scored a TD last week, his ability is readily obvious to anyone who has ever watched him play and he is starting to get on the field for more snaps. I think Kelce announces his arrival on National TV with a big game on Monday.

Brandin Cooks(@ DAL)- Lots of points should be scored in this NO/DAL game. Brandin Cooks is playing the most snaps of the Saints wide receivers. Dallas is 21st in the league in pass defense so Cooks should have plenty of opportunities to shine on Sunday night.

Chris Ivory(vs DET)- While the Lions run defense has been particularly good in the early going, Ivory should be a good start coming off the loss to the Bears on Monday. After watching Chris Johnson look finished, and Geno look largely lost in the redzone, Ivory might see 30+ carries on Sunday. Given his 5.7 YPC clip, he has some value solely based on the volume he’s going to get.

SIT EM

Tom Brady(@KC)- Brady hasn’t been particularly good this year. That offensive line is in shambles and there are probably better options to start as his upside is capped.

Chris Johnson(vs DET)- Ivory will get the majority of the touches on Sunday, and Johnson looks finished. He’s almost droppable at this point.

Cam Newton(@BAL)- I don’t think this guy is healthy. He’s beat up and that offensive line isn’t doing him any favors. I would try and find someone to take him off my hands altogether

Frank Gore(vs PHI)- Gore has done next to nothing all season long, and the Eagles boast a good run defense. They are ripe for the picking through the air, so I don’t see Gore having a big impact on the game. If you have a better option, go to it.

Reggie Bush/Joique Bell(@NYJ)- Quite simply, it is a waste of time trying to run the ball against the New York Jets. If you have a better option, trot them out there. It’s probably gonna be a long day for both.

Eric Decker(vs DET)- With his injury being what it is, I wouldn’t start Decker until I was confident he is fully healthy. Add in what I mentioned earlier about the Jets potential gameplan Sunday and Decker is a pretty unattractive option on Sunday regardless of health.

Kendall Wright(@ IND)- Charlie Whitehurst will be throwing him the ball on Sunday. That isn’t exactly ideal for his fantasy prospects in the short term or the interim. Stay away from him this week.

Torrey Smith(vs CAR)- I wouldn’t start him until he gives me a reason to do so. And I expect Flacco to pepper Steve Smith with targets since he’s facing his former team for the first time.

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FantasySavvyFootball: Week 3 Film Review and Recap (Part 1)

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta

  • Not much to say about this game. Julio Jones is a beast. Ryan will be productive because of Julio and hopefully a healthy Roddy, but expect some games where he disappears from time to time. Like I said last week, I am not confident Roddy will be able to stay healthy. Think about dealing him.
  • Levine Toilolo is a big stiff, if you picked him up, drop him.
  • I am still steering clear of this Falcons running game.
  • Bobby Rainey is a quality back, despite the two fumbles, he will remain in the mix when Doug Martin returns. He has outplayed Martin.
  • Vincent Jackson will be out for a while, but he and Evans should both see a boost with Mike Glennon at the helm. Glennon is not on the radar at all.

Colts @ Jaguars

  • Everybody got involved for the Colts in this game. Fleener scored, Dwayne Allen scored, Hakeem Nicks scored. Still, I think all three will remain inconsistent throughout the season. Wayne and Hilton remain the only two mainstays in the WR department.
  • Ahmad Bradshaw got less carries but outplayed Richardson again. The guy just defines running back. Can he stay healthy? Finally? It’s doubtful. Richardson is looking better and is contributing, he’s a low-end flex play at this point. Keep him on your roster.
  • Andrew Luck is going to have some huge games and some duds, that’s the way he is. Just hope in the Playoffs he has one of those monster games, it’s more likely at this point he will step up for your playoff team when it counts then come up short.
  • In the 2nd Half the Jags turned to Blake Bortles and instantly this offense showed life. Bortles did throw two picks and fumbled (although it was negated because of a defensive holding) but he threw darts, avoided sacks and made throws on the run. He produced anywhere from 18-23 points depending on your fantasy league. His WR core isn’t great but it’s solid with Shorts, Robinson, Hurns and Marquise Lee.  He is in for a solid rookie season. I am targeting him in a few leagues, especially keeper.
  • Allen Robinson had the most catches with 7 for 70+ yards and I think it may be between him and Marquise Lee to become Bortles’ favorite. Cecil Shorts is in the mix too. Hurns had a 63 yd TD, but just had one catch. Bottomline is, now that Bortles has been slotted to start and won’t look back, one or two of these Jags WR’s will instantly become fantasy relevant week to week. Right now I think Lee, Shorts and Robinson are about even, with Hurns the odd man out. I still think Lee is the best bet, he just needs to get healthy.
  • Still staying away from this Jags running game, although Gerhart gets a slight boost with Bortles. He will be the GL back and this team will be in the redzone much more often as a result. Read Option plays might also help Gerhart, but Denard Robinson is going to remain in the mix likely making both irrelevant.

Baltimore @ Cleveland 

  • Benard Pierce was ruled out so the Rook, Lorenzo Taliaferro got an opportunity to strut and did not disappoint. I don’t think Taliaferro is an overly talented back, but he is NFL ready with his big bruising running style. The Ravens run game just looks solid overall, no matter who is in there running the rock. Pierce, Forsett and Taliaferro have all produced and run well.  This could be a three-headed monster when Pierce returns. The Ravens are going to run a ton, and probably be successful most of the time. This is due more to Kubiak’s system than the overall talent of the RB core.
  • Although Taliaferro had a big first half, he was quiet in the 2nd being held under 20 yards. It’s tough to say who will emerge, it may be Pierce one week, Forsett another and Taliaferro another. Either way Taliaferro is definitely worth picking up, but as long as all three backs are healthy it will be tough to really rely on any one back. John Harbaugh is likely to ride the hot hand, Who will emerge? Time will tell. I still think the Ravens like Pierce and aren’t just going to desert him for a 4th round pick in Taliaferro. Forsett will remain in the mix regardless because of his pass catching skills and he’s also the fastest back on the team.
  • Another poor game for Torrey Smith, while Steve Smith goes over 100 yards again. He remains the #1 target on this squad and was the one Flacco looked to in crunch time. Smith may improve, but like I said last week, he’s in for a disappointing year overall.
  • With Dennis Pitta out for the year, Owen Daniels becomes a fairly solid option, despite the fact he did nothing when Pitta went out. Daniels should be targeted a good amount and produce.
  • Miles Austin scored yet again and maybe he just needed a change. He literally ran the same slant route in the end zone he did the last week for a TD. Still not buying him though.
  • Andrew Hawkins did his usual 6-7 catch for 70, 80+ yard performance. He remains a fairly decent flex in PPR.
  • Jordan Cameron has started slow, be patient for now.
  • Isaiah Crowell outplayed Terrance West for the 2nd week in a row. They both are talented, but I think Crowell provides a little more punch. He’s like Marion Barber with a bit more burst and a little less size.  Things just going to get too crowded when Ben Tate returns. Going to devalue all these guys. I like Crowell though, I would find a way to stash him.

Washington @ Philly

  • Jordan Matthews breakout game. Matthews saw a plenty of targets and had 8 catches for 59 yards. Both TD’s came on simple seam routes, similar to what the Saints have done with Marques Colston in the past. No doubt that Foles will continue to look Mathews way in the redone with his 6’3 frame. Mathews and Foles also connected on multiple out routes. Mathews could start becoming a very significant part of this offense after a quiet first two weeks. I would bank on him more than Riley Cooper or Zach Ertz.
  • LeSean McCoy didn’t have anywhere to run against the Skins D, but it does appear that’s last years heavy workload has slowed him a bit. The Redskins D did stuff the holes however and better days for Shady are ahead, but a regression from last years numbers is going to happen. No need to panic just yet.
  • DeSean Jackson should continue to create separation and Cousins is more than capable of delivering him the ball.
  • Kirk Cousins played well, but on the last drive of the game he couldn’t complete the key passes he needed to push the Skins into the FG range. He still has plenty of weapons and will remain solid.
  • Niles Pauls’ talent was on display again with some nice catches. Keep him going.

Part 2 will be released tomorrow. Stay Tuned. Radio Show Friday night, Start Em Sit Em, Daily League breakdown and Rankings all on deck as well. Follow us on Twitter @FantasySavvy.

 

 

 

 

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FantasySavvy Football: Week 3 Player Rankings

  1. Drew Brees vs MIN                              QB’s
  2. Aaron Rodgers @ DET
  3. Matthew Stafford vs GB
  4. Tom Brady vs OAK
  5. Andrew Luck @ JAC
  6. Peyton Manning @ SEA
  7. Russell Wilson vs DEN
  8. Nick Foles vs WAS
  9. Phillip Rivers @ BUF
  10. Cam Newton vs PIT
  11. Colin Kaepernick @ ARI
  12. Tony Romo @ STL
  13. Andy Dalton vs TEN
  14. Joe Flacco @ CLE
  15. Jay Cutler @ NYJ
  16. Ben Roethlisberger @ CAR
  17. Kirk Cousins @ PHI
  18. Eli Manning vs HOU
  19. Ryan Tannehill vs KC
  20. Ryan Fitzpatrick @ NYG
  21. Gino Smith vs CHI
  22. Alex Smith @ MIA
  23. Jake Locker @ CIN
  24. Matt Cassel @ NO
  25. E.J. Manuel vs SD
  26. Chad Henne vs IND
  27. Austin Davis vs DAL
  28. Brian Hoyer vs BAL
  29. Drew Stanton vs SF
  30. Derek Carr @ NE

RB’s

  1. DeMarco Murray @ STL
  2. Arian Foster @ NYG
  3. LeSean McCoy vs WAS
  4. Marshawn Lynch vs DEN
  5. Le’Veon Bell @ CAR
  6. Matt Forte @ NYJ
  7. Giovani Bernard vs TEN
  8. Eddie Lacy @ DET
  9. Alfred Morris @ PHI
  10. Knile Davis/Jamaal Charles @ MIA *IF Charles Plays, Davis Drops, See Ranking below.
  11. Zac Stacy vs DAL
  12. Stevan Ridley vs OAK
  13. Frank Gore @ AZ
  14. Montee Ball @ SEA
  15. Ahmad Bradshaw @ JAC
  16. Andre Ellington vs SF
  17. Joique Bell vs GB
  18. C.J. Spiller vs SD
  19. Shane Vereen vs OAK
  20. Khiry Robinson vs MIN
  21. Jeremy Hill vs TEN
  22. Darren Sproles vs WAS
  23. Rashad Jennings vs HOU
  24. Reggie Bush vs GB
  25. Chris Ivory vs CHI
  26. Knile Davis * If Charles Plays.
  27. Terrance West vs BAL
  28. Donald Brown @ BUF
  29. Justin Forsett/Bernard Pierce @ CLE *Pierce Questionable.
  30. Trent Richardson @ JAC
  31. Danny Woodhead @ BUF
  32. Fred Jackson vs SD
  33. DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart vs PIT
  34. Shonn Greene @ CIN
  35. Toby Gerhart vs IND
  36. Darren Mcfadden/MJD vs NE
  37. Isaiah Crowell vs BAL
  38. Matt Asiata vs NO
  39. Roy Helu @ PHI
  40. Robert Turbin vs DEN
  41. Carlos Hyde @ AZ
  42. Benny Cunningham vs DAL
  43. Dexter McCluster @ CIN
  44. Jerrick McKinnon @ NO
  45. James Starks @ DET
  46. Andre Williams vs HOU
  47. Stepfan Taylor vs SF
  48. Alfred Blue @ NYG
  49. C.J. Anderson @ SEA
  50. Lorezno Taliaferro @ CLE
  51. LeGarrette Blount @ CAR

WR’s

  1. Calvin Johnson vs GB
  2. A.J. Green vs TEN
  3. Dez Byrant @ STL
  4. Jordy Nelson @ DET
  5. Randall Cobb @ DET
  6. Demaryius Thomas @ SEA
  7. Mike Wallace vs KC
  8. Percy Harvin vs DEN
  9. Brandon Marshall @ NYJ *questionable, should play
  10. Antonio Brown @ CAR
  11. Andre Johnson @ NYG
  12. Sammy Watkins vs SD
  13. Keenan Allen @ BUF * questionable
  14. DeSean Jackson @ PHI *questionable
  15. Michael Crabtree @ AZ
  16. Jeremy Maclin vs WAS
  17. Marques Colston vs MIN
  18. Emmanuel Sanders @ SEA
  19. Julian Edelman vs OAK
  20. Cordarrelle Patterson @ NO
  21. Steve Smith @ CLE
  22. Reggie Wayne @ JAC
  23. Pierre Garcon @ PHI
  24. Larry Fitzgerald vs SF
  25. Eric Decker vs CHI *questionable
  26. T.Y. Hilton @ JAC
  27. Golden Tate vs GB
  28. Brandon Cooks vs MIN
  29. Kelvin Benjamin vs PIT
  30. Michael Floyd vs SF
  31. Victor Cruz vs HOU
  32. Anquan Boldin @ AZ
  33. Brian Quick vs DAL
  34. Andrew Hawkins vs BAL
  35. Ruben Randle vs HOU
  36. Wes Welker @ SEA
  37. Doug Baldwin vs DEN
  38. Dwayne Bowe @ MIA
  39. James Jones @ NE
  40. Markus Wheaton @ CAR
  41. Kendall Wright @ CIN
  42. Torrey Smith @ CLE
  43. Terrance Williams @ STL
  44. Greg Jennings @ NO
  45. Cecil Shorts vs IND
  46. DeAndre Hopkins @ NYG
  47. Justin Hunter @ CIN
  48. Mohammad Sanu vs TEN
  49. Davante Adams @ DET
  50. Jeremy Kerley vs CHI
  51. Miles Austin vs BAL
  52. Allen Robinson vs IND
  53. Danny Amendola vs OAK
  54. Brian Hartline vs KC
  55. Robert Woods vs SD
  56. Andre Roberts @ PHI
  57. Malcolm Floyd @ BUF
  58. Aaron Dobson vs OAK
  59. Jarret Boykin @ DET
  60. Hakeem Nicks @ JAC *questionable
  61. Kenny Stills vs MIN
  62. Donnie Avery @ MIA
  63. Denarius Moore @ NE
  64. Jermaine Kearse vs DEN
  65. Riley Cooper vs WAS
  66. Jordan Matthews vs WAS
  67. Allen Hurns vs IND
  68. Nate Washington @ CIN
  69. Stevie Johnson @ AZ
  70. John Brown vs SF

TE’s

  1. Jimmy Graham vs MIN
  2. Julius Thomas @ SEA
  3. Rob Gronkowski vs OAK
  4. Niles Paul @ PHI
  5. Greg Olsen vs PIT
  6. Antonio Gates @ BUF
  7. Zach Ertz vs WAS
  8. Dennis Pitta @ CLE
  9. Jason Witten @ STL
  10. Delanie Walker @ CIN
  11. Travis Kelce @ MIA
  12. Jordan Cameron vs BAL *questionable
  13. Martellus Bennet @ NYJ
  14. Larry Donnell vs HOU
  15. Charles Clay vs KC *questionable
  16. Heath Miller @ CAR
  17. Owen Daniels @ CLE
  18. Kyle Rudolph @ NO
  19. Jared Cook vs DAL
  20. Dwayne Allen @ JAC

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FantasySavvy Football: Buy Low, Sell High

By Kevin Lewis

Buy Low

RB Eddie Lacy- Lacy was a top 7 pick in the majority of leagues during the draft process. In the first two games, he has 25 carries for 77 yards and five catches for 29 yards with no touchdowns. Lacy has gone up against two of the best run defenses in the sport in Seattle and the New York Jets and the Packers have trailed for much of those contests.

The Detroit Lions, the Packers week 3 opponents, let up an average of 19.5 PPG to opposing RBs which is good for 9th in the NFL. That game is going to feature a lot of points so there is a good chance Lacy scores. The window to buy him low probably extends through that game. After that, the schedule softens as he faces the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings. His perceived value will probably be rehabilitated by that point. If you want him, now is the time to try.

RB Montee Ball-Montee Ball was a popular pick amongst pundits and fans alike for a breakout campaign. That may still happen but it’s been a pretty slow beginning for Ball as he has 35 carries for 127 yards(1 TD), 5 catches for 45 yards in two contests. He hasn’t been bad but he hasn’t proven to be worth the late first/early second that was likely used to get him. The person who owns him might be willing to part ways.

I will say this about Ball in that I don’t think NOW is necessarily the time to target him. His upcoming schedule is @Seattle, bye, ARI, and @NYJ. It could be rough sledding over those four weeks and I think he could come at a pretty reasonable price after the week 6 tilt with the Jets. If you can get him now for a reasonable price, go for it. I suggest you wait it out a bit and keep a close eye on the developments with Ball over the next month.

TE Rob Gronkowski- For most rational people I don’t think the first two weeks for Gronkowski has been a grand surprise. We expected him to be limited on reps, and for him to take a bit to get his legs underneath him. In the first two weeks, he has eight catches for 72 yards and a touchdown.

This weekend, the Patriots square off with a putrid Raiders team in a game that should feature a ton of running/clock burning in what will be a rout. The last time these teams faced off, S Tyvon Branch held Gronkowski to 1 catch for 4 yards and that was at the height of Gronk’s powers. I don’t expect that again but it could be a slow afternoon for #87. If it proves to be, send an offer for him. Gronk wrecks games. Fantasy football is all about finding people exactly like that, injury risk be damned. Scared money don’t make money.

SELL HIGH

RB Matt Asiata- This is less about what he’s done and more about what he is. He simply isn’t very good at football. I don’t know the agendas of the Vikings coaching staff but they started this kid last week and he had 13 carries for 36 yards along with 5 catches and 48 yards and a receiving TD on a busted coverage by the Patriots. Jerick McKinnon, the extremely gifted backup, has some kinks to work out in pass protection in order to stay on the field. He gave up a sack in three pass protection opportunities last week and that needs to improve if his reps are going to increase. There is someone in your league that may be desperate for RB help and are enticed by Asiata’s volume. If you can afford to, SELL SELL SELL.

RB DeMarco Murray- I say this with a disclaimer. I’m really high on DeMarco Murray this year as I do think he will finish as a top 5-6 back assuming he plays 14+ games. That said, his value will NEVER be higher than what it is right now. Through two games, he has 51 carries for 285 yards (2 TD), and 4 catches for 31 yards. His start leads to a lot of questions though. Is Dallas going to remain committed to the run? How long is DeMarco going to last if he keeps getting touches at or near this rate? Do you move him now because of his injury history and his heavy workload? If you aren’t getting a great haul, he probably should be kept but there is no time like the present to move him.

RB Giovani Bernard- Bernard is an absolute PPR dynamo thus far as he is one of two RBs in the league with 125+ yards both rushing and receiving (Le’Veon Bell). In two games, he has 41 carries for 138 yards (1 TD), and 11 catches for 141 yards. His 3.3 YPC is a little worrisome but if he keeps getting the volume he is getting, any concerns about that will be alleviated. With WR AJ Green likely sitting out the game against Tennesee this Sunday, it’s a game where Bernard could put together another monster stat line. With Jeremy Hill looming in the background, Bernard’s value may never be higher than it is after this Sunday. It’s worth putting out feelers on him to see what the market is like. He’s off to a torrid start.

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FantasySavvy Football: Week 2 Film Review (Part 2)

Seahawks @ Chargers

  • Great Job by the Chargers coaching staff. They used a lot of rubs and man beaters to diminish the Seahawks aggressive Man Defense. Perfectly executed.
  • Big Reason was Antonio Gates. I saw him run a Corner Curl route which got him wide open and another Corner Streak which he caught the one-handed TD for. Both instances he lost the CB. He abused Kim Chancellor twice.  Have to wonder if Gates can stay healthy, but right now he looks perfectly fine.
  • Keenan Allen absolutely turned around Richard Sherman on a slant route, with a little juke fake to the right and then broke off the slant. He runs that route well. Again, good game plan to beat the Seahawks Man D.
  • Robert Turbin got some early burn and turned  it into a TD, but he was unguarded on it. It was unusual to not see Lynch early and often however. Looks like they may want to rest Lynch for later in the season. Turbin is a good idea to keep rostered if you own Lynch.
  • Donnie Brown and Danny Woodhead will split the carries now that Ryan Mathews is banged up yet again. Both should be decent flexes week 2 week.
  • Doug Baldwin had two acrobatic catches, one was called out-of-bounds at the Chargers 1 yard line. Baldwin is talented, but Wilson spreads the ball around so much. Harvin is really the only reliable target as of now, but I do expect Baldwin to have some huge performances this year. Keep an eye on him, he’s definitely out there in a lot of leagues.

St. Louis @ Tampa Bay

  • Zac Stacy ran OK (19-71-1TD). Performed better in the first half, in the 2nd seemed like the Bucs realized Austin Davis stunk and crowded the box more. Cunningham got some burn (6-15), but Stacy is still the feature back. Expect the Rams to keep feeding him, his first 100 yard game is in the horizon.
  • Still not really impressed with Brian Quick (7-74). I will compare him to Jared Cook at WR. Kind of like a poor mans Andre Johnson. But it appears he is the Rams #1 Option, decent start for PPR leagues. Kenny Britt and Tavon Austin were still pretty invisible. The Rams are never going to be explosive with Austin Davis at the helm.
  • Bobby Rainey is a quality RB. The Bucs target him a ton and he can shake defenders and break tackles. Even in tonight’s game against the Falcons, he showed his talents and got a ton of looks. That will change when Doug Martin comes back, but Martin’s injury could continue to linger. Also Rainey will remain in the mix regardless, he has outperformed Martin.
  • Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson will suffer with Josh Mcnown and Mike Glennon under center. Evans getting a lot of looks, but still has not reached pay dirt.

Houston @ Oakland

  • Arian Foster looks fully healthy and is running extremely well.  Try to trade for him. His owners may not be too keen on him, because Foster has lost his luster and has been injury prone of late.
  • DeAndre Hopkins is like Larry Fitzgerald Lite. Doesn’t create a lot of separation but catches balls in close quarters. Caught a Fade for TD in this game, but only finished with 22 yards on 3 catches. Ryan Fitzpatrick is his QB and Arian Foster is getting 20+ carries a game. Don’t expect much.
  • Darren Mcfadden had 12 carries for 37 yards and TD and looked decent with some runs. MJD will be back soon however and neither back is too exciting with the Raiders owning a horrid defense and having a rookie QB. Plus both backs are past their prime. LaTavius Murray was picked up in a lot of leagues this week, I don’t see why.
  • Derek Carr is just growing, just will take time, let’s see how he matures. James Jones went over 100 yards with a TD after doing niente (nothing in Italian) in Week 1. Not sure how much I trust Jones or any Raider for that matter.

New York Jets @ Green Bay

  • Davante Adams looked fine to me. Bigger target than Boykin and likely more talented. 5 catches for 50 yards, was 2nd in yards and catches behind Jordy this week. A worthy pickup, because Rodgers has shown he can make the #3 WR relevant and if Cobb or Jordy goes down he is now a huge piece. Stash him, he should take the #3 spot from Boykin.
  • Eddie Lacy two slow games, but faced two tough run D’s in Seattle and the Jets. Like Kevin Lewis will point out in his Buy Low, Sell High article which will be released tomorrow, now is a good time to make an offer.
  • As a Jets fan, I’m still not a believer in Gino Smith. He does look better than last year and actually has a good WR in Decker, but I am just not expecting much. I hope he proves me wrong. Decker is an every week starter.
  • Chris Johnson is done man, Chris Ivory is the better running back. Johnson just goes down like a fly. I’m sure he will be decent at times, but CJ2k probably will be CJ700 at the end of this year.

Kansas City @ Denver

  • Not much to say about Denver, other than, it looks like C.J Anderson is the proper handcuff for Montee Ball. Start your Broncos.
  • Knile Davis isn’t an overly talented runner, but he hits the hole and runs hard. He averaged just under 4 YPC (22-79) but had two TD’s. He’s a must pickup if you are a Charles owner, and a solid pickup regardless. He will get a ton of carries with Charles out, but Charles may return this week. I just hope the Chiefs don’t rush Charles back too soon only to have him at 75% or re-injure himself.
  • Travis Kelce (4-81) is improving, expect him to remain steady all year and have some nice performances. Nice big target with decent speed and good hands. Much rather own him than Kyle Rudolph, who went higher in almost every fantasy draft.

Chicago @ San Fran

  • Colin Kaepernick cost the 49ers this game with 4 To’s (3 Int’s and a fumble) but he did put a pass right on the money to Crabtree that would have given them a chance to tie.
  • That was a tough catch for Crabtree but he could have come down with it. It does appear (7-82-1TD) he’s back to being the #1 target in SF. Worrisome for Anquan Boldin owners, because the 49ers don’t throw it a ton, but that could change.
  • Carlos Hyde had a terrible week 2 (0 carries 4 yards) after a good week 1. Him and Jeremy Hill swapped places. Hyde will be fine when the 49ers are in control of games, which they should be more often than not.
  • Frank Gore continues to get it done. Keep him going.
  • Not much to say about the Bears other than start them all. We know these guys. Forte had a real stinker (12-21, 5-15) but obviously this is an outlier.

Philly @ Indy

  • Darren Sproles saves the day again. Chip Kelly is just a very smart coach and knows how to utilize talent. Sproles is looking like a very solid every week flex, especially in PPR.
  • Zach Ertz (4-81) is impressive after two weeks. Let’s see if he can remain consistent in a crowded offense.
  • Riley Cooper, Jordan Matthews seem like the odd men out so far. Jeremy Maclin is the #1 guy and should remain so, he looks fully healthy.
  • Trent Richardson finally looked good running the ball, but he coughed up two fumbles which won’t help his cause. I still would rather own Ahmad Bradshaw he is more talented to me, but chances are Bradshaw will be out of the lineup with an injury at some point, it happens every year.
  • T.Y Hilton has had a very slow start, he was kind of boom or bust last year as well, that’s the issue with him.
  • I was a believer in Hakeem Nicks (1 -4) a bit coming into the year, now I have my doubts.
  • Dwayne Allen is still blah no catches in this game. Wayne and Hilton are the only options to be trusted in this passing game as of now, Hicks could emerge, will see. Dante Moncrief is somebody to watch.

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